Future burden of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil: a population-based study
Prostate cancer mortality projections at the nationwide and regional levels to the year 2025 are carried out in this ecological study that is based on an analysis of Brazilian trends between 1996 and 2010. The predictions were made for the period 2011-2025 utilizing the Nordpred program based on the...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz
2014-11-01
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| Series: | Cadernos de Saúde Pública |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0102-311X2014001102451&lng=en&tlng=en |
| _version_ | 1818266146822946816 |
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| author | Javier Jerez-Roig Dyego L. B. Souza Pablo F. M. Medeiros Isabelle R. Barbosa Maria P. Curado Iris C. C. Costa Kenio Costa Lima |
| author_facet | Javier Jerez-Roig Dyego L. B. Souza Pablo F. M. Medeiros Isabelle R. Barbosa Maria P. Curado Iris C. C. Costa Kenio Costa Lima |
| author_sort | Javier Jerez-Roig |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Prostate cancer mortality projections at the nationwide and regional levels to the year 2025 are carried out in this ecological study that is based on an analysis of Brazilian trends between 1996 and 2010. The predictions were made for the period 2011-2025 utilizing the Nordpred program based on the period of 1996-2010, using the age-period-cohort model. A significant increase was observed in the Brazilian rates between 1996 and 2006, followed by a non-significant decrease. The projections indicate a decrease in rates at a national level as well as for the Central, South and Southeast regions. Increases are expected for the North and Northeast regions. In conclusion, a reduction in the mortality rates for prostate cancer in Brazil is expected to the year 2025, as well as for the Central, South and Southeast regions. However, an increase in the absolute number of deaths in all regions is expected due to the anticipated aging of the population. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-12T20:02:04Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-1e9818dbd2cd4710bb32bfa15489ea3b |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1678-4464 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-12T20:02:04Z |
| publishDate | 2014-11-01 |
| publisher | Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Cadernos de Saúde Pública |
| spelling | doaj.art-1e9818dbd2cd4710bb32bfa15489ea3b2022-12-22T00:13:43ZengEscola Nacional de Saúde Pública, Fundação Oswaldo CruzCadernos de Saúde Pública1678-44642014-11-0130112451245810.1590/0102-311X00007314S0102-311X2014001102451Future burden of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil: a population-based studyJavier Jerez-RoigDyego L. B. SouzaPablo F. M. MedeirosIsabelle R. BarbosaMaria P. CuradoIris C. C. CostaKenio Costa LimaProstate cancer mortality projections at the nationwide and regional levels to the year 2025 are carried out in this ecological study that is based on an analysis of Brazilian trends between 1996 and 2010. The predictions were made for the period 2011-2025 utilizing the Nordpred program based on the period of 1996-2010, using the age-period-cohort model. A significant increase was observed in the Brazilian rates between 1996 and 2006, followed by a non-significant decrease. The projections indicate a decrease in rates at a national level as well as for the Central, South and Southeast regions. Increases are expected for the North and Northeast regions. In conclusion, a reduction in the mortality rates for prostate cancer in Brazil is expected to the year 2025, as well as for the Central, South and Southeast regions. However, an increase in the absolute number of deaths in all regions is expected due to the anticipated aging of the population.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0102-311X2014001102451&lng=en&tlng=enNeoplasias de la PróstataMortalidadEstudios Poblacionales en Salud Pública |
| spellingShingle | Javier Jerez-Roig Dyego L. B. Souza Pablo F. M. Medeiros Isabelle R. Barbosa Maria P. Curado Iris C. C. Costa Kenio Costa Lima Future burden of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil: a population-based study Cadernos de Saúde Pública Neoplasias de la Próstata Mortalidad Estudios Poblacionales en Salud Pública |
| title | Future burden of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil: a population-based study |
| title_full | Future burden of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil: a population-based study |
| title_fullStr | Future burden of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil: a population-based study |
| title_full_unstemmed | Future burden of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil: a population-based study |
| title_short | Future burden of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil: a population-based study |
| title_sort | future burden of prostate cancer mortality in brazil a population based study |
| topic | Neoplasias de la Próstata Mortalidad Estudios Poblacionales en Salud Pública |
| url | http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0102-311X2014001102451&lng=en&tlng=en |
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