Forty years of improvements in European air quality: regional policy-industry interactions with global impacts
The EDGARv4.3.1 (Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research) global anthropogenic emissions inventory of gaseous (SO<sub>2</sub>, NO<sub><i>x</i></sub>, CO, non-methane volatile organic compounds and NH<sub>3</sub>) and particulate (PM<su...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Copernicus Publications
2016-03-01
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| Series: | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics |
| Online Access: | https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/3825/2016/acp-16-3825-2016.pdf |
| _version_ | 1828465286386286592 |
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| author | M. Crippa G. Janssens-Maenhout F. Dentener D. Guizzardi K. Sindelarova K. Sindelarova M. Muntean R. Van Dingenen C. Granier C. Granier C. Granier |
| author_facet | M. Crippa G. Janssens-Maenhout F. Dentener D. Guizzardi K. Sindelarova K. Sindelarova M. Muntean R. Van Dingenen C. Granier C. Granier C. Granier |
| author_sort | M. Crippa |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The EDGARv4.3.1 (Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research) global
anthropogenic emissions inventory of gaseous (SO<sub>2</sub>, NO<sub><i>x</i></sub>, CO,
non-methane volatile organic compounds and NH<sub>3</sub>) and particulate
(PM<sub>10</sub>, PM<sub>2.5</sub>, black and organic carbon) air pollutants for the
period 1970–2010 is used to develop retrospective air pollution emissions
scenarios to quantify the roles and contributions of changes in energy
consumption and efficiency, technology progress and end-of-pipe emission
reduction measures and their resulting impact on health and crop yields at
European and global scale. The reference EDGARv4.3.1 emissions include
observed and reported changes in activity data, fuel consumption and air
pollution abatement technologies over the past 4 decades, combined with Tier
1 and region-specific Tier 2 emission factors. Two further retrospective
scenarios assess the interplay of policy and industry. The highest emission
STAG_TECH scenario assesses the impact of the technology and
end-of-pipe reduction measures in the European Union, by considering
historical fuel consumption, along with a stagnation of technology with
constant emission factors since 1970, and assuming no further abatement
measures and improvement imposed by European emission standards. The lowest
emission STAG_ENERGY scenario evaluates the impact of
increased fuel consumption by considering unchanged energy consumption since
the year 1970, but assuming the technological development, end-of-pipe
reductions, fuel mix and energy efficiency of 2010. Our scenario analysis
focuses on the three most important and most regulated sectors (power
generation, manufacturing industry and road transport), which are subject to
multi-pollutant European Union Air Quality regulations. Stagnation of
technology and air pollution reduction measures at 1970 levels would have
led to 129 % (or factor 2.3) higher SO<sub>2</sub>, 71 % higher NO<sub><i>x</i></sub> and 69 % higher PM<sub>2.5</sub> emissions in Europe (EU27), demonstrating the large
role that technology has played in reducing emissions in 2010. However,
stagnation of energy consumption at 1970 levels, but with 2010 fuel mix and
energy efficiency, and assuming current (year 2010) technology and emission
control standards, would have lowered today's NO<sub><i>x</i></sub> emissions by ca. 38 %, SO<sub>2</sub> by 50 % and PM<sub>2.5</sub> by 12 % in Europe. A reduced-form
chemical transport model is applied to calculate regional and global levels
of aerosol and ozone concentrations and to assess the associated impact of
air quality improvements on human health and crop yield loss, showing
substantial impacts of EU technologies and standards inside as well as
outside Europe. We assess that the interplay of policy and technological
advance in Europe had substantial benefits in Europe, but also led to an
important improvement of particulate matter air quality in other parts of
the world. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-11T03:30:05Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-1e767cf6d8574917973c12c792347ac7 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1680-7316 1680-7324 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-11T03:30:05Z |
| publishDate | 2016-03-01 |
| publisher | Copernicus Publications |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics |
| spelling | doaj.art-1e767cf6d8574917973c12c792347ac72022-12-22T01:22:24ZengCopernicus PublicationsAtmospheric Chemistry and Physics1680-73161680-73242016-03-01163825384110.5194/acp-16-3825-2016Forty years of improvements in European air quality: regional policy-industry interactions with global impactsM. Crippa0G. Janssens-Maenhout1F. Dentener2D. Guizzardi3K. Sindelarova4K. Sindelarova5M. Muntean6R. Van Dingenen7C. Granier8C. Granier9C. Granier10European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Institute for Environment and Sustainability (IES),Via Fermi, 2749, 21027 Ispra, ItalyEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Institute for Environment and Sustainability (IES),Via Fermi, 2749, 21027 Ispra, ItalyEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Institute for Environment and Sustainability (IES),Via Fermi, 2749, 21027 Ispra, ItalyEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Institute for Environment and Sustainability (IES),Via Fermi, 2749, 21027 Ispra, ItalyUPMC Univ. Paris 06, Université Versailles St-Quentin, CNRS/INSU, LATMOS-IPSL, Paris, FranceDepartment of Atmospheric Physics, Charles University in Prague, Prague, Czech RepublicEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Institute for Environment and Sustainability (IES),Via Fermi, 2749, 21027 Ispra, ItalyEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Institute for Environment and Sustainability (IES),Via Fermi, 2749, 21027 Ispra, ItalyUPMC Univ. Paris 06, Université Versailles St-Quentin, CNRS/INSU, LATMOS-IPSL, Paris, FranceMax Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, GermanyCooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, Colorado, USAThe EDGARv4.3.1 (Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research) global anthropogenic emissions inventory of gaseous (SO<sub>2</sub>, NO<sub><i>x</i></sub>, CO, non-methane volatile organic compounds and NH<sub>3</sub>) and particulate (PM<sub>10</sub>, PM<sub>2.5</sub>, black and organic carbon) air pollutants for the period 1970–2010 is used to develop retrospective air pollution emissions scenarios to quantify the roles and contributions of changes in energy consumption and efficiency, technology progress and end-of-pipe emission reduction measures and their resulting impact on health and crop yields at European and global scale. The reference EDGARv4.3.1 emissions include observed and reported changes in activity data, fuel consumption and air pollution abatement technologies over the past 4 decades, combined with Tier 1 and region-specific Tier 2 emission factors. Two further retrospective scenarios assess the interplay of policy and industry. The highest emission STAG_TECH scenario assesses the impact of the technology and end-of-pipe reduction measures in the European Union, by considering historical fuel consumption, along with a stagnation of technology with constant emission factors since 1970, and assuming no further abatement measures and improvement imposed by European emission standards. The lowest emission STAG_ENERGY scenario evaluates the impact of increased fuel consumption by considering unchanged energy consumption since the year 1970, but assuming the technological development, end-of-pipe reductions, fuel mix and energy efficiency of 2010. Our scenario analysis focuses on the three most important and most regulated sectors (power generation, manufacturing industry and road transport), which are subject to multi-pollutant European Union Air Quality regulations. Stagnation of technology and air pollution reduction measures at 1970 levels would have led to 129 % (or factor 2.3) higher SO<sub>2</sub>, 71 % higher NO<sub><i>x</i></sub> and 69 % higher PM<sub>2.5</sub> emissions in Europe (EU27), demonstrating the large role that technology has played in reducing emissions in 2010. However, stagnation of energy consumption at 1970 levels, but with 2010 fuel mix and energy efficiency, and assuming current (year 2010) technology and emission control standards, would have lowered today's NO<sub><i>x</i></sub> emissions by ca. 38 %, SO<sub>2</sub> by 50 % and PM<sub>2.5</sub> by 12 % in Europe. A reduced-form chemical transport model is applied to calculate regional and global levels of aerosol and ozone concentrations and to assess the associated impact of air quality improvements on human health and crop yield loss, showing substantial impacts of EU technologies and standards inside as well as outside Europe. We assess that the interplay of policy and technological advance in Europe had substantial benefits in Europe, but also led to an important improvement of particulate matter air quality in other parts of the world.https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/3825/2016/acp-16-3825-2016.pdf |
| spellingShingle | M. Crippa G. Janssens-Maenhout F. Dentener D. Guizzardi K. Sindelarova K. Sindelarova M. Muntean R. Van Dingenen C. Granier C. Granier C. Granier Forty years of improvements in European air quality: regional policy-industry interactions with global impacts Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics |
| title | Forty years of improvements in European air quality: regional policy-industry interactions with global impacts |
| title_full | Forty years of improvements in European air quality: regional policy-industry interactions with global impacts |
| title_fullStr | Forty years of improvements in European air quality: regional policy-industry interactions with global impacts |
| title_full_unstemmed | Forty years of improvements in European air quality: regional policy-industry interactions with global impacts |
| title_short | Forty years of improvements in European air quality: regional policy-industry interactions with global impacts |
| title_sort | forty years of improvements in european air quality regional policy industry interactions with global impacts |
| url | https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/3825/2016/acp-16-3825-2016.pdf |
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