A Machine Learning Model to Predict Knee Osteoarthritis Cartilage Volume Changes over Time Using Baseline Bone Curvature

The hallmark of osteoarthritis (OA), the most prevalent musculoskeletal disease, is the loss of cartilage. By using machine learning (ML), we aimed to assess if baseline knee bone curvature (BC) could predict cartilage volume loss (CVL) at one year, and to develop a gender-based model. BC and cartil...

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Main Authors: Hossein Bonakdari, Jean-Pierre Pelletier, François Abram, Johanne Martel-Pelletier
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-05-01
Series:Biomedicines
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9059/10/6/1247
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author Hossein Bonakdari
Jean-Pierre Pelletier
François Abram
Johanne Martel-Pelletier
author_facet Hossein Bonakdari
Jean-Pierre Pelletier
François Abram
Johanne Martel-Pelletier
author_sort Hossein Bonakdari
collection DOAJ
description The hallmark of osteoarthritis (OA), the most prevalent musculoskeletal disease, is the loss of cartilage. By using machine learning (ML), we aimed to assess if baseline knee bone curvature (BC) could predict cartilage volume loss (CVL) at one year, and to develop a gender-based model. BC and cartilage volume were assessed on 1246 participants using magnetic resonance imaging. Variables included age, body mass index, and baseline values of eight BC regions. The outcome consisted of CVL at one year in 12 regions. Five ML methods were evaluated. Validation demonstrated very good accuracy for both genders (R ≥ 0.78), except the medial tibial plateau for the woman. In conclusion, we demonstrated, for the first time, that knee CVL at one year could be predicted using five baseline BC region values. This would benefit patients at risk of structural progressive knee OA.
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spelling doaj.art-1d213a324a5f45a2884c8309a8da25b12023-11-23T15:41:30ZengMDPI AGBiomedicines2227-90592022-05-01106124710.3390/biomedicines10061247A Machine Learning Model to Predict Knee Osteoarthritis Cartilage Volume Changes over Time Using Baseline Bone CurvatureHossein Bonakdari0Jean-Pierre Pelletier1François Abram2Johanne Martel-Pelletier3Osteoarthritis Research Unit, University of Montreal Hospital Research Centre (CRCHUM), Montreal, QC H2X 0A9, CanadaOsteoarthritis Research Unit, University of Montreal Hospital Research Centre (CRCHUM), Montreal, QC H2X 0A9, CanadaMedical Imaging Consultant, ArthroLab Inc., Montreal, QC H2X 0A9, CanadaOsteoarthritis Research Unit, University of Montreal Hospital Research Centre (CRCHUM), Montreal, QC H2X 0A9, CanadaThe hallmark of osteoarthritis (OA), the most prevalent musculoskeletal disease, is the loss of cartilage. By using machine learning (ML), we aimed to assess if baseline knee bone curvature (BC) could predict cartilage volume loss (CVL) at one year, and to develop a gender-based model. BC and cartilage volume were assessed on 1246 participants using magnetic resonance imaging. Variables included age, body mass index, and baseline values of eight BC regions. The outcome consisted of CVL at one year in 12 regions. Five ML methods were evaluated. Validation demonstrated very good accuracy for both genders (R ≥ 0.78), except the medial tibial plateau for the woman. In conclusion, we demonstrated, for the first time, that knee CVL at one year could be predicted using five baseline BC region values. This would benefit patients at risk of structural progressive knee OA.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9059/10/6/1247cartilage volume lossbone curvatureosteoarthritispredictionmachine learning
spellingShingle Hossein Bonakdari
Jean-Pierre Pelletier
François Abram
Johanne Martel-Pelletier
A Machine Learning Model to Predict Knee Osteoarthritis Cartilage Volume Changes over Time Using Baseline Bone Curvature
Biomedicines
cartilage volume loss
bone curvature
osteoarthritis
prediction
machine learning
title A Machine Learning Model to Predict Knee Osteoarthritis Cartilage Volume Changes over Time Using Baseline Bone Curvature
title_full A Machine Learning Model to Predict Knee Osteoarthritis Cartilage Volume Changes over Time Using Baseline Bone Curvature
title_fullStr A Machine Learning Model to Predict Knee Osteoarthritis Cartilage Volume Changes over Time Using Baseline Bone Curvature
title_full_unstemmed A Machine Learning Model to Predict Knee Osteoarthritis Cartilage Volume Changes over Time Using Baseline Bone Curvature
title_short A Machine Learning Model to Predict Knee Osteoarthritis Cartilage Volume Changes over Time Using Baseline Bone Curvature
title_sort machine learning model to predict knee osteoarthritis cartilage volume changes over time using baseline bone curvature
topic cartilage volume loss
bone curvature
osteoarthritis
prediction
machine learning
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9059/10/6/1247
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