Dynamic parameters for Brazilian financial time series

In this study we analyse a Brazilian stock index called IBOVESPA using techniques from dynamical systems theory and stochastic processes. We discuss the Lyapunov exponent, the correlation dimension, the LempelZiv complexity, the Hurst exponent and the BDS statistics. We compare this study with othe...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Gerson Francisco, Cláudio Paiva, Rogerio Rosenfeld
Format: Article
Language:Portuguese
Published: Universidade de São Paulo 2002-02-01
Series:Economia Aplicada
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/219890
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author Gerson Francisco
Cláudio Paiva
Rogerio Rosenfeld
author_facet Gerson Francisco
Cláudio Paiva
Rogerio Rosenfeld
author_sort Gerson Francisco
collection DOAJ
description In this study we analyse a Brazilian stock index called IBOVESPA using techniques from dynamical systems theory and stochastic processes. We discuss the Lyapunov exponent, the correlation dimension, the LempelZiv complexity, the Hurst exponent and the BDS statistics. We compare this study with other time series including stock prices and deterministic systems. We conclude that the IBOVESPA is a linear stochastic process that exhibits the phenomenon of persistence, thatis, it has long term memory. The stocks are described by nonlinear stochastic processes making it impossible to be simulated with deterministic models such as the usual neural networks architectures.
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1980-5330
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spelling doaj.art-1d72309599524812a592c6c4316644282023-12-08T16:15:05ZporUniversidade de São PauloEconomia Aplicada1413-80501980-53302002-02-0161Dynamic parameters for Brazilian financial time seriesGerson Francisco0Cláudio Paiva1Rogerio Rosenfeld2Universidade Estadual Paulista - Instituto de Fisica TeóricaAnalitix Soluções em Finanças LtdaUniversidade Estadual Paulista. Instituto de Fisica Teórica In this study we analyse a Brazilian stock index called IBOVESPA using techniques from dynamical systems theory and stochastic processes. We discuss the Lyapunov exponent, the correlation dimension, the LempelZiv complexity, the Hurst exponent and the BDS statistics. We compare this study with other time series including stock prices and deterministic systems. We conclude that the IBOVESPA is a linear stochastic process that exhibits the phenomenon of persistence, thatis, it has long term memory. The stocks are described by nonlinear stochastic processes making it impossible to be simulated with deterministic models such as the usual neural networks architectures. https://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/219890deterministicstochasticreconstruction in phase spacecomplexity
spellingShingle Gerson Francisco
Cláudio Paiva
Rogerio Rosenfeld
Dynamic parameters for Brazilian financial time series
Economia Aplicada
deterministic
stochastic
reconstruction in phase space
complexity
title Dynamic parameters for Brazilian financial time series
title_full Dynamic parameters for Brazilian financial time series
title_fullStr Dynamic parameters for Brazilian financial time series
title_full_unstemmed Dynamic parameters for Brazilian financial time series
title_short Dynamic parameters for Brazilian financial time series
title_sort dynamic parameters for brazilian financial time series
topic deterministic
stochastic
reconstruction in phase space
complexity
url https://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/219890
work_keys_str_mv AT gersonfrancisco dynamicparametersforbrazilianfinancialtimeseries
AT claudiopaiva dynamicparametersforbrazilianfinancialtimeseries
AT rogeriorosenfeld dynamicparametersforbrazilianfinancialtimeseries