The Impact of Fractal Dimension, Stress Tensors, and Earthquake Probabilities on Seismotectonic Characterisation in the Red Sea

The frequency–magnitude statistics of 6527 earthquakes with 1.0 ≤ ml ≤ 5.7 and focal depths between 0 and 49 km in the Red Sea region between 1980 and 2021 show that the threshold magnitude, above which most of the Red Sea earthquakes are precisely located, is 1.5. The b-value, which identifies regi...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Sherif M. Ali, Kamal Abdelrahman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-08-01
Series:Fractal and Fractional
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2504-3110/7/9/658
_version_ 1827726066946408448
author Sherif M. Ali
Kamal Abdelrahman
author_facet Sherif M. Ali
Kamal Abdelrahman
author_sort Sherif M. Ali
collection DOAJ
description The frequency–magnitude statistics of 6527 earthquakes with 1.0 ≤ ml ≤ 5.7 and focal depths between 0 and 49 km in the Red Sea region between 1980 and 2021 show that the threshold magnitude, above which most of the Red Sea earthquakes are precisely located, is 1.5. The b-value, which identifies regional stress situations and associated energy release modalities, has a value of 0.75, less than in historical data, and averages between 0.4 and 0.85 as it varies over time, indicating modest stress accumulation. We utilised these instrumental data to examine dynamic stress patterns in the Red Sea region, shedding light on the region’s geodynamics and providing a foundation for estimating the region’s seismic hazard. The computed fractal dimension (<inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>D</mi><mi>c</mi></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>) has a relatively high value of 2.3, which is significant for the Red Sea’s geological complexity and structural diversity. This result indicates the regular distribution of Red Sea earthquakes, which occur in clusters or along fault lines. The low b-value and comparatively high <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>D</mi><mi>c</mi></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula> were most likely due to major earthquakes in the past and the greater stress they caused. The focal mechanisms of the big earthquakes, predominantly normal solutions, are consistent with the movement and extensional regime. The pressure and tension (P-T) axes show a compression axis trending NW-SE and a tension axis trending NE-SW. According to the stress inversion results, the maximum principal stress (σ1) is oriented vertically, the minimum stress axis (σ3) is subhorizontal and strikes in the NE-SW direction, and the intermediate principal stress (σ2) is trending in the NE-SW direction. The variance in the region that characterises the homogeneity of stress directions within the range is 0.19. The stress ratio (R), which identifies the faulting type, is 0.76, suggesting a normal faulting pattern for the region. The hazard parameters are expressed by the probability of exceedance for 1-, 10-, 50-, and 100-year return periods. The highest probability that an earthquake will occur within a 50-year period is thought to be around 6.0. The largest observed catalogue and instrumental magnitudes in the area, 5.7 and 6.7, respectively, show average recurrence intervals of 36 and 142 years.
first_indexed 2024-03-10T22:44:02Z
format Article
id doaj.art-1d22b39c92be48bdbefa2c7998459059
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2504-3110
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-10T22:44:02Z
publishDate 2023-08-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Fractal and Fractional
spelling doaj.art-1d22b39c92be48bdbefa2c79984590592023-11-19T10:48:24ZengMDPI AGFractal and Fractional2504-31102023-08-017965810.3390/fractalfract7090658The Impact of Fractal Dimension, Stress Tensors, and Earthquake Probabilities on Seismotectonic Characterisation in the Red SeaSherif M. Ali0Kamal Abdelrahman1National Research Institute of Astronomy and Geophysics (NRIAG), 11421 Helwan, Cairo, EgyptDepartment of Geology and Geophysics, College of Science, King Saud University, Riyadh 11451, Saudi ArabiaThe frequency–magnitude statistics of 6527 earthquakes with 1.0 ≤ ml ≤ 5.7 and focal depths between 0 and 49 km in the Red Sea region between 1980 and 2021 show that the threshold magnitude, above which most of the Red Sea earthquakes are precisely located, is 1.5. The b-value, which identifies regional stress situations and associated energy release modalities, has a value of 0.75, less than in historical data, and averages between 0.4 and 0.85 as it varies over time, indicating modest stress accumulation. We utilised these instrumental data to examine dynamic stress patterns in the Red Sea region, shedding light on the region’s geodynamics and providing a foundation for estimating the region’s seismic hazard. The computed fractal dimension (<inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>D</mi><mi>c</mi></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>) has a relatively high value of 2.3, which is significant for the Red Sea’s geological complexity and structural diversity. This result indicates the regular distribution of Red Sea earthquakes, which occur in clusters or along fault lines. The low b-value and comparatively high <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>D</mi><mi>c</mi></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula> were most likely due to major earthquakes in the past and the greater stress they caused. The focal mechanisms of the big earthquakes, predominantly normal solutions, are consistent with the movement and extensional regime. The pressure and tension (P-T) axes show a compression axis trending NW-SE and a tension axis trending NE-SW. According to the stress inversion results, the maximum principal stress (σ1) is oriented vertically, the minimum stress axis (σ3) is subhorizontal and strikes in the NE-SW direction, and the intermediate principal stress (σ2) is trending in the NE-SW direction. The variance in the region that characterises the homogeneity of stress directions within the range is 0.19. The stress ratio (R), which identifies the faulting type, is 0.76, suggesting a normal faulting pattern for the region. The hazard parameters are expressed by the probability of exceedance for 1-, 10-, 50-, and 100-year return periods. The highest probability that an earthquake will occur within a 50-year period is thought to be around 6.0. The largest observed catalogue and instrumental magnitudes in the area, 5.7 and 6.7, respectively, show average recurrence intervals of 36 and 142 years.https://www.mdpi.com/2504-3110/7/9/658Red Seab-valuefractal dimensionfocal mechanismsstress tensorseismic hazard
spellingShingle Sherif M. Ali
Kamal Abdelrahman
The Impact of Fractal Dimension, Stress Tensors, and Earthquake Probabilities on Seismotectonic Characterisation in the Red Sea
Fractal and Fractional
Red Sea
b-value
fractal dimension
focal mechanisms
stress tensor
seismic hazard
title The Impact of Fractal Dimension, Stress Tensors, and Earthquake Probabilities on Seismotectonic Characterisation in the Red Sea
title_full The Impact of Fractal Dimension, Stress Tensors, and Earthquake Probabilities on Seismotectonic Characterisation in the Red Sea
title_fullStr The Impact of Fractal Dimension, Stress Tensors, and Earthquake Probabilities on Seismotectonic Characterisation in the Red Sea
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Fractal Dimension, Stress Tensors, and Earthquake Probabilities on Seismotectonic Characterisation in the Red Sea
title_short The Impact of Fractal Dimension, Stress Tensors, and Earthquake Probabilities on Seismotectonic Characterisation in the Red Sea
title_sort impact of fractal dimension stress tensors and earthquake probabilities on seismotectonic characterisation in the red sea
topic Red Sea
b-value
fractal dimension
focal mechanisms
stress tensor
seismic hazard
url https://www.mdpi.com/2504-3110/7/9/658
work_keys_str_mv AT sherifmali theimpactoffractaldimensionstresstensorsandearthquakeprobabilitiesonseismotectoniccharacterisationintheredsea
AT kamalabdelrahman theimpactoffractaldimensionstresstensorsandearthquakeprobabilitiesonseismotectoniccharacterisationintheredsea
AT sherifmali impactoffractaldimensionstresstensorsandearthquakeprobabilitiesonseismotectoniccharacterisationintheredsea
AT kamalabdelrahman impactoffractaldimensionstresstensorsandearthquakeprobabilitiesonseismotectoniccharacterisationintheredsea