Surfacing Positioning Point Prediction of Underwater Glider with a New Combination Model

Combination prediction models have gained great development in the area of information science, and are widely applied in engineering fields. The underwater glider (UG) is a new type of unmanned vehicle used in ocean observation for the advantages of long endurance, low noise, etc. However, due to i...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Runfeng Zhang, Wendong Niu, Xu Wan, Yining Wu, Dongyang Xue, Shaoqiong Yang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-05-01
Series:Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/11/5/972
_version_ 1797599491539337216
author Runfeng Zhang
Wendong Niu
Xu Wan
Yining Wu
Dongyang Xue
Shaoqiong Yang
author_facet Runfeng Zhang
Wendong Niu
Xu Wan
Yining Wu
Dongyang Xue
Shaoqiong Yang
author_sort Runfeng Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Combination prediction models have gained great development in the area of information science, and are widely applied in engineering fields. The underwater glider (UG) is a new type of unmanned vehicle used in ocean observation for the advantages of long endurance, low noise, etc. However, due to its lower speed relative to the ocean current, the surfacing positioning point (SPP) of an UG often drifts greatly away from the preset waypoint. Therefore, this paper proposes a new combination model for predicting the SPP at different time scales. First, the kinematic model and working flow of the Petrel-L glider is analyzed. Then, this paper introduces the principles of a newly proposed combination model which integrates single prediction models with optimal weight. Afterwards, to make an accurate prediction, ocean current data are interpolated and averaged according to the diving depth of UGs as an external influencing factor. Meanwhile, with sea trial data collected in the northern South China Sea by Petrel-L, which had a total range of 4230.5 km, SPPs are predicted using single prediction models at different time scales, and the combination weights are derived with a novel simulated annealing optimized Frank–Wolfe method. Finally, the evaluated results demonstrate that the MAE and MSE are 966 m and 969 m, which proves that the single models achieved good performance under specified situations, and the combination model performed better at full scale because it integrates the advantages of the single models. Furthermore, the predicted SPPs will be helpful in the dead reckoning of the UG, and the proposed new combination method could extend into other fields for prediction.
first_indexed 2024-03-11T03:36:12Z
format Article
id doaj.art-1e6b6f98b28146a6be57bf7ef0608c73
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2077-1312
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-11T03:36:12Z
publishDate 2023-05-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
spelling doaj.art-1e6b6f98b28146a6be57bf7ef0608c732023-11-18T01:59:20ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122023-05-0111597210.3390/jmse11050972Surfacing Positioning Point Prediction of Underwater Glider with a New Combination ModelRunfeng Zhang0Wendong Niu1Xu Wan2Yining Wu3Dongyang Xue4Shaoqiong Yang5Tianjin Key Laboratory for Advanced Mechatronic System Design and Intelligent Control, School of Mechanical Engineering, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin 300384, ChinaKey Laboratory of Mechanism Theory and Equipment Design of Ministry of Education, School of Mechanical Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300350, ChinaKey Laboratory of Mechanism Theory and Equipment Design of Ministry of Education, School of Mechanical Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300350, ChinaTianjin Key Laboratory for Advanced Mechatronic System Design and Intelligent Control, School of Mechanical Engineering, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin 300384, ChinaSchool of Mechanical Engineering, Tianjin University of Commerce, Tianjin 300134, ChinaKey Laboratory of Mechanism Theory and Equipment Design of Ministry of Education, School of Mechanical Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300350, ChinaCombination prediction models have gained great development in the area of information science, and are widely applied in engineering fields. The underwater glider (UG) is a new type of unmanned vehicle used in ocean observation for the advantages of long endurance, low noise, etc. However, due to its lower speed relative to the ocean current, the surfacing positioning point (SPP) of an UG often drifts greatly away from the preset waypoint. Therefore, this paper proposes a new combination model for predicting the SPP at different time scales. First, the kinematic model and working flow of the Petrel-L glider is analyzed. Then, this paper introduces the principles of a newly proposed combination model which integrates single prediction models with optimal weight. Afterwards, to make an accurate prediction, ocean current data are interpolated and averaged according to the diving depth of UGs as an external influencing factor. Meanwhile, with sea trial data collected in the northern South China Sea by Petrel-L, which had a total range of 4230.5 km, SPPs are predicted using single prediction models at different time scales, and the combination weights are derived with a novel simulated annealing optimized Frank–Wolfe method. Finally, the evaluated results demonstrate that the MAE and MSE are 966 m and 969 m, which proves that the single models achieved good performance under specified situations, and the combination model performed better at full scale because it integrates the advantages of the single models. Furthermore, the predicted SPPs will be helpful in the dead reckoning of the UG, and the proposed new combination method could extend into other fields for prediction.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/11/5/972underwater glider (UG)surfacing positioning point (SPP)combination prediction modeloceanic depth-averaged current
spellingShingle Runfeng Zhang
Wendong Niu
Xu Wan
Yining Wu
Dongyang Xue
Shaoqiong Yang
Surfacing Positioning Point Prediction of Underwater Glider with a New Combination Model
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
underwater glider (UG)
surfacing positioning point (SPP)
combination prediction model
oceanic depth-averaged current
title Surfacing Positioning Point Prediction of Underwater Glider with a New Combination Model
title_full Surfacing Positioning Point Prediction of Underwater Glider with a New Combination Model
title_fullStr Surfacing Positioning Point Prediction of Underwater Glider with a New Combination Model
title_full_unstemmed Surfacing Positioning Point Prediction of Underwater Glider with a New Combination Model
title_short Surfacing Positioning Point Prediction of Underwater Glider with a New Combination Model
title_sort surfacing positioning point prediction of underwater glider with a new combination model
topic underwater glider (UG)
surfacing positioning point (SPP)
combination prediction model
oceanic depth-averaged current
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/11/5/972
work_keys_str_mv AT runfengzhang surfacingpositioningpointpredictionofunderwatergliderwithanewcombinationmodel
AT wendongniu surfacingpositioningpointpredictionofunderwatergliderwithanewcombinationmodel
AT xuwan surfacingpositioningpointpredictionofunderwatergliderwithanewcombinationmodel
AT yiningwu surfacingpositioningpointpredictionofunderwatergliderwithanewcombinationmodel
AT dongyangxue surfacingpositioningpointpredictionofunderwatergliderwithanewcombinationmodel
AT shaoqiongyang surfacingpositioningpointpredictionofunderwatergliderwithanewcombinationmodel