On the dynamic effects of the cross‐section distribution of sectoral price changes in China

Abstract This paper investigates the dynamic interactions of the cross‐section distribution of sectoral price changes and the output growth in the Chinese economy. We compare in depth the results of Granger causality tests, Impulse Response, and Forecast Error Variance Decompositions from Mixed Samp...

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Main Authors: Biao Gu, Liying Fu, Kehuan Yu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-12-01
Series:International Studies of Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/ise3.60
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author Biao Gu
Liying Fu
Kehuan Yu
author_facet Biao Gu
Liying Fu
Kehuan Yu
author_sort Biao Gu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This paper investigates the dynamic interactions of the cross‐section distribution of sectoral price changes and the output growth in the Chinese economy. We compare in depth the results of Granger causality tests, Impulse Response, and Forecast Error Variance Decompositions from Mixed Sampling Frequency Vector Autoregression (MFVAR) with those from common frequency vector autoregression (VAR). It shows that potential causalities for inflation, relative price variability, relative price skewness, and output growth can be successfully detected by the MFVAR. The cross‐section distribution of sectoral price changes stands to be a fundamental determinant of fluctuations in the aggregate economy, not only in the short run but also in the long run. Moreover, the empirical results are robust to the identification restrictions imposed as well as to alternative measures for model variables. Our findings are in line with the predictions of a standard sticky‐price model, and thus pricing frictions are important factors behind the short‐run nonneutrality of nominal shocks. We highlight the primacy of the information contained in the higher‐order moments of cross‐section distribution of sectoral price changes. We propose that policy authorities should make proper use of all of the valuable information available, particularly those embodied in the distribution of sectoral prices.
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spelling doaj.art-1c8a5fcc2b8347d8b5bb5b79b0d9b9dc2023-12-12T12:17:25ZengWileyInternational Studies of Economics2831-32242023-12-0118446850110.1002/ise3.60On the dynamic effects of the cross‐section distribution of sectoral price changes in ChinaBiao Gu0Liying Fu1Kehuan Yu2School of Economics Shanghai University Shanghai ChinaSchool of Economics Shanghai University Shanghai ChinaSchool of Economics Shanghai University Shanghai ChinaAbstract This paper investigates the dynamic interactions of the cross‐section distribution of sectoral price changes and the output growth in the Chinese economy. We compare in depth the results of Granger causality tests, Impulse Response, and Forecast Error Variance Decompositions from Mixed Sampling Frequency Vector Autoregression (MFVAR) with those from common frequency vector autoregression (VAR). It shows that potential causalities for inflation, relative price variability, relative price skewness, and output growth can be successfully detected by the MFVAR. The cross‐section distribution of sectoral price changes stands to be a fundamental determinant of fluctuations in the aggregate economy, not only in the short run but also in the long run. Moreover, the empirical results are robust to the identification restrictions imposed as well as to alternative measures for model variables. Our findings are in line with the predictions of a standard sticky‐price model, and thus pricing frictions are important factors behind the short‐run nonneutrality of nominal shocks. We highlight the primacy of the information contained in the higher‐order moments of cross‐section distribution of sectoral price changes. We propose that policy authorities should make proper use of all of the valuable information available, particularly those embodied in the distribution of sectoral prices.https://doi.org/10.1002/ise3.60inflationMixed Sampling Frequency Vector Autoregressionrelative price asymmetryrelative price variability
spellingShingle Biao Gu
Liying Fu
Kehuan Yu
On the dynamic effects of the cross‐section distribution of sectoral price changes in China
International Studies of Economics
inflation
Mixed Sampling Frequency Vector Autoregression
relative price asymmetry
relative price variability
title On the dynamic effects of the cross‐section distribution of sectoral price changes in China
title_full On the dynamic effects of the cross‐section distribution of sectoral price changes in China
title_fullStr On the dynamic effects of the cross‐section distribution of sectoral price changes in China
title_full_unstemmed On the dynamic effects of the cross‐section distribution of sectoral price changes in China
title_short On the dynamic effects of the cross‐section distribution of sectoral price changes in China
title_sort on the dynamic effects of the cross section distribution of sectoral price changes in china
topic inflation
Mixed Sampling Frequency Vector Autoregression
relative price asymmetry
relative price variability
url https://doi.org/10.1002/ise3.60
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