Analysing the sensitivity of Hungarian landscapes based on climate change induced shallow groundwater fluctuation

One of the undoubtedly recognizable consequences of the ongoing climate change in Hungary is the permanent change of groundwater depth, and consequently the sustainably reachable local water resources. These processes trigger remarkable changes in soil and vegetation. Thus, in research of sensitivit...

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Main Authors: Zoltán Zsolt Fehér, János Rakonczai
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Research Centre for Astronomy and Earth Sciences, Hungarian Academy of Sciences 2019-12-01
Series:Hungarian Geographical Bulletin
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ojs3.mtak.hu/index.php/hungeobull/article/view/1496
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author Zoltán Zsolt Fehér
János Rakonczai
author_facet Zoltán Zsolt Fehér
János Rakonczai
author_sort Zoltán Zsolt Fehér
collection DOAJ
description One of the undoubtedly recognizable consequences of the ongoing climate change in Hungary is the permanent change of groundwater depth, and consequently the sustainably reachable local water resources. These processes trigger remarkable changes in soil and vegetation. Thus, in research of sensitivity of any specific landscape to the varying climatic factors, monitoring and continuous evaluation of the water resources is inevitable. The presented spatiotemporal geostatistical cosimulation framework is capable to identify rearrangements of the subsurface water resources through water resource observations. Application of the Markov 2-type coregionalization model is based on the assumption, that presumably only slight changes have to be handled between two consecutive time instants, hence current parameter set can be estimated based on the spatial structures of prior and current dataset and previously identified parameters. Moreover, the algorithm is capable to take into consideration the significance of the geomorphologic settings on the subsurface water flow. Trends in water resource changes are appropriate indicators of certain areas climate sensitivity. The method is also suitable in determination of the main cause of the extraordinary groundwater discharges, like the one, observed from the beginning of the 1980’s in the Danube–Tisza Interfluve in Hungary.
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spelling doaj.art-1de31048bf27484b961cdd2b5044ad742022-12-22T01:25:28ZengResearch Centre for Astronomy and Earth Sciences, Hungarian Academy of SciencesHungarian Geographical Bulletin2064-50312064-51472019-12-0168435537210.15201/hungeobull.68.4.31496Analysing the sensitivity of Hungarian landscapes based on climate change induced shallow groundwater fluctuationZoltán Zsolt Fehér0János Rakonczai1Department of Physical Geography and Geoinformatics, University of Szeged, Szeged, HungaryDepartment of Physical Geography and Geoinformatics, University of Szeged, Szeged, HungaryOne of the undoubtedly recognizable consequences of the ongoing climate change in Hungary is the permanent change of groundwater depth, and consequently the sustainably reachable local water resources. These processes trigger remarkable changes in soil and vegetation. Thus, in research of sensitivity of any specific landscape to the varying climatic factors, monitoring and continuous evaluation of the water resources is inevitable. The presented spatiotemporal geostatistical cosimulation framework is capable to identify rearrangements of the subsurface water resources through water resource observations. Application of the Markov 2-type coregionalization model is based on the assumption, that presumably only slight changes have to be handled between two consecutive time instants, hence current parameter set can be estimated based on the spatial structures of prior and current dataset and previously identified parameters. Moreover, the algorithm is capable to take into consideration the significance of the geomorphologic settings on the subsurface water flow. Trends in water resource changes are appropriate indicators of certain areas climate sensitivity. The method is also suitable in determination of the main cause of the extraordinary groundwater discharges, like the one, observed from the beginning of the 1980’s in the Danube–Tisza Interfluve in Hungary.https://ojs3.mtak.hu/index.php/hungeobull/article/view/1496climate changeshallow groundwaterspatiotemporal sequential gaussian cosimulationmarkov 2-type coregionalization
spellingShingle Zoltán Zsolt Fehér
János Rakonczai
Analysing the sensitivity of Hungarian landscapes based on climate change induced shallow groundwater fluctuation
Hungarian Geographical Bulletin
climate change
shallow groundwater
spatiotemporal sequential gaussian cosimulation
markov 2-type coregionalization
title Analysing the sensitivity of Hungarian landscapes based on climate change induced shallow groundwater fluctuation
title_full Analysing the sensitivity of Hungarian landscapes based on climate change induced shallow groundwater fluctuation
title_fullStr Analysing the sensitivity of Hungarian landscapes based on climate change induced shallow groundwater fluctuation
title_full_unstemmed Analysing the sensitivity of Hungarian landscapes based on climate change induced shallow groundwater fluctuation
title_short Analysing the sensitivity of Hungarian landscapes based on climate change induced shallow groundwater fluctuation
title_sort analysing the sensitivity of hungarian landscapes based on climate change induced shallow groundwater fluctuation
topic climate change
shallow groundwater
spatiotemporal sequential gaussian cosimulation
markov 2-type coregionalization
url https://ojs3.mtak.hu/index.php/hungeobull/article/view/1496
work_keys_str_mv AT zoltanzsoltfeher analysingthesensitivityofhungarianlandscapesbasedonclimatechangeinducedshallowgroundwaterfluctuation
AT janosrakonczai analysingthesensitivityofhungarianlandscapesbasedonclimatechangeinducedshallowgroundwaterfluctuation