The Role of Climate Changes in the Spread of Freshwater Fishes: Implications for Alien Cool and Warm-Water Species in a Mediterranean Basin
In running waters, under climate change conditions, the combined effect of water warming and decreasing flow rates may encourage colonisation by invasive cool and warm-water fish species. The aim of the study was to analyze the potential climate change effects on the spread of four invasive alien fi...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2021-01-01
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| Series: | Water |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/3/347 |
| _version_ | 1797405814697230336 |
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| author | Antonella Carosi Lucia Ghetti Massimo Lorenzoni |
| author_facet | Antonella Carosi Lucia Ghetti Massimo Lorenzoni |
| author_sort | Antonella Carosi |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | In running waters, under climate change conditions, the combined effect of water warming and decreasing flow rates may encourage colonisation by invasive cool and warm-water fish species. The aim of the study was to analyze the potential climate change effects on the spread of four invasive alien fishes in the Tiber River basin, taking into account the effects of river fragmentation. Fish and environmental data collected in 91 sites over the years 1998–2018, were used to analyze temporal changes in their habitat requirements. A multivariate analysis was conducted, and the hypothesis of a range expansion towards the upstream reaches has been tested. For <i>Barbus barbus, Gobio gobio, Padogobius bonelli</i> and <i>Pseudorasbora parva</i> population abundances and body condition were analyzed. Detectability, occupancy, local extinction and colonization probabilities were estimated. We showed that <i>B. barbus</i> and <i>P. bonelli</i> have significantly extended their range toward upstream. <i>P. parva</i> did not move toward higher altitudes significantly, suggesting that, at this stage, the species has probably reached an equilibrium. River fragmentation, elevation, water temperature and average current speed seem to be major determinants in colonization processes, affecting the dispersal ability of the species. Not surprisingly for species introduced in relatively recent times, the colonization probabilities were much higher than extinction probabilities. Our results provided evidence for some synergistic effects between climate changes and alien fish species invasions, in terms of species range shifts mediated by rising water temperatures, although they should be interpreted cautiously, taking into account that these species most likely were not yet stabilized. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-09T03:15:38Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-1d8c760eb7154fbfb7cc12c6c9537ba0 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2073-4441 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-09T03:15:38Z |
| publishDate | 2021-01-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Water |
| spelling | doaj.art-1d8c760eb7154fbfb7cc12c6c9537ba02023-12-03T15:20:44ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412021-01-0113334710.3390/w13030347The Role of Climate Changes in the Spread of Freshwater Fishes: Implications for Alien Cool and Warm-Water Species in a Mediterranean BasinAntonella Carosi0Lucia Ghetti1Massimo Lorenzoni2Department of Chemistry, Biology and Biotechnologies, University of Perugia, 06100 Perugia, ItalyForest, Economics and Mountain Territory Service, Umbria Region, 06100 Perugia, ItalyDepartment of Chemistry, Biology and Biotechnologies, University of Perugia, 06100 Perugia, ItalyIn running waters, under climate change conditions, the combined effect of water warming and decreasing flow rates may encourage colonisation by invasive cool and warm-water fish species. The aim of the study was to analyze the potential climate change effects on the spread of four invasive alien fishes in the Tiber River basin, taking into account the effects of river fragmentation. Fish and environmental data collected in 91 sites over the years 1998–2018, were used to analyze temporal changes in their habitat requirements. A multivariate analysis was conducted, and the hypothesis of a range expansion towards the upstream reaches has been tested. For <i>Barbus barbus, Gobio gobio, Padogobius bonelli</i> and <i>Pseudorasbora parva</i> population abundances and body condition were analyzed. Detectability, occupancy, local extinction and colonization probabilities were estimated. We showed that <i>B. barbus</i> and <i>P. bonelli</i> have significantly extended their range toward upstream. <i>P. parva</i> did not move toward higher altitudes significantly, suggesting that, at this stage, the species has probably reached an equilibrium. River fragmentation, elevation, water temperature and average current speed seem to be major determinants in colonization processes, affecting the dispersal ability of the species. Not surprisingly for species introduced in relatively recent times, the colonization probabilities were much higher than extinction probabilities. Our results provided evidence for some synergistic effects between climate changes and alien fish species invasions, in terms of species range shifts mediated by rising water temperatures, although they should be interpreted cautiously, taking into account that these species most likely were not yet stabilized.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/3/347non-native fish speciesglobal warmingfish range shiftsdispersal abilityriver connectivitybiodiversity conservation |
| spellingShingle | Antonella Carosi Lucia Ghetti Massimo Lorenzoni The Role of Climate Changes in the Spread of Freshwater Fishes: Implications for Alien Cool and Warm-Water Species in a Mediterranean Basin Water non-native fish species global warming fish range shifts dispersal ability river connectivity biodiversity conservation |
| title | The Role of Climate Changes in the Spread of Freshwater Fishes: Implications for Alien Cool and Warm-Water Species in a Mediterranean Basin |
| title_full | The Role of Climate Changes in the Spread of Freshwater Fishes: Implications for Alien Cool and Warm-Water Species in a Mediterranean Basin |
| title_fullStr | The Role of Climate Changes in the Spread of Freshwater Fishes: Implications for Alien Cool and Warm-Water Species in a Mediterranean Basin |
| title_full_unstemmed | The Role of Climate Changes in the Spread of Freshwater Fishes: Implications for Alien Cool and Warm-Water Species in a Mediterranean Basin |
| title_short | The Role of Climate Changes in the Spread of Freshwater Fishes: Implications for Alien Cool and Warm-Water Species in a Mediterranean Basin |
| title_sort | role of climate changes in the spread of freshwater fishes implications for alien cool and warm water species in a mediterranean basin |
| topic | non-native fish species global warming fish range shifts dispersal ability river connectivity biodiversity conservation |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/3/347 |
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