Why Don’t More Farmers Go Organic? Using A Stakeholder-Informed Exploratory Agent-Based Model to Represent the Dynamics of Farming Practices in the Philippines

In spite of a growing interest in organic agriculture; there has been relatively little research on why farmers might choose to adopt organic methods, particularly in the developing world. To address this shortcoming, we developed an exploratory agent-based model depicting Philippine smallholder far...

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Main Authors: Laura Schmitt Olabisi, Ryan Qi Wang, Arika Ligmann-Zielinska
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2015-10-01
Series:Land
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/4/4/979
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author Laura Schmitt Olabisi
Ryan Qi Wang
Arika Ligmann-Zielinska
author_facet Laura Schmitt Olabisi
Ryan Qi Wang
Arika Ligmann-Zielinska
author_sort Laura Schmitt Olabisi
collection DOAJ
description In spite of a growing interest in organic agriculture; there has been relatively little research on why farmers might choose to adopt organic methods, particularly in the developing world. To address this shortcoming, we developed an exploratory agent-based model depicting Philippine smallholder farmer decisions to implement organic techniques in rice paddy systems. Our modeling exercise was novel in its combination of three characteristics: first, agent rules were based on focus group data collected in the system of study. Second, a social network structure was built into the model. Third, we utilized variance-based sensitivity analysis to quantify model outcome variability, identify influential drivers, and suggest ways in which further modeling efforts could be focused and simplified. The model results indicated an upper limit on the number of farmers adopting organic methods. The speed of information spread through the social network; crop yields; and the size of a farmer’s plot were highly influential in determining agents’ adoption rates. The results of this stylized model indicate that rates of organic farming adoption are highly sensitive to the yield drop after switchover to organic techniques, and to the speed of information spread through existing social networks. Further research and model development should focus on these system characteristics.
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spelling doaj.art-1d787720078846d89cad16470277eafb2022-12-22T03:11:07ZengMDPI AGLand2073-445X2015-10-0144979100210.3390/land4040979land4040979Why Don’t More Farmers Go Organic? Using A Stakeholder-Informed Exploratory Agent-Based Model to Represent the Dynamics of Farming Practices in the PhilippinesLaura Schmitt Olabisi0Ryan Qi Wang1Arika Ligmann-Zielinska2Department of Community Sustainability and Environmental Science & Policy Program, Michigan State University, 151 Natural Resources Building, 480 Wilson Road, East Lansing, MI 48824, USADepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Virginia Tech, 113 Patton Hall (0105), Blacksburg, VA 24061, USADepartment of Geography and Environmental Science & Policy Program, Michigan State University, Room 121 Geography Building, 673 Auditorium Rd., East Lansing, MI 48824, USAIn spite of a growing interest in organic agriculture; there has been relatively little research on why farmers might choose to adopt organic methods, particularly in the developing world. To address this shortcoming, we developed an exploratory agent-based model depicting Philippine smallholder farmer decisions to implement organic techniques in rice paddy systems. Our modeling exercise was novel in its combination of three characteristics: first, agent rules were based on focus group data collected in the system of study. Second, a social network structure was built into the model. Third, we utilized variance-based sensitivity analysis to quantify model outcome variability, identify influential drivers, and suggest ways in which further modeling efforts could be focused and simplified. The model results indicated an upper limit on the number of farmers adopting organic methods. The speed of information spread through the social network; crop yields; and the size of a farmer’s plot were highly influential in determining agents’ adoption rates. The results of this stylized model indicate that rates of organic farming adoption are highly sensitive to the yield drop after switchover to organic techniques, and to the speed of information spread through existing social networks. Further research and model development should focus on these system characteristics.http://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/4/4/979organic agricultureagent-based modelingsensitivity analysissocial networksPhilippines
spellingShingle Laura Schmitt Olabisi
Ryan Qi Wang
Arika Ligmann-Zielinska
Why Don’t More Farmers Go Organic? Using A Stakeholder-Informed Exploratory Agent-Based Model to Represent the Dynamics of Farming Practices in the Philippines
Land
organic agriculture
agent-based modeling
sensitivity analysis
social networks
Philippines
title Why Don’t More Farmers Go Organic? Using A Stakeholder-Informed Exploratory Agent-Based Model to Represent the Dynamics of Farming Practices in the Philippines
title_full Why Don’t More Farmers Go Organic? Using A Stakeholder-Informed Exploratory Agent-Based Model to Represent the Dynamics of Farming Practices in the Philippines
title_fullStr Why Don’t More Farmers Go Organic? Using A Stakeholder-Informed Exploratory Agent-Based Model to Represent the Dynamics of Farming Practices in the Philippines
title_full_unstemmed Why Don’t More Farmers Go Organic? Using A Stakeholder-Informed Exploratory Agent-Based Model to Represent the Dynamics of Farming Practices in the Philippines
title_short Why Don’t More Farmers Go Organic? Using A Stakeholder-Informed Exploratory Agent-Based Model to Represent the Dynamics of Farming Practices in the Philippines
title_sort why don t more farmers go organic using a stakeholder informed exploratory agent based model to represent the dynamics of farming practices in the philippines
topic organic agriculture
agent-based modeling
sensitivity analysis
social networks
Philippines
url http://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/4/4/979
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