A comparison of classical and machine learning-based phenotype prediction methods on simulated data and three plant species

Genomic selection is an integral tool for breeders to accurately select plants directly from genotype data leading to faster and more resource-efficient breeding programs. Several prediction methods have been established in the last few years. These range from classical linear mixed models to comple...

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Main Authors: Maura John, Florian Haselbeck, Rupashree Dass, Christoph Malisi, Patrizia Ricca, Christian Dreischer, Sebastian J. Schultheiss, Dominik G. Grimm
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-11-01
Series:Frontiers in Plant Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2022.932512/full
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author Maura John
Maura John
Florian Haselbeck
Florian Haselbeck
Rupashree Dass
Christoph Malisi
Patrizia Ricca
Christian Dreischer
Sebastian J. Schultheiss
Dominik G. Grimm
Dominik G. Grimm
Dominik G. Grimm
author_facet Maura John
Maura John
Florian Haselbeck
Florian Haselbeck
Rupashree Dass
Christoph Malisi
Patrizia Ricca
Christian Dreischer
Sebastian J. Schultheiss
Dominik G. Grimm
Dominik G. Grimm
Dominik G. Grimm
author_sort Maura John
collection DOAJ
description Genomic selection is an integral tool for breeders to accurately select plants directly from genotype data leading to faster and more resource-efficient breeding programs. Several prediction methods have been established in the last few years. These range from classical linear mixed models to complex non-linear machine learning approaches, such as Support Vector Regression, and modern deep learning-based architectures. Many of these methods have been extensively evaluated on different crop species with varying outcomes. In this work, our aim is to systematically compare 12 different phenotype prediction models, including basic genomic selection methods to more advanced deep learning-based techniques. More importantly, we assess the performance of these models on simulated phenotype data as well as on real-world data from Arabidopsis thaliana and two breeding datasets from soy and corn. The synthetic phenotypic data allow us to analyze all prediction models and especially the selected markers under controlled and predefined settings. We show that Bayes B and linear regression models with sparsity constraints perform best under different simulation settings with respect to explained variance. Further, we can confirm results from other studies that there is no superiority of more complex neural network-based architectures for phenotype prediction compared to well-established methods. However, on real-world data, for which several prediction models yield comparable results with slight advantages for Elastic Net, this picture is less clear, suggesting that there is a lot of room for future research.
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spelling doaj.art-1989c900845642afbd2043b4c21e45802022-12-22T04:34:36ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Plant Science1664-462X2022-11-011310.3389/fpls.2022.932512932512A comparison of classical and machine learning-based phenotype prediction methods on simulated data and three plant speciesMaura John0Maura John1Florian Haselbeck2Florian Haselbeck3Rupashree Dass4Christoph Malisi5Patrizia Ricca6Christian Dreischer7Sebastian J. Schultheiss8Dominik G. Grimm9Dominik G. Grimm10Dominik G. Grimm11Technical University of Munich, Campus Straubing for Biotechnology and Sustainability, Bioinformatics, Straubing, GermanyWeihenstephan-Triesdorf University of Applied Sciences, Bioinformatics, Straubing, GermanyTechnical University of Munich, Campus Straubing for Biotechnology and Sustainability, Bioinformatics, Straubing, GermanyWeihenstephan-Triesdorf University of Applied Sciences, Bioinformatics, Straubing, GermanyComputomics GmbH, Tübingen, GermanyComputomics GmbH, Tübingen, GermanyComputomics GmbH, Tübingen, GermanyComputomics GmbH, Tübingen, GermanyComputomics GmbH, Tübingen, GermanyTechnical University of Munich, Campus Straubing for Biotechnology and Sustainability, Bioinformatics, Straubing, GermanyWeihenstephan-Triesdorf University of Applied Sciences, Bioinformatics, Straubing, GermanyTechnical University of Munich, Department of Informatics, Garching, GermanyGenomic selection is an integral tool for breeders to accurately select plants directly from genotype data leading to faster and more resource-efficient breeding programs. Several prediction methods have been established in the last few years. These range from classical linear mixed models to complex non-linear machine learning approaches, such as Support Vector Regression, and modern deep learning-based architectures. Many of these methods have been extensively evaluated on different crop species with varying outcomes. In this work, our aim is to systematically compare 12 different phenotype prediction models, including basic genomic selection methods to more advanced deep learning-based techniques. More importantly, we assess the performance of these models on simulated phenotype data as well as on real-world data from Arabidopsis thaliana and two breeding datasets from soy and corn. The synthetic phenotypic data allow us to analyze all prediction models and especially the selected markers under controlled and predefined settings. We show that Bayes B and linear regression models with sparsity constraints perform best under different simulation settings with respect to explained variance. Further, we can confirm results from other studies that there is no superiority of more complex neural network-based architectures for phenotype prediction compared to well-established methods. However, on real-world data, for which several prediction models yield comparable results with slight advantages for Elastic Net, this picture is less clear, suggesting that there is a lot of room for future research.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2022.932512/fullphenotype predictiongenomic selectionplant phenotypingmachine learningArabidopsis thaliana
spellingShingle Maura John
Maura John
Florian Haselbeck
Florian Haselbeck
Rupashree Dass
Christoph Malisi
Patrizia Ricca
Christian Dreischer
Sebastian J. Schultheiss
Dominik G. Grimm
Dominik G. Grimm
Dominik G. Grimm
A comparison of classical and machine learning-based phenotype prediction methods on simulated data and three plant species
Frontiers in Plant Science
phenotype prediction
genomic selection
plant phenotyping
machine learning
Arabidopsis thaliana
title A comparison of classical and machine learning-based phenotype prediction methods on simulated data and three plant species
title_full A comparison of classical and machine learning-based phenotype prediction methods on simulated data and three plant species
title_fullStr A comparison of classical and machine learning-based phenotype prediction methods on simulated data and three plant species
title_full_unstemmed A comparison of classical and machine learning-based phenotype prediction methods on simulated data and three plant species
title_short A comparison of classical and machine learning-based phenotype prediction methods on simulated data and three plant species
title_sort comparison of classical and machine learning based phenotype prediction methods on simulated data and three plant species
topic phenotype prediction
genomic selection
plant phenotyping
machine learning
Arabidopsis thaliana
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2022.932512/full
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