The Victory of Jair Bolsonaro According to the Brazilian Electoral Study of 2018
The 2018 elections surprised most analysts and political scientists in Brazil and abroad. The competitive dynamic that opposed the PT and the PSDB in presidential elections since 1994 has been disrupted, resulting in a novelty for the Brazilian party system. The purpose of this research article is t...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Brazilian Political Science Association
2020-05-01
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| Series: | Brazilian Political Science Review |
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| Online Access: | https://brazilianpoliticalsciencereview.org/article/the-victory-of-jair-bolsonaro-according-to-the-brazilian-electoral-study-of-2018/ |
| _version_ | 1828943582167302144 |
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| author | Oswaldo E. do Amaral |
| author_facet | Oswaldo E. do Amaral |
| author_sort | Oswaldo E. do Amaral |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The 2018 elections surprised most analysts and political scientists in Brazil and abroad. The competitive dynamic that opposed the PT and the PSDB in presidential elections since 1994 has been disrupted, resulting in a novelty for the Brazilian party system. The purpose of this research article is to identify the determinants of votes for Jair Bolsonaro in the two rounds of the 2018 presidential election from data collected by the Brazilian Electoral Study. By means of multivariate analyses of the two rounds of the presidential election, we found that flourishing 'antipetismo' (i.e. anti-Workers' Party sentiment), growing numbers of voters self-identifying as right wing and increased importance of variables linked to voters' political identification all underpinned the victory of Jair Bolsonaro. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-14T04:17:47Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-1d670e76eb0c4b0893ccc92b17c43d6c |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1981-3821 1981-3821 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-14T04:17:47Z |
| publishDate | 2020-05-01 |
| publisher | Brazilian Political Science Association |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Brazilian Political Science Review |
| spelling | doaj.art-1d670e76eb0c4b0893ccc92b17c43d6c2022-12-21T23:17:28ZengBrazilian Political Science AssociationBrazilian Political Science Review1981-38211981-38212020-05-011401http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1981-3821202000010004The Victory of Jair Bolsonaro According to the Brazilian Electoral Study of 2018Oswaldo E. do Amaral0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9730-3619Universidade Estadual de Campinas, São Paulo, BrazilThe 2018 elections surprised most analysts and political scientists in Brazil and abroad. The competitive dynamic that opposed the PT and the PSDB in presidential elections since 1994 has been disrupted, resulting in a novelty for the Brazilian party system. The purpose of this research article is to identify the determinants of votes for Jair Bolsonaro in the two rounds of the 2018 presidential election from data collected by the Brazilian Electoral Study. By means of multivariate analyses of the two rounds of the presidential election, we found that flourishing 'antipetismo' (i.e. anti-Workers' Party sentiment), growing numbers of voters self-identifying as right wing and increased importance of variables linked to voters' political identification all underpinned the victory of Jair Bolsonaro.https://brazilianpoliticalsciencereview.org/article/the-victory-of-jair-bolsonaro-according-to-the-brazilian-electoral-study-of-2018/brazil electionselectoral behaviorpolitical partiesjair bolsonaro |
| spellingShingle | Oswaldo E. do Amaral The Victory of Jair Bolsonaro According to the Brazilian Electoral Study of 2018 Brazilian Political Science Review brazil elections electoral behavior political parties jair bolsonaro |
| title | The Victory of Jair Bolsonaro According to the Brazilian Electoral Study of 2018 |
| title_full | The Victory of Jair Bolsonaro According to the Brazilian Electoral Study of 2018 |
| title_fullStr | The Victory of Jair Bolsonaro According to the Brazilian Electoral Study of 2018 |
| title_full_unstemmed | The Victory of Jair Bolsonaro According to the Brazilian Electoral Study of 2018 |
| title_short | The Victory of Jair Bolsonaro According to the Brazilian Electoral Study of 2018 |
| title_sort | victory of jair bolsonaro according to the brazilian electoral study of 2018 |
| topic | brazil elections electoral behavior political parties jair bolsonaro |
| url | https://brazilianpoliticalsciencereview.org/article/the-victory-of-jair-bolsonaro-according-to-the-brazilian-electoral-study-of-2018/ |
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