Factors Influencing Drought Management and Impacts: A Structural Equation Modeling Approach

Drought is an unavoidable natural disaster in dry and arid regions of the world. Studies indicate that Iran with its geographical and climatic characteristics is poor in water resources. Moreover, it is estimated that in 2025, Iran should increase the water resources by 112% in order to maintain sta...

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Main Authors: M. Keshavarz, E. Karami
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Isfahan University of Technology 2008-04-01
Series:Tulīd va Farāvarī-i Maḥṣūlāt-i Zirā̒ī va Bāghī
Subjects:
Online Access:http://jcpp.iut.ac.ir/article-1-838-en.html
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author M. Keshavarz
E. Karami
author_facet M. Keshavarz
E. Karami
author_sort M. Keshavarz
collection DOAJ
description Drought is an unavoidable natural disaster in dry and arid regions of the world. Studies indicate that Iran with its geographical and climatic characteristics is poor in water resources. Moreover, it is estimated that in 2025, Iran should increase the water resources by 112% in order to maintain status quo. Therefore, the occurrence of drought is more prevalent in the future. This implies a real challenge for researchers to study how to manage farms during the onset of drought. Inappropriate management strategies result in loss of resources, which in turn leads to more destructive impacts of drought, consequently leading to more droughts in future. The purpose of this survey study was to identify factors influencing drought management among farmers in Fars province, Iran. A multistage stratified random sampling technique was used to select a representative sample of farmers who has experienced drought in recent years. A total of 258 farmers were interviewed using a questionnaire. A panel of experts verified face validity. A pilot study was used to assess the reliability of the measuring instrument. Cluster analysis and Structural Equation Modeling were used for data analysis. Results indicated that farmers with different social, economical, and technical characteristics chose different management strategies when coping with drought conditions. Despite farmers' efforts to manage drought, they face harsh consequences. These consequences include economic losses and degradation of farming environment. It is therefore recommended that policy makers who are involved in drought management programs learn more about farmers' drought mitigation techniques and make further attempts to increase the efficiency and effectiveness of techniques used by farmers.
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spelling doaj.art-1aa1a9a78c8341598d8f6dc5e6b24fb22022-12-22T03:11:36ZfasIsfahan University of TechnologyTulīd va Farāvarī-i Maḥṣūlāt-i Zirā̒ī va Bāghī2251-85172008-04-011243267283Factors Influencing Drought Management and Impacts: A Structural Equation Modeling ApproachM. Keshavarz0E. Karami1 Drought is an unavoidable natural disaster in dry and arid regions of the world. Studies indicate that Iran with its geographical and climatic characteristics is poor in water resources. Moreover, it is estimated that in 2025, Iran should increase the water resources by 112% in order to maintain status quo. Therefore, the occurrence of drought is more prevalent in the future. This implies a real challenge for researchers to study how to manage farms during the onset of drought. Inappropriate management strategies result in loss of resources, which in turn leads to more destructive impacts of drought, consequently leading to more droughts in future. The purpose of this survey study was to identify factors influencing drought management among farmers in Fars province, Iran. A multistage stratified random sampling technique was used to select a representative sample of farmers who has experienced drought in recent years. A total of 258 farmers were interviewed using a questionnaire. A panel of experts verified face validity. A pilot study was used to assess the reliability of the measuring instrument. Cluster analysis and Structural Equation Modeling were used for data analysis. Results indicated that farmers with different social, economical, and technical characteristics chose different management strategies when coping with drought conditions. Despite farmers' efforts to manage drought, they face harsh consequences. These consequences include economic losses and degradation of farming environment. It is therefore recommended that policy makers who are involved in drought management programs learn more about farmers' drought mitigation techniques and make further attempts to increase the efficiency and effectiveness of techniques used by farmers.http://jcpp.iut.ac.ir/article-1-838-en.htmlDrought managementDrought impactManagement strategiesStructural equation modeling
spellingShingle M. Keshavarz
E. Karami
Factors Influencing Drought Management and Impacts: A Structural Equation Modeling Approach
Tulīd va Farāvarī-i Maḥṣūlāt-i Zirā̒ī va Bāghī
Drought management
Drought impact
Management strategies
Structural equation modeling
title Factors Influencing Drought Management and Impacts: A Structural Equation Modeling Approach
title_full Factors Influencing Drought Management and Impacts: A Structural Equation Modeling Approach
title_fullStr Factors Influencing Drought Management and Impacts: A Structural Equation Modeling Approach
title_full_unstemmed Factors Influencing Drought Management and Impacts: A Structural Equation Modeling Approach
title_short Factors Influencing Drought Management and Impacts: A Structural Equation Modeling Approach
title_sort factors influencing drought management and impacts a structural equation modeling approach
topic Drought management
Drought impact
Management strategies
Structural equation modeling
url http://jcpp.iut.ac.ir/article-1-838-en.html
work_keys_str_mv AT mkeshavarz factorsinfluencingdroughtmanagementandimpactsastructuralequationmodelingapproach
AT ekarami factorsinfluencingdroughtmanagementandimpactsastructuralequationmodelingapproach