Complex response of white pines to past environmental variability increases understanding of future vulnerability.
Ecological niche models predict plant responses to climate change by circumscribing species distributions within a multivariate environmental framework. Most projections based on modern bioclimatic correlations imply that high-elevation species are likely to be extirpated from their current ranges a...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2015-01-01
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| Series: | PLoS ONE |
| Online Access: | http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4401641?pdf=render |
| _version_ | 1811338178933555200 |
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| author | Virginia Iglesias Teresa R Krause Cathy Whitlock |
| author_facet | Virginia Iglesias Teresa R Krause Cathy Whitlock |
| author_sort | Virginia Iglesias |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Ecological niche models predict plant responses to climate change by circumscribing species distributions within a multivariate environmental framework. Most projections based on modern bioclimatic correlations imply that high-elevation species are likely to be extirpated from their current ranges as a result of rising growing-season temperatures in the coming decades. Paleoecological data spanning the last 15,000 years from the Greater Yellowstone region describe the response of vegetation to past climate variability and suggest that white pines, a taxon of special concern in the region, have been surprisingly resilient to high summer temperature and fire activity in the past. Moreover, the fossil record suggests that winter conditions and biotic interactions have been critical limiting variables for high-elevation conifers in the past and will likely be so in the future. This long-term perspective offers insights on species responses to a broader range of climate and associated ecosystem changes than can be observed at present and should be part of resource management and conservation planning for the future. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-13T18:07:04Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-1939bb14e13d4a63b7dccd171e837d58 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1932-6203 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-13T18:07:04Z |
| publishDate | 2015-01-01 |
| publisher | Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
| record_format | Article |
| series | PLoS ONE |
| spelling | doaj.art-1939bb14e13d4a63b7dccd171e837d582022-12-22T02:36:01ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032015-01-01104e012443910.1371/journal.pone.0124439Complex response of white pines to past environmental variability increases understanding of future vulnerability.Virginia IglesiasTeresa R KrauseCathy WhitlockEcological niche models predict plant responses to climate change by circumscribing species distributions within a multivariate environmental framework. Most projections based on modern bioclimatic correlations imply that high-elevation species are likely to be extirpated from their current ranges as a result of rising growing-season temperatures in the coming decades. Paleoecological data spanning the last 15,000 years from the Greater Yellowstone region describe the response of vegetation to past climate variability and suggest that white pines, a taxon of special concern in the region, have been surprisingly resilient to high summer temperature and fire activity in the past. Moreover, the fossil record suggests that winter conditions and biotic interactions have been critical limiting variables for high-elevation conifers in the past and will likely be so in the future. This long-term perspective offers insights on species responses to a broader range of climate and associated ecosystem changes than can be observed at present and should be part of resource management and conservation planning for the future.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4401641?pdf=render |
| spellingShingle | Virginia Iglesias Teresa R Krause Cathy Whitlock Complex response of white pines to past environmental variability increases understanding of future vulnerability. PLoS ONE |
| title | Complex response of white pines to past environmental variability increases understanding of future vulnerability. |
| title_full | Complex response of white pines to past environmental variability increases understanding of future vulnerability. |
| title_fullStr | Complex response of white pines to past environmental variability increases understanding of future vulnerability. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Complex response of white pines to past environmental variability increases understanding of future vulnerability. |
| title_short | Complex response of white pines to past environmental variability increases understanding of future vulnerability. |
| title_sort | complex response of white pines to past environmental variability increases understanding of future vulnerability |
| url | http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4401641?pdf=render |
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