Neonatal cause-of-death estimates for the early and late neonatal periods for 194 countries: 2000–2013

Objective To estimate cause-of-death distributions in the early (0–6 days of age) and late (7–27 days of age) neonatal periods, for 194 countries between 2000 and 2013. Methods For 65 countries with high-quality vital registration, we used each country’s observed early and late neonatal proportional...

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Main Authors: Shefali Oza, Joy E Lawn, Daniel R Hogan, Colin Mathers, Simon N Cousens
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The World Health Organization 2015-01-01
Series:Bulletin of the World Health Organization
Online Access:http://www.scielosp.org/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0042-96862015000100019&lng=en&tlng=en
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author Shefali Oza
Joy E Lawn
Daniel R Hogan
Colin Mathers
Simon N Cousens
author_facet Shefali Oza
Joy E Lawn
Daniel R Hogan
Colin Mathers
Simon N Cousens
author_sort Shefali Oza
collection DOAJ
description Objective To estimate cause-of-death distributions in the early (0–6 days of age) and late (7–27 days of age) neonatal periods, for 194 countries between 2000 and 2013. Methods For 65 countries with high-quality vital registration, we used each country’s observed early and late neonatal proportional cause distributions. For the remaining 129 countries, we used multinomial logistic models to estimate these distributions. For countries with low child mortality we used vital registration data as inputs and for countries with high child mortality we used neonatal cause-of-death distribution data from studies in similar settings. We applied cause-specific proportions to neonatal death estimates from the United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, by country and year, to estimate cause-specific risks and numbers of deaths. Findings Over time, neonatal deaths decreased for most causes. Of the 2.8 million neonatal deaths in 2013, 0.99 million deaths (uncertainty range: 0.70–1.31) were estimated to be caused by preterm birth complications, 0.64 million (uncertainty range: 0.46–0.84) by intrapartum complications and 0.43 million (uncertainty range: 0.22–0.66) by sepsis and other severe infections. Preterm birth (40.8%) and intrapartum complications (27.0%) accounted for most early neonatal deaths while infections caused nearly half of late neonatal deaths. Preterm birth complications were the leading cause of death in all regions of the world. Conclusion The neonatal cause-of-death distribution differs between the early and late periods and varies with neonatal mortality rate level. To reduce neonatal deaths, effective interventions to address these causes must be incorporated into policy decisions.
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spelling doaj.art-1a60ea41f6a94d76a94268f8fc7f24d22024-03-03T01:12:42ZengThe World Health OrganizationBulletin of the World Health Organization0042-96862015-01-01931192810.2471/BLT.14.139790S0042-96862015000100019Neonatal cause-of-death estimates for the early and late neonatal periods for 194 countries: 2000–2013Shefali OzaJoy E LawnDaniel R HoganColin MathersSimon N CousensObjective To estimate cause-of-death distributions in the early (0–6 days of age) and late (7–27 days of age) neonatal periods, for 194 countries between 2000 and 2013. Methods For 65 countries with high-quality vital registration, we used each country’s observed early and late neonatal proportional cause distributions. For the remaining 129 countries, we used multinomial logistic models to estimate these distributions. For countries with low child mortality we used vital registration data as inputs and for countries with high child mortality we used neonatal cause-of-death distribution data from studies in similar settings. We applied cause-specific proportions to neonatal death estimates from the United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, by country and year, to estimate cause-specific risks and numbers of deaths. Findings Over time, neonatal deaths decreased for most causes. Of the 2.8 million neonatal deaths in 2013, 0.99 million deaths (uncertainty range: 0.70–1.31) were estimated to be caused by preterm birth complications, 0.64 million (uncertainty range: 0.46–0.84) by intrapartum complications and 0.43 million (uncertainty range: 0.22–0.66) by sepsis and other severe infections. Preterm birth (40.8%) and intrapartum complications (27.0%) accounted for most early neonatal deaths while infections caused nearly half of late neonatal deaths. Preterm birth complications were the leading cause of death in all regions of the world. Conclusion The neonatal cause-of-death distribution differs between the early and late periods and varies with neonatal mortality rate level. To reduce neonatal deaths, effective interventions to address these causes must be incorporated into policy decisions.http://www.scielosp.org/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0042-96862015000100019&lng=en&tlng=en
spellingShingle Shefali Oza
Joy E Lawn
Daniel R Hogan
Colin Mathers
Simon N Cousens
Neonatal cause-of-death estimates for the early and late neonatal periods for 194 countries: 2000–2013
Bulletin of the World Health Organization
title Neonatal cause-of-death estimates for the early and late neonatal periods for 194 countries: 2000–2013
title_full Neonatal cause-of-death estimates for the early and late neonatal periods for 194 countries: 2000–2013
title_fullStr Neonatal cause-of-death estimates for the early and late neonatal periods for 194 countries: 2000–2013
title_full_unstemmed Neonatal cause-of-death estimates for the early and late neonatal periods for 194 countries: 2000–2013
title_short Neonatal cause-of-death estimates for the early and late neonatal periods for 194 countries: 2000–2013
title_sort neonatal cause of death estimates for the early and late neonatal periods for 194 countries 2000 2013
url http://www.scielosp.org/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0042-96862015000100019&lng=en&tlng=en
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