Relationship between extinction magnitude and climate change during major marine and terrestrial animal crises

<p>Major mass extinctions in the Phanerozoic Eon occurred during abrupt global climate changes accompanied by environmental destruction driven by large volcanic eruptions and projectile impacts. Relationships between land temperature anomalies and terrestrial animal extinctions, as well as the...

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Main Author: K. Kaiho
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2022-07-01
Series:Biogeosciences
Online Access:https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/19/3369/2022/bg-19-3369-2022.pdf
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author K. Kaiho
author_facet K. Kaiho
author_sort K. Kaiho
collection DOAJ
description <p>Major mass extinctions in the Phanerozoic Eon occurred during abrupt global climate changes accompanied by environmental destruction driven by large volcanic eruptions and projectile impacts. Relationships between land temperature anomalies and terrestrial animal extinctions, as well as the difference in response between marine and terrestrial animals to abrupt climate changes in the Phanerozoic, have not been quantitatively evaluated. My analyses show that the magnitude of major extinctions in marine invertebrates and that of terrestrial tetrapods correlate well with the coincidental anomaly of global and habitat surface temperatures during biotic crises, respectively, regardless of the difference between warming and cooling (correlation coefficient <span class="inline-formula"><i>R</i>=0.92</span>–0.95). The loss of more than 35 % of marine genera and 60 % of marine species corresponding to the so-called “big five” major mass extinctions correlates with a <span class="inline-formula">&gt;7</span> <span class="inline-formula"><sup>∘</sup></span>C global cooling and a 7–9 <span class="inline-formula"><sup>∘</sup></span>C global warming for marine animals and a <span class="inline-formula">&gt;7</span> <span class="inline-formula"><sup>∘</sup></span>C global cooling and a <span class="inline-formula"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M7" display="inline" overflow="scroll" dspmath="mathml"><mrow><mo>&gt;</mo><mo>∼</mo><mn mathvariant="normal">7</mn></mrow></math><span><svg:svg xmlns:svg="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="26pt" height="10pt" class="svg-formula" dspmath="mathimg" md5hash="9db7e8dcd21642af984e2a574cbd4e31"><svg:image xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="bg-19-3369-2022-ie00001.svg" width="26pt" height="10pt" src="bg-19-3369-2022-ie00001.png"/></svg:svg></span></span> <span class="inline-formula"><sup>∘</sup></span>C global warming for terrestrial tetrapods, accompanied by <span class="inline-formula">±1</span> <span class="inline-formula"><sup>∘</sup></span>C error in the temperature anomalies as the global average, although the amount of terrestrial data is small. These relationships indicate that (i) abrupt changes in climate and environment associated with high-energy input by volcanism and impact relate to the magnitude of mass extinctions and (ii) the future anthropogenic extinction magnitude will not reach the major mass extinction magnitude when the extinction magnitude parallelly changes with the global surface temperature anomaly. In the linear relationship, I found lower tolerance in terrestrial tetrapods than in marine animals for the same global warming events and a higher sensitivity of marine animals to the same habitat temperature change than terrestrial animals. These phenomena fit with the ongoing extinctions.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-1de742306efe4a569a5bca1f58c6ecb42022-12-22T03:03:53ZengCopernicus PublicationsBiogeosciences1726-41701726-41892022-07-01193369338010.5194/bg-19-3369-2022Relationship between extinction magnitude and climate change during major marine and terrestrial animal crisesK. Kaiho<p>Major mass extinctions in the Phanerozoic Eon occurred during abrupt global climate changes accompanied by environmental destruction driven by large volcanic eruptions and projectile impacts. Relationships between land temperature anomalies and terrestrial animal extinctions, as well as the difference in response between marine and terrestrial animals to abrupt climate changes in the Phanerozoic, have not been quantitatively evaluated. My analyses show that the magnitude of major extinctions in marine invertebrates and that of terrestrial tetrapods correlate well with the coincidental anomaly of global and habitat surface temperatures during biotic crises, respectively, regardless of the difference between warming and cooling (correlation coefficient <span class="inline-formula"><i>R</i>=0.92</span>–0.95). The loss of more than 35 % of marine genera and 60 % of marine species corresponding to the so-called “big five” major mass extinctions correlates with a <span class="inline-formula">&gt;7</span> <span class="inline-formula"><sup>∘</sup></span>C global cooling and a 7–9 <span class="inline-formula"><sup>∘</sup></span>C global warming for marine animals and a <span class="inline-formula">&gt;7</span> <span class="inline-formula"><sup>∘</sup></span>C global cooling and a <span class="inline-formula"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M7" display="inline" overflow="scroll" dspmath="mathml"><mrow><mo>&gt;</mo><mo>∼</mo><mn mathvariant="normal">7</mn></mrow></math><span><svg:svg xmlns:svg="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="26pt" height="10pt" class="svg-formula" dspmath="mathimg" md5hash="9db7e8dcd21642af984e2a574cbd4e31"><svg:image xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="bg-19-3369-2022-ie00001.svg" width="26pt" height="10pt" src="bg-19-3369-2022-ie00001.png"/></svg:svg></span></span> <span class="inline-formula"><sup>∘</sup></span>C global warming for terrestrial tetrapods, accompanied by <span class="inline-formula">±1</span> <span class="inline-formula"><sup>∘</sup></span>C error in the temperature anomalies as the global average, although the amount of terrestrial data is small. These relationships indicate that (i) abrupt changes in climate and environment associated with high-energy input by volcanism and impact relate to the magnitude of mass extinctions and (ii) the future anthropogenic extinction magnitude will not reach the major mass extinction magnitude when the extinction magnitude parallelly changes with the global surface temperature anomaly. In the linear relationship, I found lower tolerance in terrestrial tetrapods than in marine animals for the same global warming events and a higher sensitivity of marine animals to the same habitat temperature change than terrestrial animals. These phenomena fit with the ongoing extinctions.</p>https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/19/3369/2022/bg-19-3369-2022.pdf
spellingShingle K. Kaiho
Relationship between extinction magnitude and climate change during major marine and terrestrial animal crises
Biogeosciences
title Relationship between extinction magnitude and climate change during major marine and terrestrial animal crises
title_full Relationship between extinction magnitude and climate change during major marine and terrestrial animal crises
title_fullStr Relationship between extinction magnitude and climate change during major marine and terrestrial animal crises
title_full_unstemmed Relationship between extinction magnitude and climate change during major marine and terrestrial animal crises
title_short Relationship between extinction magnitude and climate change during major marine and terrestrial animal crises
title_sort relationship between extinction magnitude and climate change during major marine and terrestrial animal crises
url https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/19/3369/2022/bg-19-3369-2022.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT kkaiho relationshipbetweenextinctionmagnitudeandclimatechangeduringmajormarineandterrestrialanimalcrises