Elevated Risk of Compound Extreme Precipitation Preceded by Extreme Heat Events in the Upper Midwestern United States

Compound extreme events can potentially cause deadlier socio-economic consequences. Although several studies focused on individual extreme climate events, the occurrence of compound extreme events is still not well studied in the upper Midwestern United States. In this study, compound extreme precip...

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Main Authors: Manas Khan, Rabin Bhattarai, Liang Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-09-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/9/1440
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author Manas Khan
Rabin Bhattarai
Liang Chen
author_facet Manas Khan
Rabin Bhattarai
Liang Chen
author_sort Manas Khan
collection DOAJ
description Compound extreme events can potentially cause deadlier socio-economic consequences. Although several studies focused on individual extreme climate events, the occurrence of compound extreme events is still not well studied in the upper Midwestern United States. In this study, compound extreme precipitation preceded by extreme hot day events was investigated. Results showed a strong linkage between extreme precipitation events and extreme hot days. A significant increasing trend was noticed mainly in Iowa (10.1%), northern parts of Illinois (5.04%), and Michigan (5.04%). Results also showed a higher intensity of extreme precipitation events preceded by an extremely hot day compared to the intensity of extreme precipitation events not preceded by an extremely hot day, mostly in the central and lower parts of Minnesota, western and upper parts of Iowa, lower and upper parts of Illinois, parts of Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin for 1950–2010. In other words, extreme heat contributed to more extreme precipitation events. Our findings would provide important insights related to flood management under future climate change scenarios in the region.
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spelling doaj.art-1b1f2c427b3344f68dd1fae378a87e792023-11-19T09:31:19ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332023-09-01149144010.3390/atmos14091440Elevated Risk of Compound Extreme Precipitation Preceded by Extreme Heat Events in the Upper Midwestern United StatesManas Khan0Rabin Bhattarai1Liang Chen2Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL 61801, USADepartment of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL 61801, USADepartment of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE 68588, USACompound extreme events can potentially cause deadlier socio-economic consequences. Although several studies focused on individual extreme climate events, the occurrence of compound extreme events is still not well studied in the upper Midwestern United States. In this study, compound extreme precipitation preceded by extreme hot day events was investigated. Results showed a strong linkage between extreme precipitation events and extreme hot days. A significant increasing trend was noticed mainly in Iowa (10.1%), northern parts of Illinois (5.04%), and Michigan (5.04%). Results also showed a higher intensity of extreme precipitation events preceded by an extremely hot day compared to the intensity of extreme precipitation events not preceded by an extremely hot day, mostly in the central and lower parts of Minnesota, western and upper parts of Iowa, lower and upper parts of Illinois, parts of Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin for 1950–2010. In other words, extreme heat contributed to more extreme precipitation events. Our findings would provide important insights related to flood management under future climate change scenarios in the region.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/9/1440compound extreme eventsextreme precipitationextreme heattrend
spellingShingle Manas Khan
Rabin Bhattarai
Liang Chen
Elevated Risk of Compound Extreme Precipitation Preceded by Extreme Heat Events in the Upper Midwestern United States
Atmosphere
compound extreme events
extreme precipitation
extreme heat
trend
title Elevated Risk of Compound Extreme Precipitation Preceded by Extreme Heat Events in the Upper Midwestern United States
title_full Elevated Risk of Compound Extreme Precipitation Preceded by Extreme Heat Events in the Upper Midwestern United States
title_fullStr Elevated Risk of Compound Extreme Precipitation Preceded by Extreme Heat Events in the Upper Midwestern United States
title_full_unstemmed Elevated Risk of Compound Extreme Precipitation Preceded by Extreme Heat Events in the Upper Midwestern United States
title_short Elevated Risk of Compound Extreme Precipitation Preceded by Extreme Heat Events in the Upper Midwestern United States
title_sort elevated risk of compound extreme precipitation preceded by extreme heat events in the upper midwestern united states
topic compound extreme events
extreme precipitation
extreme heat
trend
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/9/1440
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AT rabinbhattarai elevatedriskofcompoundextremeprecipitationprecededbyextremeheateventsintheuppermidwesternunitedstates
AT liangchen elevatedriskofcompoundextremeprecipitationprecededbyextremeheateventsintheuppermidwesternunitedstates