PREDICTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF VOLUNTARY PENSION FUNDS IN SERBIA BY APPLYING THE MATHEMATICAL METHOD OF LINEAR REGRESSION

The introduction of private pension funds, which operate with the state pension fund, is the essence of the reform of the pension system in Serbia. Private pension funds are based on voluntary benefits. Thus, the functioning of the pension system takes place in three interconnected processes: paymen...

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Main Authors: Ivan D. Radojkovic, Boban Gajic, Branislav Randjelovic
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Varazdin Development and Entrepreneurship Agency 2021-03-01
Series:Journal of Economic and Social Development (Varaždin)
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.jesd-online.com/dokumenti/upload/separated/JESD-vol8-no1_01.pdf
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author Ivan D. Radojkovic
Boban Gajic
Branislav Randjelovic
author_facet Ivan D. Radojkovic
Boban Gajic
Branislav Randjelovic
author_sort Ivan D. Radojkovic
collection DOAJ
description The introduction of private pension funds, which operate with the state pension fund, is the essence of the reform of the pension system in Serbia. Private pension funds are based on voluntary benefits. Thus, the functioning of the pension system takes place in three interconnected processes: payments to a voluntary pension fund, investment of free funds, and ultimately programmed payments – pensions. Stability in the voluntary pension funds and predictability of payments allow the quality of investment portfolio to be formed and achieve a long-term yield of investment. In this work we implement the method of least square approximation for data processing and a mathematical method of linear regression, which give a link between the observed size, in our case, the number of fund members, the average salaries in Serbia and the size of Fondex, and to be used to predict the number of fund members depending on other sizes. Based on the data obtained by approximation function we can estimate number of fund members, in dependence of average salary and size of FONDEX
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spelling doaj.art-193c97702a64491db35bb51b8f33cea42024-04-04T08:04:40ZengVarazdin Development and Entrepreneurship AgencyJournal of Economic and Social Development (Varaždin)1849-33272021-03-0108010112PREDICTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF VOLUNTARY PENSION FUNDS IN SERBIA BY APPLYING THE MATHEMATICAL METHOD OF LINEAR REGRESSIONIvan D. Radojkovic0Boban Gajic1Branislav Randjelovic2“Dunav” voluntary pension fund management company, Nis, Serbia“Dunav insurance”, a.d.o. Belgrade, SerbiaUniversity of Nis, Faculty of EE, Nis, SerbiaThe introduction of private pension funds, which operate with the state pension fund, is the essence of the reform of the pension system in Serbia. Private pension funds are based on voluntary benefits. Thus, the functioning of the pension system takes place in three interconnected processes: payments to a voluntary pension fund, investment of free funds, and ultimately programmed payments – pensions. Stability in the voluntary pension funds and predictability of payments allow the quality of investment portfolio to be formed and achieve a long-term yield of investment. In this work we implement the method of least square approximation for data processing and a mathematical method of linear regression, which give a link between the observed size, in our case, the number of fund members, the average salaries in Serbia and the size of Fondex, and to be used to predict the number of fund members depending on other sizes. Based on the data obtained by approximation function we can estimate number of fund members, in dependence of average salary and size of FONDEXhttps://www.jesd-online.com/dokumenti/upload/separated/JESD-vol8-no1_01.pdfpension systemvoluntary pension fundslinear regression
spellingShingle Ivan D. Radojkovic
Boban Gajic
Branislav Randjelovic
PREDICTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF VOLUNTARY PENSION FUNDS IN SERBIA BY APPLYING THE MATHEMATICAL METHOD OF LINEAR REGRESSION
Journal of Economic and Social Development (Varaždin)
pension system
voluntary pension funds
linear regression
title PREDICTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF VOLUNTARY PENSION FUNDS IN SERBIA BY APPLYING THE MATHEMATICAL METHOD OF LINEAR REGRESSION
title_full PREDICTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF VOLUNTARY PENSION FUNDS IN SERBIA BY APPLYING THE MATHEMATICAL METHOD OF LINEAR REGRESSION
title_fullStr PREDICTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF VOLUNTARY PENSION FUNDS IN SERBIA BY APPLYING THE MATHEMATICAL METHOD OF LINEAR REGRESSION
title_full_unstemmed PREDICTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF VOLUNTARY PENSION FUNDS IN SERBIA BY APPLYING THE MATHEMATICAL METHOD OF LINEAR REGRESSION
title_short PREDICTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF VOLUNTARY PENSION FUNDS IN SERBIA BY APPLYING THE MATHEMATICAL METHOD OF LINEAR REGRESSION
title_sort predicting the development of voluntary pension funds in serbia by applying the mathematical method of linear regression
topic pension system
voluntary pension funds
linear regression
url https://www.jesd-online.com/dokumenti/upload/separated/JESD-vol8-no1_01.pdf
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AT bobangajic predictingthedevelopmentofvoluntarypensionfundsinserbiabyapplyingthemathematicalmethodoflinearregression
AT branislavrandjelovic predictingthedevelopmentofvoluntarypensionfundsinserbiabyapplyingthemathematicalmethodoflinearregression