When to keep it simple – adaptive designs are not always useful

Abstract Background Adaptive designs are a wide class of methods focused on improving the power, efficiency and participant benefit of clinical trials. They do this through allowing information gathered during the trial to be used to make changes in a statistically robust manner – the changes could...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: James M. S. Wason, Peter Brocklehurst, Christina Yap
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2019-08-01
Series:BMC Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12916-019-1391-9
_version_ 1811292587936448512
author James M. S. Wason
Peter Brocklehurst
Christina Yap
author_facet James M. S. Wason
Peter Brocklehurst
Christina Yap
author_sort James M. S. Wason
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Adaptive designs are a wide class of methods focused on improving the power, efficiency and participant benefit of clinical trials. They do this through allowing information gathered during the trial to be used to make changes in a statistically robust manner – the changes could include which treatment arms patients are enrolled to (e.g. dropping non-promising treatment arms), the allocation ratios, the target sample size or the enrolment criteria of the trial. Generally, we are enthusiastic about adaptive designs and advocate their use in many clinical situations. However, they are not always advantageous. In some situations, they provide little efficiency advantage or are even detrimental to the quality of information provided by the trial. In our experience, factors that reduce the efficiency of adaptive designs are routinely downplayed or ignored in methodological papers, which may lead researchers into believing they are more beneficial than they actually are. Main text In this paper, we discuss situations where adaptive designs may not be as useful, including situations when the outcomes take a long time to observe, when dropping arms early may cause issues and when increased practical complexity eliminates theoretical efficiency gains. Conclusion Adaptive designs often provide notable efficiency benefits. However, it is important for investigators to be aware that they do not always provide an advantage. There should always be careful consideration of the potential benefits and disadvantages of an adaptive design.
first_indexed 2024-04-13T04:48:30Z
format Article
id doaj.art-1d40f9ceb95f47cd8124e714cd202ac4
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1741-7015
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-13T04:48:30Z
publishDate 2019-08-01
publisher BMC
record_format Article
series BMC Medicine
spelling doaj.art-1d40f9ceb95f47cd8124e714cd202ac42022-12-22T03:01:46ZengBMCBMC Medicine1741-70152019-08-011711710.1186/s12916-019-1391-9When to keep it simple – adaptive designs are not always usefulJames M. S. Wason0Peter Brocklehurst1Christina Yap2Institute of Health and Society, Newcastle UniversityBirmingham Clinical Trials Unit, University of BirminghamCancer Research UK Clinical Trials Unit, University of BirminghamAbstract Background Adaptive designs are a wide class of methods focused on improving the power, efficiency and participant benefit of clinical trials. They do this through allowing information gathered during the trial to be used to make changes in a statistically robust manner – the changes could include which treatment arms patients are enrolled to (e.g. dropping non-promising treatment arms), the allocation ratios, the target sample size or the enrolment criteria of the trial. Generally, we are enthusiastic about adaptive designs and advocate their use in many clinical situations. However, they are not always advantageous. In some situations, they provide little efficiency advantage or are even detrimental to the quality of information provided by the trial. In our experience, factors that reduce the efficiency of adaptive designs are routinely downplayed or ignored in methodological papers, which may lead researchers into believing they are more beneficial than they actually are. Main text In this paper, we discuss situations where adaptive designs may not be as useful, including situations when the outcomes take a long time to observe, when dropping arms early may cause issues and when increased practical complexity eliminates theoretical efficiency gains. Conclusion Adaptive designs often provide notable efficiency benefits. However, it is important for investigators to be aware that they do not always provide an advantage. There should always be careful consideration of the potential benefits and disadvantages of an adaptive design.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12916-019-1391-9Adaptive designClinical trialsEfficiencyPatient benefit
spellingShingle James M. S. Wason
Peter Brocklehurst
Christina Yap
When to keep it simple – adaptive designs are not always useful
BMC Medicine
Adaptive design
Clinical trials
Efficiency
Patient benefit
title When to keep it simple – adaptive designs are not always useful
title_full When to keep it simple – adaptive designs are not always useful
title_fullStr When to keep it simple – adaptive designs are not always useful
title_full_unstemmed When to keep it simple – adaptive designs are not always useful
title_short When to keep it simple – adaptive designs are not always useful
title_sort when to keep it simple adaptive designs are not always useful
topic Adaptive design
Clinical trials
Efficiency
Patient benefit
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12916-019-1391-9
work_keys_str_mv AT jamesmswason whentokeepitsimpleadaptivedesignsarenotalwaysuseful
AT peterbrocklehurst whentokeepitsimpleadaptivedesignsarenotalwaysuseful
AT christinayap whentokeepitsimpleadaptivedesignsarenotalwaysuseful