Replacing performance status with a simple patient-reported outcome in palliative radiotherapy prognostic modelling

Background and purpose: Prognostication is key to determining care in advanced incurable cancer. Although performance status (PS) has been shown to be a strong prognostic predictor, inter-rater reliability is limited, restricting models to specialist settings. This study assessed the extent to which...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Daniel Howdon, Wilbert van den Hout, Yvette van der Linden, Katie Spencer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-11-01
Series:Clinical and Translational Radiation Oncology
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405630822000830
_version_ 1811325879643537408
author Daniel Howdon
Wilbert van den Hout
Yvette van der Linden
Katie Spencer
author_facet Daniel Howdon
Wilbert van den Hout
Yvette van der Linden
Katie Spencer
author_sort Daniel Howdon
collection DOAJ
description Background and purpose: Prognostication is key to determining care in advanced incurable cancer. Although performance status (PS) has been shown to be a strong prognostic predictor, inter-rater reliability is limited, restricting models to specialist settings. This study assessed the extent to which a simple patient-reported outcome measure (PROM), the EQ-5D, may replace PS for prognosis of patients with bone metastases. Materials and methods: Data from 1,011 patients in the Dutch Bone Metastasis Study were used. Cox proportional hazards models were developed to investigate the prognostic value of models incorporating PS alone, the EQ-5D SC dimension alone, all EQ-5D dimensions and EQ–VAS, and finally all dimensions and PS. Three prognostic groups were identified and performance assessed using the Harrell’s C-index and Altman-Royston index of separation. Results: Replacing performance status (PS) with the self-care (SC) dimension of the EQ-5D provides similar model performance. In our SC-based model, three groups are identified with median survival of 86 days (95 % CI 76–101), 174 days (95 % CI 145–213), and 483 days (95 % CI 431–539). Whilst not statistically significantly different, the C-index was 0.706 for the PS-only model, 0.718 for SC-only and 0.717 in our full model, suggesting patient-report outcome models perform as well as that based on PS. Conclusion: Prognostic performance was similar across all models. The SC model provides prognostic value similar to that of PS, particularly where a prognosis of<6 months is considered. Larger, more contemporaneous studies are needed to assess the extent to which PROMs may be of prognostic value, particularly where specialist assessment is less feasible.
first_indexed 2024-04-13T14:40:19Z
format Article
id doaj.art-1952701155a843dc8bd9896d52d8633e
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2405-6308
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-13T14:40:19Z
publishDate 2022-11-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series Clinical and Translational Radiation Oncology
spelling doaj.art-1952701155a843dc8bd9896d52d8633e2022-12-22T02:42:54ZengElsevierClinical and Translational Radiation Oncology2405-63082022-11-0137137144Replacing performance status with a simple patient-reported outcome in palliative radiotherapy prognostic modellingDaniel Howdon0Wilbert van den Hout1Yvette van der Linden2Katie Spencer3Academic Unit of Health Economics, Leeds Institute of Health Sciences, Clarendon Way, Woodhouse, Leeds LS2 9LU, UK; Corresponding author.Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, the NetherlandsDept of Radiotherapy/Centre of Expertise in Palliative Care, Leiden University Medical Centre, the NetherlandsAcademic Unit of Health Economics, Leeds Institute of Health Sciences, Clarendon Way, Woodhouse, Leeds LS2 9LU, UK; Leeds Cancer Centre, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, UKBackground and purpose: Prognostication is key to determining care in advanced incurable cancer. Although performance status (PS) has been shown to be a strong prognostic predictor, inter-rater reliability is limited, restricting models to specialist settings. This study assessed the extent to which a simple patient-reported outcome measure (PROM), the EQ-5D, may replace PS for prognosis of patients with bone metastases. Materials and methods: Data from 1,011 patients in the Dutch Bone Metastasis Study were used. Cox proportional hazards models were developed to investigate the prognostic value of models incorporating PS alone, the EQ-5D SC dimension alone, all EQ-5D dimensions and EQ–VAS, and finally all dimensions and PS. Three prognostic groups were identified and performance assessed using the Harrell’s C-index and Altman-Royston index of separation. Results: Replacing performance status (PS) with the self-care (SC) dimension of the EQ-5D provides similar model performance. In our SC-based model, three groups are identified with median survival of 86 days (95 % CI 76–101), 174 days (95 % CI 145–213), and 483 days (95 % CI 431–539). Whilst not statistically significantly different, the C-index was 0.706 for the PS-only model, 0.718 for SC-only and 0.717 in our full model, suggesting patient-report outcome models perform as well as that based on PS. Conclusion: Prognostic performance was similar across all models. The SC model provides prognostic value similar to that of PS, particularly where a prognosis of<6 months is considered. Larger, more contemporaneous studies are needed to assess the extent to which PROMs may be of prognostic value, particularly where specialist assessment is less feasible.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405630822000830
spellingShingle Daniel Howdon
Wilbert van den Hout
Yvette van der Linden
Katie Spencer
Replacing performance status with a simple patient-reported outcome in palliative radiotherapy prognostic modelling
Clinical and Translational Radiation Oncology
title Replacing performance status with a simple patient-reported outcome in palliative radiotherapy prognostic modelling
title_full Replacing performance status with a simple patient-reported outcome in palliative radiotherapy prognostic modelling
title_fullStr Replacing performance status with a simple patient-reported outcome in palliative radiotherapy prognostic modelling
title_full_unstemmed Replacing performance status with a simple patient-reported outcome in palliative radiotherapy prognostic modelling
title_short Replacing performance status with a simple patient-reported outcome in palliative radiotherapy prognostic modelling
title_sort replacing performance status with a simple patient reported outcome in palliative radiotherapy prognostic modelling
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405630822000830
work_keys_str_mv AT danielhowdon replacingperformancestatuswithasimplepatientreportedoutcomeinpalliativeradiotherapyprognosticmodelling
AT wilbertvandenhout replacingperformancestatuswithasimplepatientreportedoutcomeinpalliativeradiotherapyprognosticmodelling
AT yvettevanderlinden replacingperformancestatuswithasimplepatientreportedoutcomeinpalliativeradiotherapyprognosticmodelling
AT katiespencer replacingperformancestatuswithasimplepatientreportedoutcomeinpalliativeradiotherapyprognosticmodelling