Ship Navigation Behavior Prediction Based on AIS Data

Real-time and accurate ship navigation dynamic prediction can effectively improve maritime supervision’s intelligence and precision level and ensure ship navigation safety. To further enhance the accuracy of ship navigation dynamic prediction, this paper uses ship AIS as the data source a...

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Main Authors: Tian Liu, Jianwen Ma
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2022-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9768818/
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author Tian Liu
Jianwen Ma
author_facet Tian Liu
Jianwen Ma
author_sort Tian Liu
collection DOAJ
description Real-time and accurate ship navigation dynamic prediction can effectively improve maritime supervision’s intelligence and precision level and ensure ship navigation safety. To further enhance the accuracy of ship navigation dynamic prediction, this paper uses ship AIS as the data source and proposes an ixmproved LSTM navigation dynamic prediction model based on the attention mechanism. Firstly, a set of pre-processing means, including navigation data extraction, abnormal data processing, and missing data interpolation, is proposed to solve the problems of information loss and inaccuracy in AIS data and incomplete retention of dynamic navigation features; secondly, combining the dynamic characteristics of ship navigation in AIS data with time series, using longitude, latitude, heading, speed, a ship heading and time increment as input to establish a dynamic forecasting model for navigation based on LSTM; The existing navigation sequence coding distortion and space-time data incoherence problem, an optimized Attention-LSTM neural network navigation dynamic prediction method is proposed, and the accuracy and robustness of the model are verified by simulation analysis. The results show that this method can achieve high-precision prediction of the ship’s longitude, latitude, heading, and speed.
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spelling doaj.art-1d7291db6aea4f38bcb926dec4ec05da2022-12-22T02:51:56ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362022-01-0110479974800810.1109/ACCESS.2022.31723089768818Ship Navigation Behavior Prediction Based on AIS DataTian Liu0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8293-3864Jianwen Ma1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3470-2636International Business School, Shandong Jiaotong University, Weihai, ChinaInternational Business School, Shandong Jiaotong University, Weihai, ChinaReal-time and accurate ship navigation dynamic prediction can effectively improve maritime supervision’s intelligence and precision level and ensure ship navigation safety. To further enhance the accuracy of ship navigation dynamic prediction, this paper uses ship AIS as the data source and proposes an ixmproved LSTM navigation dynamic prediction model based on the attention mechanism. Firstly, a set of pre-processing means, including navigation data extraction, abnormal data processing, and missing data interpolation, is proposed to solve the problems of information loss and inaccuracy in AIS data and incomplete retention of dynamic navigation features; secondly, combining the dynamic characteristics of ship navigation in AIS data with time series, using longitude, latitude, heading, speed, a ship heading and time increment as input to establish a dynamic forecasting model for navigation based on LSTM; The existing navigation sequence coding distortion and space-time data incoherence problem, an optimized Attention-LSTM neural network navigation dynamic prediction method is proposed, and the accuracy and robustness of the model are verified by simulation analysis. The results show that this method can achieve high-precision prediction of the ship’s longitude, latitude, heading, and speed.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9768818/AIS dataship navigationpredictionattention-LSTM
spellingShingle Tian Liu
Jianwen Ma
Ship Navigation Behavior Prediction Based on AIS Data
IEEE Access
AIS data
ship navigation
prediction
attention-LSTM
title Ship Navigation Behavior Prediction Based on AIS Data
title_full Ship Navigation Behavior Prediction Based on AIS Data
title_fullStr Ship Navigation Behavior Prediction Based on AIS Data
title_full_unstemmed Ship Navigation Behavior Prediction Based on AIS Data
title_short Ship Navigation Behavior Prediction Based on AIS Data
title_sort ship navigation behavior prediction based on ais data
topic AIS data
ship navigation
prediction
attention-LSTM
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9768818/
work_keys_str_mv AT tianliu shipnavigationbehaviorpredictionbasedonaisdata
AT jianwenma shipnavigationbehaviorpredictionbasedonaisdata