Mapping Economists’ Belief Spaces Using Survey Data

Most survey research on the beliefs of economists has focused on measuring consensus within the profession. Researchers have given less emphasis to other aspects of the organization of economists’ belief systems. This paper shows using representative survey data for the first time that economists’ b...

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Main Author: Tod Van Gunten
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Association Œconomia 2023-06-01
Series:Œconomia
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journals.openedition.org/oeconomia/15158
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author Tod Van Gunten
author_facet Tod Van Gunten
author_sort Tod Van Gunten
collection DOAJ
description Most survey research on the beliefs of economists has focused on measuring consensus within the profession. Researchers have given less emphasis to other aspects of the organization of economists’ belief systems. This paper shows using representative survey data for the first time that economists’ beliefs on an important subset of policy-relevant beliefs are ideologically aligned, despite moderately high levels of agreement on these issues. The analysis does not support the existence of a second dimension of alignment capturing a Keynesian/anti-Keynesian split on macroeconomic stabilization topics. Going beyond conventional methods, the paper also reports the results of belief network centrality and correlational class analyses, methods motivated by recent developments in cognitive science and cultural sociology. This analysis suggests that beliefs including those relating to inequality and redistribution, the level of government spending, environmental regulation, and the minimum wage play a generative role in economists’ belief systems. The results also indicate that the main source of heterogeneity in economists' belief systems is between ideologically aligned and less ideologically aligned subgroups. There is limited evidence of qualitatively distinct patterns of construals of relations between beliefs. Finally, although the analysis is tentative, I fail to find evidence supporting the hypothesis of a decrease in ideological alignment since the 1970s.
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spelling doaj.art-1a15ccb40bf84a729cb88dd5459246b42023-12-06T16:23:22ZengAssociation ŒconomiaŒconomia2113-52072269-84502023-06-0113251755710.4000/oeconomia.15158Mapping Economists’ Belief Spaces Using Survey DataTod Van GuntenMost survey research on the beliefs of economists has focused on measuring consensus within the profession. Researchers have given less emphasis to other aspects of the organization of economists’ belief systems. This paper shows using representative survey data for the first time that economists’ beliefs on an important subset of policy-relevant beliefs are ideologically aligned, despite moderately high levels of agreement on these issues. The analysis does not support the existence of a second dimension of alignment capturing a Keynesian/anti-Keynesian split on macroeconomic stabilization topics. Going beyond conventional methods, the paper also reports the results of belief network centrality and correlational class analyses, methods motivated by recent developments in cognitive science and cultural sociology. This analysis suggests that beliefs including those relating to inequality and redistribution, the level of government spending, environmental regulation, and the minimum wage play a generative role in economists’ belief systems. The results also indicate that the main source of heterogeneity in economists' belief systems is between ideologically aligned and less ideologically aligned subgroups. There is limited evidence of qualitatively distinct patterns of construals of relations between beliefs. Finally, although the analysis is tentative, I fail to find evidence supporting the hypothesis of a decrease in ideological alignment since the 1970s.http://journals.openedition.org/oeconomia/15158ideologybelief spaceseconomics profession
spellingShingle Tod Van Gunten
Mapping Economists’ Belief Spaces Using Survey Data
Œconomia
ideology
belief spaces
economics profession
title Mapping Economists’ Belief Spaces Using Survey Data
title_full Mapping Economists’ Belief Spaces Using Survey Data
title_fullStr Mapping Economists’ Belief Spaces Using Survey Data
title_full_unstemmed Mapping Economists’ Belief Spaces Using Survey Data
title_short Mapping Economists’ Belief Spaces Using Survey Data
title_sort mapping economists belief spaces using survey data
topic ideology
belief spaces
economics profession
url http://journals.openedition.org/oeconomia/15158
work_keys_str_mv AT todvangunten mappingeconomistsbeliefspacesusingsurveydata