From Points to Forecasts: Predicting Invasive Species Habitat Suitability in the Near Term
We used near-term climate scenarios for the continental United States, to model 12 invasive plants species. We created three potential habitat suitability models for each species using maximum entropy modeling: (1) current; (2) 2020; and (3) 2035. Area under the curve values for the models ranged fr...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2010-05-01
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| Series: | Diversity |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.mdpi.com/1424-2818/2/5/738/ |
| Summary: | We used near-term climate scenarios for the continental United States, to model 12 invasive plants species. We created three potential habitat suitability models for each species using maximum entropy modeling: (1) current; (2) 2020; and (3) 2035. Area under the curve values for the models ranged from 0.92 to 0.70, with 10 of the 12 being above 0.83 suggesting strong and predictable species-environment matching. Change in area between the current potential habitat and 2035 ranged from a potential habitat loss of about 217,000 km2, to a potential habitat gain of about 133,000 km2. |
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| ISSN: | 1424-2818 |