Does Trade Help to Explain Tourism Demand? The Case of Portugal

The tourism industry has expanded in recent years due to internal and external environmental forces. These forces, income, trade, consumer price, and geographical distance are interconnected. Accounting for imperfect competition and increasing returns to scale, the new trade theory offers the explan...

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Main Author: Nuno Carlos LEITÃO
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: General Association of Economists from Romania 2010-03-01
Series:Theoretical and Applied Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.ectap.ro/articole/451.pdf
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author Nuno Carlos LEITÃO
author_facet Nuno Carlos LEITÃO
author_sort Nuno Carlos LEITÃO
collection DOAJ
description The tourism industry has expanded in recent years due to internal and external environmental forces. These forces, income, trade, consumer price, and geographical distance are interconnected. Accounting for imperfect competition and increasing returns to scale, the new trade theory offers the explanation of dynamic gains from international trade. A large number of studies attempt to test the hypothesis that there is a link between trade and tourism. Most of the studies show that trade and tourism are positively correlated. This paper specifies static and dynamic panel demand models for tourism in Portugal and estimates demand equations using tourist inflow data for the period 1995-2006. We find that bilateral trade, immigration, border, and geographical distance between Portugal and countries of origin are the main determinants of tourism to Portugal. The dynamic panel data approach indicates that trade, population, and income are more important determinants than relative price.
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spelling doaj.art-1e39bcabb863420b81ac94bf330631b42022-12-21T22:24:24ZengGeneral Association of Economists from RomaniaTheoretical and Applied Economics1841-86782010-03-0103(544)03(544)6474Does Trade Help to Explain Tourism Demand? The Case of PortugalNuno Carlos LEITÃOThe tourism industry has expanded in recent years due to internal and external environmental forces. These forces, income, trade, consumer price, and geographical distance are interconnected. Accounting for imperfect competition and increasing returns to scale, the new trade theory offers the explanation of dynamic gains from international trade. A large number of studies attempt to test the hypothesis that there is a link between trade and tourism. Most of the studies show that trade and tourism are positively correlated. This paper specifies static and dynamic panel demand models for tourism in Portugal and estimates demand equations using tourist inflow data for the period 1995-2006. We find that bilateral trade, immigration, border, and geographical distance between Portugal and countries of origin are the main determinants of tourism to Portugal. The dynamic panel data approach indicates that trade, population, and income are more important determinants than relative price.http://www.ectap.ro/articole/451.pdftradetourism demandpanel datatourism forecastingqualitative methodsPortugal.
spellingShingle Nuno Carlos LEITÃO
Does Trade Help to Explain Tourism Demand? The Case of Portugal
Theoretical and Applied Economics
trade
tourism demand
panel data
tourism forecasting
qualitative methods
Portugal.
title Does Trade Help to Explain Tourism Demand? The Case of Portugal
title_full Does Trade Help to Explain Tourism Demand? The Case of Portugal
title_fullStr Does Trade Help to Explain Tourism Demand? The Case of Portugal
title_full_unstemmed Does Trade Help to Explain Tourism Demand? The Case of Portugal
title_short Does Trade Help to Explain Tourism Demand? The Case of Portugal
title_sort does trade help to explain tourism demand the case of portugal
topic trade
tourism demand
panel data
tourism forecasting
qualitative methods
Portugal.
url http://www.ectap.ro/articole/451.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT nunocarlosleitao doestradehelptoexplaintourismdemandthecaseofportugal