Neuropsychological Decline Stratifies Dementia Risk in Cognitively Unimpaired and Impaired Older Adults

ObjectiveValidation and widespread use of markers indicating decline in serial neuropsychological exams has remained elusive despite potential value in prognostic and treatment decision-making. This study aimed to operationalize neuropsychological decline, termed “neuropsychological (NP) decline,” i...

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Main Authors: Jean K. Ho, Daniel A. Nation
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-07-01
Series:Frontiers in Aging Neuroscience
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fnagi.2022.838459/full
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author Jean K. Ho
Daniel A. Nation
Daniel A. Nation
author_facet Jean K. Ho
Daniel A. Nation
Daniel A. Nation
author_sort Jean K. Ho
collection DOAJ
description ObjectiveValidation and widespread use of markers indicating decline in serial neuropsychological exams has remained elusive despite potential value in prognostic and treatment decision-making. This study aimed to operationalize neuropsychological decline, termed “neuropsychological (NP) decline,” in older adults followed over 12 months in order to aid in the stratification of dementia risk along the cognitively unimpaired-to-mild cognitive impairment (MCI) spectrum.MethodsA prospective cohort study utilized 6,794 older adults from the National Alzheimer’s Coordinating Center (NACC) database with a baseline diagnosis of normal cognition, impaired without MCI or with MCI. Operationalization of NP decline over 12-month follow-up used regression-based norms developed in a robustly normal reference sample. The extent to which each participant’s 12-month follow-up score deviated from norm-referenced expectations was quantified and standardized to an NP decline z-score. Cox regression evaluated whether the NP decline metric predicted future dementia.ResultsParticipant’s NP decline scores predicted future all-cause dementia in the total sample, χ2 = 110.71, hazard ratio (HR) = 1.989, p < 0.001, and in the subset diagnosed with normal cognition, χ2 = 40.84, HR = 2.006, p < 0.001, impaired without MCI diagnosis, χ2 = 14.89, HR = 2.465, p < 0.001, and impaired with MCI diagnosis, χ2 = 55.78, HR = 1.916, p < 0.001.ConclusionOperationalizing NP decline over 12 months with a regression-based norming method allows for further stratification of dementia risk along the cognitively unimpaired-to-MCI spectrum. The use of NP decline as an adjunctive marker of risk beyond standard cognitive diagnostic practices may aid in prognosis and clinical decision-making.
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spelling doaj.art-1b3c0e13f4e24fc2a660f5fcf5d1cd172022-12-22T01:29:53ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Aging Neuroscience1663-43652022-07-011410.3389/fnagi.2022.838459838459Neuropsychological Decline Stratifies Dementia Risk in Cognitively Unimpaired and Impaired Older AdultsJean K. Ho0Daniel A. Nation1Daniel A. Nation2Institute for Memory Disorders and Neurological Impairments, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA, United StatesInstitute for Memory Disorders and Neurological Impairments, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA, United StatesDepartment of Psychological Science, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA, United StatesObjectiveValidation and widespread use of markers indicating decline in serial neuropsychological exams has remained elusive despite potential value in prognostic and treatment decision-making. This study aimed to operationalize neuropsychological decline, termed “neuropsychological (NP) decline,” in older adults followed over 12 months in order to aid in the stratification of dementia risk along the cognitively unimpaired-to-mild cognitive impairment (MCI) spectrum.MethodsA prospective cohort study utilized 6,794 older adults from the National Alzheimer’s Coordinating Center (NACC) database with a baseline diagnosis of normal cognition, impaired without MCI or with MCI. Operationalization of NP decline over 12-month follow-up used regression-based norms developed in a robustly normal reference sample. The extent to which each participant’s 12-month follow-up score deviated from norm-referenced expectations was quantified and standardized to an NP decline z-score. Cox regression evaluated whether the NP decline metric predicted future dementia.ResultsParticipant’s NP decline scores predicted future all-cause dementia in the total sample, χ2 = 110.71, hazard ratio (HR) = 1.989, p < 0.001, and in the subset diagnosed with normal cognition, χ2 = 40.84, HR = 2.006, p < 0.001, impaired without MCI diagnosis, χ2 = 14.89, HR = 2.465, p < 0.001, and impaired with MCI diagnosis, χ2 = 55.78, HR = 1.916, p < 0.001.ConclusionOperationalizing NP decline over 12 months with a regression-based norming method allows for further stratification of dementia risk along the cognitively unimpaired-to-MCI spectrum. The use of NP decline as an adjunctive marker of risk beyond standard cognitive diagnostic practices may aid in prognosis and clinical decision-making.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fnagi.2022.838459/fullmild cognitive impairmentsubtle cognitive declinedementiaAlzheimer’s diseaseagingassessment
spellingShingle Jean K. Ho
Daniel A. Nation
Daniel A. Nation
Neuropsychological Decline Stratifies Dementia Risk in Cognitively Unimpaired and Impaired Older Adults
Frontiers in Aging Neuroscience
mild cognitive impairment
subtle cognitive decline
dementia
Alzheimer’s disease
aging
assessment
title Neuropsychological Decline Stratifies Dementia Risk in Cognitively Unimpaired and Impaired Older Adults
title_full Neuropsychological Decline Stratifies Dementia Risk in Cognitively Unimpaired and Impaired Older Adults
title_fullStr Neuropsychological Decline Stratifies Dementia Risk in Cognitively Unimpaired and Impaired Older Adults
title_full_unstemmed Neuropsychological Decline Stratifies Dementia Risk in Cognitively Unimpaired and Impaired Older Adults
title_short Neuropsychological Decline Stratifies Dementia Risk in Cognitively Unimpaired and Impaired Older Adults
title_sort neuropsychological decline stratifies dementia risk in cognitively unimpaired and impaired older adults
topic mild cognitive impairment
subtle cognitive decline
dementia
Alzheimer’s disease
aging
assessment
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fnagi.2022.838459/full
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