A clinical scoring system to prioritise investigation for tuberculosis among adults attending HIV clinics in South Africa.

The World Health Organization (WHO) recommendation for regular tuberculosis (TB) screening of HIV-positive individuals with Xpert MTB/RIF as the first diagnostic test has major resource implications.To develop a diagnostic prediction model for TB, for symptomatic adults attending for routine HIV car...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yasmeen Hanifa, Katherine L Fielding, Violet N Chihota, Lungiswa Adonis, Salome Charalambous, Nicola Foster, Alan Karstaedt, Kerrigan McCarthy, Mark P Nicol, Nontobeko T Ndlovu, Edina Sinanovic, Faieza Sahid, Wendy Stevens, Anna Vassall, Gavin J Churchyard, Alison D Grant
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2017-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5542442?pdf=render
_version_ 1819051285672886272
author Yasmeen Hanifa
Katherine L Fielding
Violet N Chihota
Lungiswa Adonis
Salome Charalambous
Nicola Foster
Alan Karstaedt
Kerrigan McCarthy
Mark P Nicol
Nontobeko T Ndlovu
Edina Sinanovic
Faieza Sahid
Wendy Stevens
Anna Vassall
Gavin J Churchyard
Alison D Grant
author_facet Yasmeen Hanifa
Katherine L Fielding
Violet N Chihota
Lungiswa Adonis
Salome Charalambous
Nicola Foster
Alan Karstaedt
Kerrigan McCarthy
Mark P Nicol
Nontobeko T Ndlovu
Edina Sinanovic
Faieza Sahid
Wendy Stevens
Anna Vassall
Gavin J Churchyard
Alison D Grant
author_sort Yasmeen Hanifa
collection DOAJ
description The World Health Organization (WHO) recommendation for regular tuberculosis (TB) screening of HIV-positive individuals with Xpert MTB/RIF as the first diagnostic test has major resource implications.To develop a diagnostic prediction model for TB, for symptomatic adults attending for routine HIV care, to prioritise TB investigation.Cohort study exploring a TB testing algorithm.HIV clinics, South Africa.Representative sample of adult HIV clinic attendees; data from participants reporting ≥1 symptom on the WHO screening tool were split 50:50 to derive, then internally validate, a prediction model.TB, defined as "confirmed" if Xpert MTB/RIF, line probe assay or M. tuberculosis culture were positive; and "clinical" if TB treatment started without microbiological confirmation, within six months of enrolment.Overall, 79/2602 (3.0%) participants on ART fulfilled TB case definitions, compared to 65/906 (7.2%) pre-ART. Among 1133/3508 (32.3%) participants screening positive on the WHO tool, 1048 met inclusion criteria for this analysis: 52/515 (10.1%) in the derivation and 58/533 (10.9%) in the validation dataset had TB. Our final model comprised ART status (on ART > 3 months vs. pre-ART or ART < 3 months); body mass index (continuous); CD4 (continuous); number of WHO symptoms (1 vs. >1 symptom). We converted this to a clinical score, using clinically-relevant CD4 and BMI categories. A cut-off score of ≥3 identified those with TB with sensitivity and specificity of 91.8% and 34.3% respectively. If investigation was prioritised for individuals with score of ≥3, 68% (717/1048) symptomatic individuals would be tested, among whom the prevalence of TB would be 14.1% (101/717); 32% (331/1048) of tests would be avoided, but 3% (9/331) with TB would be missed amongst those not tested.Our clinical score may help prioritise TB investigation among symptomatic individuals.
first_indexed 2024-12-21T12:01:31Z
format Article
id doaj.art-1e329a1d525b4b33b4ebddff659df2f0
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1932-6203
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-21T12:01:31Z
publishDate 2017-01-01
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
record_format Article
series PLoS ONE
spelling doaj.art-1e329a1d525b4b33b4ebddff659df2f02022-12-21T19:04:48ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032017-01-01128e018151910.1371/journal.pone.0181519A clinical scoring system to prioritise investigation for tuberculosis among adults attending HIV clinics in South Africa.Yasmeen HanifaKatherine L FieldingViolet N ChihotaLungiswa AdonisSalome CharalambousNicola FosterAlan KarstaedtKerrigan McCarthyMark P NicolNontobeko T NdlovuEdina SinanovicFaieza SahidWendy StevensAnna VassallGavin J ChurchyardAlison D GrantThe World Health Organization (WHO) recommendation for regular tuberculosis (TB) screening of HIV-positive individuals with Xpert MTB/RIF as the first diagnostic test has major resource implications.To develop a diagnostic prediction model for TB, for symptomatic adults attending for routine HIV care, to prioritise TB investigation.Cohort study exploring a TB testing algorithm.HIV clinics, South Africa.Representative sample of adult HIV clinic attendees; data from participants reporting ≥1 symptom on the WHO screening tool were split 50:50 to derive, then internally validate, a prediction model.TB, defined as "confirmed" if Xpert MTB/RIF, line probe assay or M. tuberculosis culture were positive; and "clinical" if TB treatment started without microbiological confirmation, within six months of enrolment.Overall, 79/2602 (3.0%) participants on ART fulfilled TB case definitions, compared to 65/906 (7.2%) pre-ART. Among 1133/3508 (32.3%) participants screening positive on the WHO tool, 1048 met inclusion criteria for this analysis: 52/515 (10.1%) in the derivation and 58/533 (10.9%) in the validation dataset had TB. Our final model comprised ART status (on ART > 3 months vs. pre-ART or ART < 3 months); body mass index (continuous); CD4 (continuous); number of WHO symptoms (1 vs. >1 symptom). We converted this to a clinical score, using clinically-relevant CD4 and BMI categories. A cut-off score of ≥3 identified those with TB with sensitivity and specificity of 91.8% and 34.3% respectively. If investigation was prioritised for individuals with score of ≥3, 68% (717/1048) symptomatic individuals would be tested, among whom the prevalence of TB would be 14.1% (101/717); 32% (331/1048) of tests would be avoided, but 3% (9/331) with TB would be missed amongst those not tested.Our clinical score may help prioritise TB investigation among symptomatic individuals.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5542442?pdf=render
spellingShingle Yasmeen Hanifa
Katherine L Fielding
Violet N Chihota
Lungiswa Adonis
Salome Charalambous
Nicola Foster
Alan Karstaedt
Kerrigan McCarthy
Mark P Nicol
Nontobeko T Ndlovu
Edina Sinanovic
Faieza Sahid
Wendy Stevens
Anna Vassall
Gavin J Churchyard
Alison D Grant
A clinical scoring system to prioritise investigation for tuberculosis among adults attending HIV clinics in South Africa.
PLoS ONE
title A clinical scoring system to prioritise investigation for tuberculosis among adults attending HIV clinics in South Africa.
title_full A clinical scoring system to prioritise investigation for tuberculosis among adults attending HIV clinics in South Africa.
title_fullStr A clinical scoring system to prioritise investigation for tuberculosis among adults attending HIV clinics in South Africa.
title_full_unstemmed A clinical scoring system to prioritise investigation for tuberculosis among adults attending HIV clinics in South Africa.
title_short A clinical scoring system to prioritise investigation for tuberculosis among adults attending HIV clinics in South Africa.
title_sort clinical scoring system to prioritise investigation for tuberculosis among adults attending hiv clinics in south africa
url http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5542442?pdf=render
work_keys_str_mv AT yasmeenhanifa aclinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT katherinelfielding aclinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT violetnchihota aclinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT lungiswaadonis aclinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT salomecharalambous aclinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT nicolafoster aclinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT alankarstaedt aclinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT kerriganmccarthy aclinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT markpnicol aclinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT nontobekotndlovu aclinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT edinasinanovic aclinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT faiezasahid aclinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT wendystevens aclinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT annavassall aclinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT gavinjchurchyard aclinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT alisondgrant aclinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT yasmeenhanifa clinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT katherinelfielding clinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT violetnchihota clinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT lungiswaadonis clinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT salomecharalambous clinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT nicolafoster clinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT alankarstaedt clinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT kerriganmccarthy clinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT markpnicol clinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT nontobekotndlovu clinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT edinasinanovic clinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT faiezasahid clinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT wendystevens clinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT annavassall clinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT gavinjchurchyard clinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica
AT alisondgrant clinicalscoringsystemtoprioritiseinvestigationfortuberculosisamongadultsattendinghivclinicsinsouthafrica