Radiomics Signature Facilitates Organ-Saving Strategy in Patients With Esophageal Squamous Cell Cancer Receiving Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

After neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) in locally advanced esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC), roughly 40% of the patients may achieve pathologic complete response (pCR). Those patients may benefit from organ-saving strategy if the probability of pCR could be correctly identified before esop...

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Main Authors: Yue Li, Jun Liu, Hong-xuan Li, Xu-wei Cai, Zhi-gang Li, Xiao-dan Ye, Hao-hua Teng, Xiao-long Fu, Wen Yu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2021-02-01
Series:Frontiers in Oncology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2020.615167/full
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author Yue Li
Yue Li
Jun Liu
Hong-xuan Li
Xu-wei Cai
Zhi-gang Li
Xiao-dan Ye
Hao-hua Teng
Xiao-long Fu
Wen Yu
author_facet Yue Li
Yue Li
Jun Liu
Hong-xuan Li
Xu-wei Cai
Zhi-gang Li
Xiao-dan Ye
Hao-hua Teng
Xiao-long Fu
Wen Yu
author_sort Yue Li
collection DOAJ
description After neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) in locally advanced esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC), roughly 40% of the patients may achieve pathologic complete response (pCR). Those patients may benefit from organ-saving strategy if the probability of pCR could be correctly identified before esophagectomy. A reliable approach to predict pathological response allows future studies to investigate individualized treatment plans.MethodAll eligible patients treated in our center from June 2012 to June 2019 were retrospectively collected. Radiomics features extracted from pre-/post-NCRT CT images were selected by univariate logistic and LASSO regression. A radiomics signature (RS) developed with selected features was combined with clinical variables to construct RS+clinical model with multivariate logistic regression, which was internally validated by bootstrapping. Performance and clinical usefulness of RS+clinical model were assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and decision curve analysis, respectively.ResultsAmong the 121 eligible patients, 51 achieved pCR (42.1%) after NCRT. Eighteen radiomics features were selected and incorporated into RS. The RS+clinical model has improved prediction performance for pCR compared with the clinical model (corrected area under the ROC curve, 0.84 vs. 0.70). At the 60% probability threshold cutoff (i.e., the patient would opt for observation if his probability of pCR was >60%), net 13% surgeries could be avoided by RS+clinical model, equivalent to implementing organ-saving strategy in 31.37% of the 51 true-pCR cases.ConclusionThe model built with CT radiomics features and clinical variables shows the potential of predicting pCR after NCRT; it provides significant clinical benefit in identifying qualified patients to receive individualized organ-saving treatment plans.
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spelling doaj.art-1ad8ec3b069645fa94c2d6b99d3f0f0d2022-12-21T19:46:19ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Oncology2234-943X2021-02-011010.3389/fonc.2020.615167615167Radiomics Signature Facilitates Organ-Saving Strategy in Patients With Esophageal Squamous Cell Cancer Receiving Neoadjuvant ChemoradiotherapyYue Li0Yue Li1Jun Liu2Hong-xuan Li3Xu-wei Cai4Zhi-gang Li5Xiao-dan Ye6Hao-hua Teng7Xiao-long Fu8Wen Yu9Department of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, ChinaShanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, ChinaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, ChinaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, ChinaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, ChinaDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, ChinaDepartment of Radiology, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, ChinaDepartment of Pathology, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, ChinaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, ChinaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, ChinaAfter neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) in locally advanced esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC), roughly 40% of the patients may achieve pathologic complete response (pCR). Those patients may benefit from organ-saving strategy if the probability of pCR could be correctly identified before esophagectomy. A reliable approach to predict pathological response allows future studies to investigate individualized treatment plans.MethodAll eligible patients treated in our center from June 2012 to June 2019 were retrospectively collected. Radiomics features extracted from pre-/post-NCRT CT images were selected by univariate logistic and LASSO regression. A radiomics signature (RS) developed with selected features was combined with clinical variables to construct RS+clinical model with multivariate logistic regression, which was internally validated by bootstrapping. Performance and clinical usefulness of RS+clinical model were assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and decision curve analysis, respectively.ResultsAmong the 121 eligible patients, 51 achieved pCR (42.1%) after NCRT. Eighteen radiomics features were selected and incorporated into RS. The RS+clinical model has improved prediction performance for pCR compared with the clinical model (corrected area under the ROC curve, 0.84 vs. 0.70). At the 60% probability threshold cutoff (i.e., the patient would opt for observation if his probability of pCR was >60%), net 13% surgeries could be avoided by RS+clinical model, equivalent to implementing organ-saving strategy in 31.37% of the 51 true-pCR cases.ConclusionThe model built with CT radiomics features and clinical variables shows the potential of predicting pCR after NCRT; it provides significant clinical benefit in identifying qualified patients to receive individualized organ-saving treatment plans.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2020.615167/fullneoadjuvant chemoradiationesophageal cancerresponse predictionorgan-saving treatmentradiomics
spellingShingle Yue Li
Yue Li
Jun Liu
Hong-xuan Li
Xu-wei Cai
Zhi-gang Li
Xiao-dan Ye
Hao-hua Teng
Xiao-long Fu
Wen Yu
Radiomics Signature Facilitates Organ-Saving Strategy in Patients With Esophageal Squamous Cell Cancer Receiving Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy
Frontiers in Oncology
neoadjuvant chemoradiation
esophageal cancer
response prediction
organ-saving treatment
radiomics
title Radiomics Signature Facilitates Organ-Saving Strategy in Patients With Esophageal Squamous Cell Cancer Receiving Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy
title_full Radiomics Signature Facilitates Organ-Saving Strategy in Patients With Esophageal Squamous Cell Cancer Receiving Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy
title_fullStr Radiomics Signature Facilitates Organ-Saving Strategy in Patients With Esophageal Squamous Cell Cancer Receiving Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy
title_full_unstemmed Radiomics Signature Facilitates Organ-Saving Strategy in Patients With Esophageal Squamous Cell Cancer Receiving Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy
title_short Radiomics Signature Facilitates Organ-Saving Strategy in Patients With Esophageal Squamous Cell Cancer Receiving Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy
title_sort radiomics signature facilitates organ saving strategy in patients with esophageal squamous cell cancer receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy
topic neoadjuvant chemoradiation
esophageal cancer
response prediction
organ-saving treatment
radiomics
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2020.615167/full
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