INVESTORS’ OVERCONFIDENCE IN THE STOCK MARKET

An investor would normally depend on technical or/and fundamental analysis to make his/her investment decision in the secondary market. But in most cases the investor may not have time to do these analyses, understand the market or stock and then make the decision, therefore, they often end up taki...

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Main Authors: Rajasekharan Ganesh, S. Thiyagarajan, Gopala Vasudevan, G. Naresh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nicolaus Copernicus University in Toruń 2023-07-01
Series:Copernican Journal of Finance & Accounting
Subjects:
Online Access:https://apcz.umk.pl/CJFA/article/view/45188
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author Rajasekharan Ganesh
S. Thiyagarajan
Gopala Vasudevan
G. Naresh
author_facet Rajasekharan Ganesh
S. Thiyagarajan
Gopala Vasudevan
G. Naresh
author_sort Rajasekharan Ganesh
collection DOAJ
description An investor would normally depend on technical or/and fundamental analysis to make his/her investment decision in the secondary market. But in most cases the investor may not have time to do these analyses, understand the market or stock and then make the decision, therefore, they often end up taking irrational decisions. In some cases, the investors take these irrational decisions on the basis of the overconfidence they have concerning the information they possess. These investors are termed to bear overconfidence bias. The study aims to examine the influence of overconfidence bias in the Indian stock market. The study employed Vector Autoregression (VAR) methodology and impulse response function to know how long the bias persists in the market once the overconfidence bias is influenced by the investor. The results of the study show enough evidence to point out the influence of overconfidence bias in the market and it persists for more than 110 days. The study also finds out Efficient Market Hypothesis does not hold good. Our study period includes the time period since globalization of the Indian stock market and it also covers several periods of stress including the global financial crisis of 2007–08 and COVID-19 period.
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spelling doaj.art-1b634dafafb647fab4585bd27182a2912023-09-03T12:31:19ZengNicolaus Copernicus University in ToruńCopernican Journal of Finance & Accounting2300-12402300-30652023-07-0111410.12775/CJFA.2022.021INVESTORS’ OVERCONFIDENCE IN THE STOCK MARKETRajasekharan Ganesh0S. Thiyagarajan1Gopala Vasudevan2G. Naresh3St. Mary’s College, Sulthan BatheryPondicherry UniversityUniversity of Massachusetts DartmouthIndian Institute of Management Ranchi An investor would normally depend on technical or/and fundamental analysis to make his/her investment decision in the secondary market. But in most cases the investor may not have time to do these analyses, understand the market or stock and then make the decision, therefore, they often end up taking irrational decisions. In some cases, the investors take these irrational decisions on the basis of the overconfidence they have concerning the information they possess. These investors are termed to bear overconfidence bias. The study aims to examine the influence of overconfidence bias in the Indian stock market. The study employed Vector Autoregression (VAR) methodology and impulse response function to know how long the bias persists in the market once the overconfidence bias is influenced by the investor. The results of the study show enough evidence to point out the influence of overconfidence bias in the market and it persists for more than 110 days. The study also finds out Efficient Market Hypothesis does not hold good. Our study period includes the time period since globalization of the Indian stock market and it also covers several periods of stress including the global financial crisis of 2007–08 and COVID-19 period. https://apcz.umk.pl/CJFA/article/view/45188Overconfidence BiasMental ShortcutsVector autoregression (VAR)Impulse Response FunctionNifty 50 Index
spellingShingle Rajasekharan Ganesh
S. Thiyagarajan
Gopala Vasudevan
G. Naresh
INVESTORS’ OVERCONFIDENCE IN THE STOCK MARKET
Copernican Journal of Finance & Accounting
Overconfidence Bias
Mental Shortcuts
Vector autoregression (VAR)
Impulse Response Function
Nifty 50 Index
title INVESTORS’ OVERCONFIDENCE IN THE STOCK MARKET
title_full INVESTORS’ OVERCONFIDENCE IN THE STOCK MARKET
title_fullStr INVESTORS’ OVERCONFIDENCE IN THE STOCK MARKET
title_full_unstemmed INVESTORS’ OVERCONFIDENCE IN THE STOCK MARKET
title_short INVESTORS’ OVERCONFIDENCE IN THE STOCK MARKET
title_sort investors overconfidence in the stock market
topic Overconfidence Bias
Mental Shortcuts
Vector autoregression (VAR)
Impulse Response Function
Nifty 50 Index
url https://apcz.umk.pl/CJFA/article/view/45188
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AT sthiyagarajan investorsoverconfidenceinthestockmarket
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