Is Economics an Empirical Science? If not, can it become one?

Today’s mainstream economics, embodied in Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models, cannot be considered an empirical science in the modern sense of the term: it is not based on empirical data, is not descriptive of the real-world economy, and has little forecasting power. In this paper,...

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Main Author: Sergio Mario Focardi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2015-07-01
Series:Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fams.2015.00007/full
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author Sergio Mario Focardi
Sergio Mario Focardi
author_facet Sergio Mario Focardi
Sergio Mario Focardi
author_sort Sergio Mario Focardi
collection DOAJ
description Today’s mainstream economics, embodied in Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models, cannot be considered an empirical science in the modern sense of the term: it is not based on empirical data, is not descriptive of the real-world economy, and has little forecasting power. In this paper, I begin with a review of the weaknesses of neoclassical economic theory and argue for a truly scientific theory based on data, the sine qua non of bringing economics into the realm of an empirical science. But I suggest that, before embarking on this endeavor, we first need to analyze the epistemological problems of economics to understand what research questions we can reasonably ask our theory to address.. I then discuss new approaches which hold the promise of bringing economics closer to being an empirical science. Among the approaches discussed are the study of economies as complex systems, econometrics and econophysics, artificial economics made up of multiple interacting agents as well as attempts being made inside present main stream theory to more closely align the theory with the real world
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spelling doaj.art-19b52a8faa424299ae84736f29796ae12022-12-21T23:56:15ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics2297-46872015-07-01110.3389/fams.2015.00007146975Is Economics an Empirical Science? If not, can it become one?Sergio Mario Focardi0Sergio Mario Focardi1Stony Brook UniversityÉcole Supérieure d’Ingénieurs Léonard de VinciToday’s mainstream economics, embodied in Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models, cannot be considered an empirical science in the modern sense of the term: it is not based on empirical data, is not descriptive of the real-world economy, and has little forecasting power. In this paper, I begin with a review of the weaknesses of neoclassical economic theory and argue for a truly scientific theory based on data, the sine qua non of bringing economics into the realm of an empirical science. But I suggest that, before embarking on this endeavor, we first need to analyze the epistemological problems of economics to understand what research questions we can reasonably ask our theory to address.. I then discuss new approaches which hold the promise of bringing economics closer to being an empirical science. Among the approaches discussed are the study of economies as complex systems, econometrics and econophysics, artificial economics made up of multiple interacting agents as well as attempts being made inside present main stream theory to more closely align the theory with the real worldhttp://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fams.2015.00007/fullEconomicscomplex systemseconophysicsempirical scienceFinancial crisesepistemology of economics
spellingShingle Sergio Mario Focardi
Sergio Mario Focardi
Is Economics an Empirical Science? If not, can it become one?
Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics
Economics
complex systems
econophysics
empirical science
Financial crises
epistemology of economics
title Is Economics an Empirical Science? If not, can it become one?
title_full Is Economics an Empirical Science? If not, can it become one?
title_fullStr Is Economics an Empirical Science? If not, can it become one?
title_full_unstemmed Is Economics an Empirical Science? If not, can it become one?
title_short Is Economics an Empirical Science? If not, can it become one?
title_sort is economics an empirical science if not can it become one
topic Economics
complex systems
econophysics
empirical science
Financial crises
epistemology of economics
url http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fams.2015.00007/full
work_keys_str_mv AT sergiomariofocardi iseconomicsanempiricalscienceifnotcanitbecomeone
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