PPM-Decay: A computational model of auditory prediction with memory decay.

Statistical learning and probabilistic prediction are fundamental processes in auditory cognition. A prominent computational model of these processes is Prediction by Partial Matching (PPM), a variable-order Markov model that learns by internalizing n-grams from training sequences. However, PPM has...

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Main Authors: Peter M C Harrison, Roberta Bianco, Maria Chait, Marcus T Pearce
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2020-11-01
Series:PLoS Computational Biology
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008304
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author Peter M C Harrison
Roberta Bianco
Maria Chait
Marcus T Pearce
author_facet Peter M C Harrison
Roberta Bianco
Maria Chait
Marcus T Pearce
author_sort Peter M C Harrison
collection DOAJ
description Statistical learning and probabilistic prediction are fundamental processes in auditory cognition. A prominent computational model of these processes is Prediction by Partial Matching (PPM), a variable-order Markov model that learns by internalizing n-grams from training sequences. However, PPM has limitations as a cognitive model: in particular, it has a perfect memory that weights all historic observations equally, which is inconsistent with memory capacity constraints and recency effects observed in human cognition. We address these limitations with PPM-Decay, a new variant of PPM that introduces a customizable memory decay kernel. In three studies-one with artificially generated sequences, one with chord sequences from Western music, and one with new behavioral data from an auditory pattern detection experiment-we show how this decay kernel improves the model's predictive performance for sequences whose underlying statistics change over time, and enables the model to capture effects of memory constraints on auditory pattern detection. The resulting model is available in our new open-source R package, ppm (https://github.com/pmcharrison/ppm).
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spelling doaj.art-1ab25795fca946e1928d52f545bc0d462022-12-21T19:21:49ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS Computational Biology1553-734X1553-73582020-11-011611e100830410.1371/journal.pcbi.1008304PPM-Decay: A computational model of auditory prediction with memory decay.Peter M C HarrisonRoberta BiancoMaria ChaitMarcus T PearceStatistical learning and probabilistic prediction are fundamental processes in auditory cognition. A prominent computational model of these processes is Prediction by Partial Matching (PPM), a variable-order Markov model that learns by internalizing n-grams from training sequences. However, PPM has limitations as a cognitive model: in particular, it has a perfect memory that weights all historic observations equally, which is inconsistent with memory capacity constraints and recency effects observed in human cognition. We address these limitations with PPM-Decay, a new variant of PPM that introduces a customizable memory decay kernel. In three studies-one with artificially generated sequences, one with chord sequences from Western music, and one with new behavioral data from an auditory pattern detection experiment-we show how this decay kernel improves the model's predictive performance for sequences whose underlying statistics change over time, and enables the model to capture effects of memory constraints on auditory pattern detection. The resulting model is available in our new open-source R package, ppm (https://github.com/pmcharrison/ppm).https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008304
spellingShingle Peter M C Harrison
Roberta Bianco
Maria Chait
Marcus T Pearce
PPM-Decay: A computational model of auditory prediction with memory decay.
PLoS Computational Biology
title PPM-Decay: A computational model of auditory prediction with memory decay.
title_full PPM-Decay: A computational model of auditory prediction with memory decay.
title_fullStr PPM-Decay: A computational model of auditory prediction with memory decay.
title_full_unstemmed PPM-Decay: A computational model of auditory prediction with memory decay.
title_short PPM-Decay: A computational model of auditory prediction with memory decay.
title_sort ppm decay a computational model of auditory prediction with memory decay
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008304
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AT marcustpearce ppmdecayacomputationalmodelofauditorypredictionwithmemorydecay