Опыт геоситуационного моделирования прибрежно-морских систем
The article summarizes years of experience of geosituational modelling of coastal marine systems in the Baltic Sea region and adjacent territories. Kaliningrad universities and academic institutions have done extensive research on the diversity of approaches and models of the regional geosituations...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Russian |
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Immanuel Kant Baltic Federal University
2016-11-01
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| Series: | Балтийский регион |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://journals.kantiana.ru/upload/iblock/06f/%D0%9A%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%95.%20%D0%92.,%20%D0%97%D0%BE%D1%82%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%A1.%20%D0%98.,%20%D0%94%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%92.%20%D0%9F.,%20%D0%A7%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BD%D1%8B%D1%88%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%9F.%20%D0%9F.,%20%D0%96%D0%B8%D0%BD%D0%B4%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B2%20%D0%9B.%20%D0%90._129-145.pdf |
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| author | Krasnov Yevgeny V. Zotov Sergey I. Dedkov Victor P. Chernyshkov Pavel P. Zhindarev Leonid A. |
| author_facet | Krasnov Yevgeny V. Zotov Sergey I. Dedkov Victor P. Chernyshkov Pavel P. Zhindarev Leonid A. |
| author_sort | Krasnov Yevgeny V. |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The article summarizes years of experience of geosituational modelling of coastal marine systems in the Baltic Sea region and adjacent territories. Kaliningrad universities and academic institutions have done extensive research on the diversity of approaches and models of the regional geosituations as well as on identifying the most promising coastal marine areas. Some of the models presented in the present paper are qualitative, while others are empirical and statistical ones. However, the majority of the models can be referred to as forms of graphic and image mapping. The significance of the regional models lies in their specificity, a more detailed character (compared to the generalist ones) and the possibility of using them to back up managerial decisions in critical and emergency situations in order to minimize the negative effects of natural (storms, floods, earthquakes, etc.) and anthropogenic emergency situations. The authors developed a matrix classification attributable to a particular class of models for the situations leading to uncertain outcomes. The authors suggest using numerical methods combined with the empirical and statistical models for the assessment of the impact of industrial fishing on marine environment, minimizing the consequences of storms, floods and others factors. Special attention is paid to the modelling of climate change and geo-ecological consequences, as well as to atlas mapping and landscape planning. As a result of the geosituational analysis the authors got new insights into the solar-terrestrial links, marine-terrestrial ecosystems, global and regional processes related to climate change, oceanization, the vulnerability of natural systems under the increasing pressure of anthropogenic activities, and continuously increasing risks presented by industrial agriculture and other types of land use. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-11T02:21:13Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-1bf3ec2b061c4aee8615323e53879c2d |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2074-9848 2310-0532 |
| language | Russian |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-11T02:21:13Z |
| publishDate | 2016-11-01 |
| publisher | Immanuel Kant Baltic Federal University |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Балтийский регион |
| spelling | doaj.art-1bf3ec2b061c4aee8615323e53879c2d2023-01-02T23:42:02ZrusImmanuel Kant Baltic Federal UniversityБалтийский регион2074-98482310-05322016-11-018412914510.5922/2074-9848-2016-4-9Опыт геоситуационного моделирования прибрежно-морских системKrasnov Yevgeny V. 0Zotov Sergey I. 1Dedkov Victor P. 2Chernyshkov Pavel P. 3Zhindarev Leonid A. 4Immanuel Kant Baltic Federal UniversityImmanuel Kant Baltic Federal UniversityImmanuel Kant Baltic Federal UniversityImmanuel Kant Baltic Federal UniversityImmanuel Kant Baltic Federal UniversityThe article summarizes years of experience of geosituational modelling of coastal marine systems in the Baltic Sea region and adjacent territories. Kaliningrad universities and academic institutions have done extensive research on the diversity of approaches and models of the regional geosituations as well as on identifying the most promising coastal marine areas. Some of the models presented in the present paper are qualitative, while others are empirical and statistical ones. However, the majority of the models can be referred to as forms of graphic and image mapping. The significance of the regional models lies in their specificity, a more detailed character (compared to the generalist ones) and the possibility of using them to back up managerial decisions in critical and emergency situations in order to minimize the negative effects of natural (storms, floods, earthquakes, etc.) and anthropogenic emergency situations. The authors developed a matrix classification attributable to a particular class of models for the situations leading to uncertain outcomes. The authors suggest using numerical methods combined with the empirical and statistical models for the assessment of the impact of industrial fishing on marine environment, minimizing the consequences of storms, floods and others factors. Special attention is paid to the modelling of climate change and geo-ecological consequences, as well as to atlas mapping and landscape planning. As a result of the geosituational analysis the authors got new insights into the solar-terrestrial links, marine-terrestrial ecosystems, global and regional processes related to climate change, oceanization, the vulnerability of natural systems under the increasing pressure of anthropogenic activities, and continuously increasing risks presented by industrial agriculture and other types of land use.https://journals.kantiana.ru/upload/iblock/06f/%D0%9A%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%95.%20%D0%92.,%20%D0%97%D0%BE%D1%82%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%A1.%20%D0%98.,%20%D0%94%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%92.%20%D0%9F.,%20%D0%A7%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BD%D1%8B%D1%88%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%9F.%20%D0%9F.,%20%D0%96%D0%B8%D0%BD%D0%B4%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B2%20%D0%9B.%20%D0%90._129-145.pdfgeosituational modellingcoastal marine systemsKaliningrad regiontypes of modelspractical significanceprospects of development |
| spellingShingle | Krasnov Yevgeny V. Zotov Sergey I. Dedkov Victor P. Chernyshkov Pavel P. Zhindarev Leonid A. Опыт геоситуационного моделирования прибрежно-морских систем Балтийский регион geosituational modelling coastal marine systems Kaliningrad region types of models practical significance prospects of development |
| title | Опыт геоситуационного моделирования прибрежно-морских систем |
| title_full | Опыт геоситуационного моделирования прибрежно-морских систем |
| title_fullStr | Опыт геоситуационного моделирования прибрежно-морских систем |
| title_full_unstemmed | Опыт геоситуационного моделирования прибрежно-морских систем |
| title_short | Опыт геоситуационного моделирования прибрежно-морских систем |
| title_sort | опыт геоситуационного моделирования прибрежно морских систем |
| topic | geosituational modelling coastal marine systems Kaliningrad region types of models practical significance prospects of development |
| url | https://journals.kantiana.ru/upload/iblock/06f/%D0%9A%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%95.%20%D0%92.,%20%D0%97%D0%BE%D1%82%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%A1.%20%D0%98.,%20%D0%94%D0%B5%D0%B4%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%92.%20%D0%9F.,%20%D0%A7%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BD%D1%8B%D1%88%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B2%20%D0%9F.%20%D0%9F.,%20%D0%96%D0%B8%D0%BD%D0%B4%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B2%20%D0%9B.%20%D0%90._129-145.pdf |
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