Human papillomavirus genotype-specific risks for cervical intraepithelial lesions

Prevalence of different HPV genotypes is changing after HPV vaccination. The associated risks are needed for optimizing cervical cancer screening. To estimate HPV type-specific prevalence, odds ratio (OR), and positive predictive value (PPV) for cervical cytological abnormalities, we determined 41 d...

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Main Authors: Mari Nygård, Bo T. Hansen, Susanne K. Kjaer, Maria Hortlund, Laufey Tryggvadóttir, Christian Munk, Camilla Lagheden, Lara G. Sigurdardottir, Suzanne Campbell, Kai-Li Liaw, Joakim Dillner
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2021-04-01
Series:Human Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/21645515.2020.1814097
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author Mari Nygård
Bo T. Hansen
Susanne K. Kjaer
Maria Hortlund
Laufey Tryggvadóttir
Christian Munk
Camilla Lagheden
Lara G. Sigurdardottir
Suzanne Campbell
Kai-Li Liaw
Joakim Dillner
author_facet Mari Nygård
Bo T. Hansen
Susanne K. Kjaer
Maria Hortlund
Laufey Tryggvadóttir
Christian Munk
Camilla Lagheden
Lara G. Sigurdardottir
Suzanne Campbell
Kai-Li Liaw
Joakim Dillner
author_sort Mari Nygård
collection DOAJ
description Prevalence of different HPV genotypes is changing after HPV vaccination. The associated risks are needed for optimizing cervical cancer screening. To estimate HPV type-specific prevalence, odds ratio (OR), and positive predictive value (PPV) for cervical cytological abnormalities, we determined 41 different HPV genotypes in cervical samples from a population-based sample of 8351 women aged 18–51 years before HPV vaccination era (V501-033; NCT01077856). Prevalence of HPV16 was 4.9% (95% CI: 4.4–5.5) with the PPV for high-grade cytology 11.2%, and OR 11.9 (95% CI: 8.5–16.5). Carcinogenic HPVs included in the nonavalent vaccine (HPV16,18,31,33,45,52,58) had a population prevalence of 14.4% (95% CI: 13.5–15.4), with PPV of 8.0% (95% CI: 6.8–9.3) and OR 23.7 (95% CI: 16.0–63.5) for high-grade cytology. HPV types currently included in most screening tests, but not vaccinated against (HPV35,39,51,56,59,66,68) had a joint prevalence of 8.5% (95% CI: 7.8–9.2) with PPV of 4.4% (95% CI: 3.3–5.7) and OR of 2.9 (95% CI: 2.0–4.0) for high-grade cytology. The other 27 non-carcinogenic genotypes had a prevalence of 11.8%, PPV of 2.9% (95% CI:2.1–3.9), and OR 1.5 (95% CI: 1.1–2.2.) for high-grade cytology. These results suggest that HPV screening tests in the post-vaccination era might perform better if restricted to the HPV types in the nonavalent vaccine and screening for all 14 HPV types might result in suboptimal balance of harms and benefits.
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spelling doaj.art-1a3132436787418e979345f5da26171f2023-09-22T08:51:51ZengTaylor & Francis GroupHuman Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics2164-55152164-554X2021-04-0117497298110.1080/21645515.2020.18140971814097Human papillomavirus genotype-specific risks for cervical intraepithelial lesionsMari Nygård0Bo T. Hansen1Susanne K. Kjaer2Maria Hortlund3Laufey Tryggvadóttir4Christian Munk5Camilla Lagheden6Lara G. Sigurdardottir7Suzanne Campbell8Kai-Li Liaw9Joakim Dillner10Cancer Registry of NorwayCancer Registry of NorwayDanish Cancer Society Research CenterSkåne University HospitalIcelandic Cancer SocietyDanish Cancer Society Research CenterSkåne University HospitalIcelandic Cancer SocietyCancer Registry of NorwayMerck Sharp & DohmeSkåne University HospitalPrevalence of different HPV genotypes is changing after HPV vaccination. The associated risks are needed for optimizing cervical cancer screening. To estimate HPV type-specific prevalence, odds ratio (OR), and positive predictive value (PPV) for cervical cytological abnormalities, we determined 41 different HPV genotypes in cervical samples from a population-based sample of 8351 women aged 18–51 years before HPV vaccination era (V501-033; NCT01077856). Prevalence of HPV16 was 4.9% (95% CI: 4.4–5.5) with the PPV for high-grade cytology 11.2%, and OR 11.9 (95% CI: 8.5–16.5). Carcinogenic HPVs included in the nonavalent vaccine (HPV16,18,31,33,45,52,58) had a population prevalence of 14.4% (95% CI: 13.5–15.4), with PPV of 8.0% (95% CI: 6.8–9.3) and OR 23.7 (95% CI: 16.0–63.5) for high-grade cytology. HPV types currently included in most screening tests, but not vaccinated against (HPV35,39,51,56,59,66,68) had a joint prevalence of 8.5% (95% CI: 7.8–9.2) with PPV of 4.4% (95% CI: 3.3–5.7) and OR of 2.9 (95% CI: 2.0–4.0) for high-grade cytology. The other 27 non-carcinogenic genotypes had a prevalence of 11.8%, PPV of 2.9% (95% CI:2.1–3.9), and OR 1.5 (95% CI: 1.1–2.2.) for high-grade cytology. These results suggest that HPV screening tests in the post-vaccination era might perform better if restricted to the HPV types in the nonavalent vaccine and screening for all 14 HPV types might result in suboptimal balance of harms and benefits.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/21645515.2020.1814097denmarkhigh-risk hpvicelandliquid-based cytologylow-risk hpvnorwaypopulation-based prevalencesweden
spellingShingle Mari Nygård
Bo T. Hansen
Susanne K. Kjaer
Maria Hortlund
Laufey Tryggvadóttir
Christian Munk
Camilla Lagheden
Lara G. Sigurdardottir
Suzanne Campbell
Kai-Li Liaw
Joakim Dillner
Human papillomavirus genotype-specific risks for cervical intraepithelial lesions
Human Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics
denmark
high-risk hpv
iceland
liquid-based cytology
low-risk hpv
norway
population-based prevalence
sweden
title Human papillomavirus genotype-specific risks for cervical intraepithelial lesions
title_full Human papillomavirus genotype-specific risks for cervical intraepithelial lesions
title_fullStr Human papillomavirus genotype-specific risks for cervical intraepithelial lesions
title_full_unstemmed Human papillomavirus genotype-specific risks for cervical intraepithelial lesions
title_short Human papillomavirus genotype-specific risks for cervical intraepithelial lesions
title_sort human papillomavirus genotype specific risks for cervical intraepithelial lesions
topic denmark
high-risk hpv
iceland
liquid-based cytology
low-risk hpv
norway
population-based prevalence
sweden
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/21645515.2020.1814097
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