Predicting Credit Scores with Boosted Decision Trees

Credit scoring models help lenders decide whether to grant or reject credit to applicants. This paper proposes a credit scoring model based on boosted decision trees, a powerful learning technique that aggregates several decision trees to form a classifier given by a weighted majority vote of classi...

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Main Author: João A. Bastos
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-11-01
Series:Forecasting
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2571-9394/4/4/50
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author João A. Bastos
author_facet João A. Bastos
author_sort João A. Bastos
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description Credit scoring models help lenders decide whether to grant or reject credit to applicants. This paper proposes a credit scoring model based on boosted decision trees, a powerful learning technique that aggregates several decision trees to form a classifier given by a weighted majority vote of classifications predicted by individual decision trees. The performance of boosted decision trees is evaluated using two publicly available credit card application datasets. The prediction accuracy of boosted decision trees is benchmarked against two alternative machine learning techniques: the multilayer perceptron and support vector machines. The results show that boosted decision trees are a competitive technique for implementing credit scoring models.
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spelling doaj.art-1e20d2da1f9744afbe13ef9276543deb2023-11-24T14:52:58ZengMDPI AGForecasting2571-93942022-11-014492593510.3390/forecast4040050Predicting Credit Scores with Boosted Decision TreesJoão A. Bastos0Lisbon School of Economics and Management (ISEG) and CEMAPRE/REM, Universidade de Lisboa, 1200-781 Lisboa, PortugalCredit scoring models help lenders decide whether to grant or reject credit to applicants. This paper proposes a credit scoring model based on boosted decision trees, a powerful learning technique that aggregates several decision trees to form a classifier given by a weighted majority vote of classifications predicted by individual decision trees. The performance of boosted decision trees is evaluated using two publicly available credit card application datasets. The prediction accuracy of boosted decision trees is benchmarked against two alternative machine learning techniques: the multilayer perceptron and support vector machines. The results show that boosted decision trees are a competitive technique for implementing credit scoring models.https://www.mdpi.com/2571-9394/4/4/50forecastingcredit scoringcredit riskboosted decision treesmachine learning
spellingShingle João A. Bastos
Predicting Credit Scores with Boosted Decision Trees
Forecasting
forecasting
credit scoring
credit risk
boosted decision trees
machine learning
title Predicting Credit Scores with Boosted Decision Trees
title_full Predicting Credit Scores with Boosted Decision Trees
title_fullStr Predicting Credit Scores with Boosted Decision Trees
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Credit Scores with Boosted Decision Trees
title_short Predicting Credit Scores with Boosted Decision Trees
title_sort predicting credit scores with boosted decision trees
topic forecasting
credit scoring
credit risk
boosted decision trees
machine learning
url https://www.mdpi.com/2571-9394/4/4/50
work_keys_str_mv AT joaoabastos predictingcreditscoreswithboosteddecisiontrees