pH trends and seasonal cycle in the coastal Balearic Sea reconstructed through machine learning

Abstract The decreasing seawater pH trend associated with increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide levels is an issue of concern due to possible negative consequences for marine organisms, especially calcifiers. Globally, coastal areas represent important transitional land-ocean zones with complex inte...

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Main Authors: Susana Flecha, Àlex Giménez-Romero, Joaquín Tintoré, Fiz F. Pérez, Eva Alou-Font, Manuel A. Matías, Iris E. Hendriks
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2022-07-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-17253-5
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author Susana Flecha
Àlex Giménez-Romero
Joaquín Tintoré
Fiz F. Pérez
Eva Alou-Font
Manuel A. Matías
Iris E. Hendriks
author_facet Susana Flecha
Àlex Giménez-Romero
Joaquín Tintoré
Fiz F. Pérez
Eva Alou-Font
Manuel A. Matías
Iris E. Hendriks
author_sort Susana Flecha
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The decreasing seawater pH trend associated with increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide levels is an issue of concern due to possible negative consequences for marine organisms, especially calcifiers. Globally, coastal areas represent important transitional land-ocean zones with complex interactions between biological, physical and chemical processes. Here, we evaluated the pH variability at two sites in the coastal area of the Balearic Sea (Western Mediterranean). High resolution pH data along with temperature, salinity, and also dissolved oxygen were obtained with autonomous sensors from 2018 to 2021 in order to determine the temporal pH variability and the principal drivers involved. By using environmental datasets of temperature, salinity and dissolved oxygen, Recurrent Neural Networks were trained to predict pH and fill data gaps. Longer environmental time series (2012–2021) were used to obtain the pH trend using reconstructed data. The best predictions show a rate of $$-\,0.0020\pm 0.00054$$ - 0.0020 ± 0.00054 pH units year $$^{-1}$$ - 1 , which is in good agreement with other observations of pH rates in coastal areas. The methodology presented here opens the possibility to obtain pH trends when only limited pH observations are available, if other variables are accessible. Potentially, this could be a way to reliably fill the unavoidable gaps present in time series data provided by sensors.
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spelling doaj.art-1b55ae89e956487d848e84da3df1d5f42022-12-22T03:40:29ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222022-07-0112111110.1038/s41598-022-17253-5pH trends and seasonal cycle in the coastal Balearic Sea reconstructed through machine learningSusana Flecha0Àlex Giménez-Romero1Joaquín Tintoré2Fiz F. Pérez3Eva Alou-Font4Manuel A. Matías5Iris E. Hendriks6Instituto de Ciencias Marinas de Andalucía (ICMAN-CSIC)Instituto de Física Interdisciplinar y Sistemas Complejos, (IFISC-UIB-CSIC), Campus UIBInstituto Mediterráneo de Estudios Avanzados (IMEDEA-UIB-CSIC)Instituto de Investigaciones Marinas (IIM-CSIC)Balearic Islands Coastal Observing and Forecasting System (SOCIB)Instituto de Física Interdisciplinar y Sistemas Complejos, (IFISC-UIB-CSIC), Campus UIBInstituto Mediterráneo de Estudios Avanzados (IMEDEA-UIB-CSIC)Abstract The decreasing seawater pH trend associated with increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide levels is an issue of concern due to possible negative consequences for marine organisms, especially calcifiers. Globally, coastal areas represent important transitional land-ocean zones with complex interactions between biological, physical and chemical processes. Here, we evaluated the pH variability at two sites in the coastal area of the Balearic Sea (Western Mediterranean). High resolution pH data along with temperature, salinity, and also dissolved oxygen were obtained with autonomous sensors from 2018 to 2021 in order to determine the temporal pH variability and the principal drivers involved. By using environmental datasets of temperature, salinity and dissolved oxygen, Recurrent Neural Networks were trained to predict pH and fill data gaps. Longer environmental time series (2012–2021) were used to obtain the pH trend using reconstructed data. The best predictions show a rate of $$-\,0.0020\pm 0.00054$$ - 0.0020 ± 0.00054 pH units year $$^{-1}$$ - 1 , which is in good agreement with other observations of pH rates in coastal areas. The methodology presented here opens the possibility to obtain pH trends when only limited pH observations are available, if other variables are accessible. Potentially, this could be a way to reliably fill the unavoidable gaps present in time series data provided by sensors.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-17253-5
spellingShingle Susana Flecha
Àlex Giménez-Romero
Joaquín Tintoré
Fiz F. Pérez
Eva Alou-Font
Manuel A. Matías
Iris E. Hendriks
pH trends and seasonal cycle in the coastal Balearic Sea reconstructed through machine learning
Scientific Reports
title pH trends and seasonal cycle in the coastal Balearic Sea reconstructed through machine learning
title_full pH trends and seasonal cycle in the coastal Balearic Sea reconstructed through machine learning
title_fullStr pH trends and seasonal cycle in the coastal Balearic Sea reconstructed through machine learning
title_full_unstemmed pH trends and seasonal cycle in the coastal Balearic Sea reconstructed through machine learning
title_short pH trends and seasonal cycle in the coastal Balearic Sea reconstructed through machine learning
title_sort ph trends and seasonal cycle in the coastal balearic sea reconstructed through machine learning
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-17253-5
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