Source Processes for the Probabilistic Assessment of Tsunami Hazards

The importance of tsunami hazard assessment has increased in recent years as a result of catastrophic consequences from events such as the 2004 Indian Ocean and 2011 Japan tsunamis. In particular, probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment (PTHA) methods have been emphasized to include all possible way...

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Main Authors: Eric L. Geist, Patrick J. Lynett
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Oceanography Society 2014-06-01
Series:Oceanography
Subjects:
Online Access:http://tos.org/oceanography/archive/27-2_geist.pdf
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author Eric L. Geist
Patrick J. Lynett
author_facet Eric L. Geist
Patrick J. Lynett
author_sort Eric L. Geist
collection DOAJ
description The importance of tsunami hazard assessment has increased in recent years as a result of catastrophic consequences from events such as the 2004 Indian Ocean and 2011 Japan tsunamis. In particular, probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment (PTHA) methods have been emphasized to include all possible ways a tsunami could be generated. Owing to the scarcity of tsunami observations, a computational approach is used to define the hazard. This approach includes all relevant sources that may cause a tsunami to impact a site and all quantifiable uncertainty. Although only earthquakes were initially considered for PTHA, recent efforts have also attempted to include landslide tsunami sources. Including these sources into PTHA is considerably more difficult because of a general lack of information on relating landslide area and volume to mean return period. The large variety of failure types and rheologies associated with submarine landslides translates to considerable uncertainty in determining the efficiency of tsunami generation. Resolution of these and several other outstanding problems are described that will further advance PTHA methodologies leading to a more accurate understanding of tsunami hazard.
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spelling doaj.art-1b259bf78222455da5af4b50752031662022-12-21T22:46:27ZengThe Oceanography SocietyOceanography1042-82752014-06-01272869310.5670/oceanog.2014.43Source Processes for the Probabilistic Assessment of Tsunami HazardsEric L. Geist0Patrick J. Lynett1US Geological SurveyUniversity of Southern CaliforniaThe importance of tsunami hazard assessment has increased in recent years as a result of catastrophic consequences from events such as the 2004 Indian Ocean and 2011 Japan tsunamis. In particular, probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment (PTHA) methods have been emphasized to include all possible ways a tsunami could be generated. Owing to the scarcity of tsunami observations, a computational approach is used to define the hazard. This approach includes all relevant sources that may cause a tsunami to impact a site and all quantifiable uncertainty. Although only earthquakes were initially considered for PTHA, recent efforts have also attempted to include landslide tsunami sources. Including these sources into PTHA is considerably more difficult because of a general lack of information on relating landslide area and volume to mean return period. The large variety of failure types and rheologies associated with submarine landslides translates to considerable uncertainty in determining the efficiency of tsunami generation. Resolution of these and several other outstanding problems are described that will further advance PTHA methodologies leading to a more accurate understanding of tsunami hazard.http://tos.org/oceanography/archive/27-2_geist.pdftsunami hazardhazard assessmentPTHA
spellingShingle Eric L. Geist
Patrick J. Lynett
Source Processes for the Probabilistic Assessment of Tsunami Hazards
Oceanography
tsunami hazard
hazard assessment
PTHA
title Source Processes for the Probabilistic Assessment of Tsunami Hazards
title_full Source Processes for the Probabilistic Assessment of Tsunami Hazards
title_fullStr Source Processes for the Probabilistic Assessment of Tsunami Hazards
title_full_unstemmed Source Processes for the Probabilistic Assessment of Tsunami Hazards
title_short Source Processes for the Probabilistic Assessment of Tsunami Hazards
title_sort source processes for the probabilistic assessment of tsunami hazards
topic tsunami hazard
hazard assessment
PTHA
url http://tos.org/oceanography/archive/27-2_geist.pdf
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