The Taliban in 2024

Reacting to corruption and oppression in the Kandahar of 1994, the Taliban is seen as working with Sunni clerics to foster a shariat movement for advancing economic justice and (corporal) punishment. Before long, the organization began substantially rewarding joiners, arming for jihad, and resisting...

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Main Author: Michael Semple
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Centre for Security Governance 2014-11-01
Series:Stability : International Journal of Security and Development
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.stabilityjournal.org/article/view/334
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author Michael Semple
author_facet Michael Semple
author_sort Michael Semple
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description Reacting to corruption and oppression in the Kandahar of 1994, the Taliban is seen as working with Sunni clerics to foster a shariat movement for advancing economic justice and (corporal) punishment. Before long, the organization began substantially rewarding joiners, arming for jihad, and resisting international forces in Afghanistan. Now, with less foreign resources to fight the Taliban, the Kabul central government has unfinished business with its still-robust challengers. In the face of recent modernization in sectors such as education and media, the author details three plausible scenarios for the Taliban to maintain its core shariat mission. One scenario is for the Taliban to re-secure (through continued force) its initial goal, viz., overall state power to promote and enforce shariat across urban as well as rural areas. Another possibility projects Afghanistan as operating a dualist system of separate zones, one for the Taliban's ‘liberated territory,’ the other for the rest of Afghanistan as governed by Kabul. Achieving scenario three would be formidable: it posits that Taliban leaders may be persuaded that their armed jihad has run its course and can profitably be disconnected from the Middle East's broader Islamic conflict. Conceivably, then, through accommodations with a shariat-accepting Kabul government, Taliban might be able to win buy-in for peace from its own military and its own fighting priests with their strong ties to Afghan communities in Pakistan.
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spelling doaj.art-1e1731f881ac4984aa11240a233e99952022-12-22T00:54:31ZengCentre for Security GovernanceStability : International Journal of Security and Development2165-26272014-11-013110.5334/sta.eh123The Taliban in 2024Michael Semple0Institute for the Study of Conflict Transformation and Social Justice, Queen’s University Belfast.Reacting to corruption and oppression in the Kandahar of 1994, the Taliban is seen as working with Sunni clerics to foster a shariat movement for advancing economic justice and (corporal) punishment. Before long, the organization began substantially rewarding joiners, arming for jihad, and resisting international forces in Afghanistan. Now, with less foreign resources to fight the Taliban, the Kabul central government has unfinished business with its still-robust challengers. In the face of recent modernization in sectors such as education and media, the author details three plausible scenarios for the Taliban to maintain its core shariat mission. One scenario is for the Taliban to re-secure (through continued force) its initial goal, viz., overall state power to promote and enforce shariat across urban as well as rural areas. Another possibility projects Afghanistan as operating a dualist system of separate zones, one for the Taliban's ‘liberated territory,’ the other for the rest of Afghanistan as governed by Kabul. Achieving scenario three would be formidable: it posits that Taliban leaders may be persuaded that their armed jihad has run its course and can profitably be disconnected from the Middle East's broader Islamic conflict. Conceivably, then, through accommodations with a shariat-accepting Kabul government, Taliban might be able to win buy-in for peace from its own military and its own fighting priests with their strong ties to Afghan communities in Pakistan.http://www.stabilityjournal.org/article/view/334AfghanistanPakistanTalibanIslam
spellingShingle Michael Semple
The Taliban in 2024
Stability : International Journal of Security and Development
Afghanistan
Pakistan
Taliban
Islam
title The Taliban in 2024
title_full The Taliban in 2024
title_fullStr The Taliban in 2024
title_full_unstemmed The Taliban in 2024
title_short The Taliban in 2024
title_sort taliban in 2024
topic Afghanistan
Pakistan
Taliban
Islam
url http://www.stabilityjournal.org/article/view/334
work_keys_str_mv AT michaelsemple thetalibanin2024
AT michaelsemple talibanin2024