Electrolyte and Metabolic Disturbances in Ebola Patients during a Clinical Trial, Guinea, 2015

By using data from a 2015 clinical trial on Ebola convalescent-phase plasma in Guinea, we assessed the prevalence of electrolyte and metabolic abnormalities at admission and their predictive value to stratify patients into risk groups. Patients underwent testing with a point-of-care device. We used...

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Main Authors: Johan van Griensven, Elhadj Ibrahima Bah, Nyankoye Haba, Alexandre Delamou, Bienvenu Salim Camara, Kadio Jean-Jacques Olivier, Hilde De Clerck, Helena Nordenstedt, Malcolm G. Semple, Michel Van Herp, Jozefien Buyze, Maaike De Crop, Steven Van Den Broucke, Lutgarde Lynen, Anja De Weggheleire
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2016-12-01
Series:Emerging Infectious Diseases
Subjects:
Online Access:https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/22/12/16-1136_article
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author Johan van Griensven
Elhadj Ibrahima Bah
Nyankoye Haba
Alexandre Delamou
Bienvenu Salim Camara
Kadio Jean-Jacques Olivier
Hilde De Clerck
Helena Nordenstedt
Malcolm G. Semple
Michel Van Herp
Jozefien Buyze
Maaike De Crop
Steven Van Den Broucke
Lutgarde Lynen
Anja De Weggheleire
author_facet Johan van Griensven
Elhadj Ibrahima Bah
Nyankoye Haba
Alexandre Delamou
Bienvenu Salim Camara
Kadio Jean-Jacques Olivier
Hilde De Clerck
Helena Nordenstedt
Malcolm G. Semple
Michel Van Herp
Jozefien Buyze
Maaike De Crop
Steven Van Den Broucke
Lutgarde Lynen
Anja De Weggheleire
author_sort Johan van Griensven
collection DOAJ
description By using data from a 2015 clinical trial on Ebola convalescent-phase plasma in Guinea, we assessed the prevalence of electrolyte and metabolic abnormalities at admission and their predictive value to stratify patients into risk groups. Patients underwent testing with a point-of-care device. We used logistic regression to construct a prognostic model and summarized the predictive value with the area under the receiver operating curve. Abnormalities were common among patients, particularly hypokalemia, hypocalcemia, hyponatremia, raised creatinine, high anion gap, and anemia. Besides age and PCR cycle threshold value, renal dysfunction, low calcium levels, and low hemoglobin levels were independently associated with increased risk for death. A prognostic model using all 5 factors was highly discriminatory (area under the receiver operating curve 0.95; 95% CI 0.90–0.99) and enabled the definition of risk criteria to guide targeted care. Most patients had a very low (<5%) or very high (>80%) risk for death.
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spelling doaj.art-19a04b0ee321488996377de5890e32482022-12-21T23:07:36ZengCenters for Disease Control and PreventionEmerging Infectious Diseases1080-60401080-60592016-12-0122122120212710.3201/eid2212.161136Electrolyte and Metabolic Disturbances in Ebola Patients during a Clinical Trial, Guinea, 2015Johan van GriensvenElhadj Ibrahima BahNyankoye HabaAlexandre DelamouBienvenu Salim CamaraKadio Jean-Jacques OlivierHilde De ClerckHelena NordenstedtMalcolm G. SempleMichel Van HerpJozefien BuyzeMaaike De CropSteven Van Den BrouckeLutgarde LynenAnja De WeggheleireBy using data from a 2015 clinical trial on Ebola convalescent-phase plasma in Guinea, we assessed the prevalence of electrolyte and metabolic abnormalities at admission and their predictive value to stratify patients into risk groups. Patients underwent testing with a point-of-care device. We used logistic regression to construct a prognostic model and summarized the predictive value with the area under the receiver operating curve. Abnormalities were common among patients, particularly hypokalemia, hypocalcemia, hyponatremia, raised creatinine, high anion gap, and anemia. Besides age and PCR cycle threshold value, renal dysfunction, low calcium levels, and low hemoglobin levels were independently associated with increased risk for death. A prognostic model using all 5 factors was highly discriminatory (area under the receiver operating curve 0.95; 95% CI 0.90–0.99) and enabled the definition of risk criteria to guide targeted care. Most patients had a very low (<5%) or very high (>80%) risk for death.https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/22/12/16-1136_articleEbolaEVDelectrolytemetabolicdeathmortality
spellingShingle Johan van Griensven
Elhadj Ibrahima Bah
Nyankoye Haba
Alexandre Delamou
Bienvenu Salim Camara
Kadio Jean-Jacques Olivier
Hilde De Clerck
Helena Nordenstedt
Malcolm G. Semple
Michel Van Herp
Jozefien Buyze
Maaike De Crop
Steven Van Den Broucke
Lutgarde Lynen
Anja De Weggheleire
Electrolyte and Metabolic Disturbances in Ebola Patients during a Clinical Trial, Guinea, 2015
Emerging Infectious Diseases
Ebola
EVD
electrolyte
metabolic
death
mortality
title Electrolyte and Metabolic Disturbances in Ebola Patients during a Clinical Trial, Guinea, 2015
title_full Electrolyte and Metabolic Disturbances in Ebola Patients during a Clinical Trial, Guinea, 2015
title_fullStr Electrolyte and Metabolic Disturbances in Ebola Patients during a Clinical Trial, Guinea, 2015
title_full_unstemmed Electrolyte and Metabolic Disturbances in Ebola Patients during a Clinical Trial, Guinea, 2015
title_short Electrolyte and Metabolic Disturbances in Ebola Patients during a Clinical Trial, Guinea, 2015
title_sort electrolyte and metabolic disturbances in ebola patients during a clinical trial guinea 2015
topic Ebola
EVD
electrolyte
metabolic
death
mortality
url https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/22/12/16-1136_article
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