Decision-support tools to build climate resilience against emerging infectious diseases in Europe and beyond
Summary: Climate change is one of several drivers of recurrent outbreaks and geographical range expansion of infectious diseases in Europe. We propose a framework for the co-production of policy-relevant indicators and decision-support tools that track past, present, and future climate-induced disea...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Elsevier
2023-09-01
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| Series: | The Lancet Regional Health. Europe |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666776223001205 |
| _version_ | 1797749086432002048 |
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| author | Joacim Rocklöv Jan C. Semenza Shouro Dasgupta Elizabeth J.Z. Robinson Ahmed Abd El Wahed Tilly Alcayna Cristina Arnés-Sanz Meghan Bailey Till Bärnighausen Frederic Bartumeus Carme Borrell Laurens M. Bouwer Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière Aditi Bunker Chloe Chavardes Kim R. van Daalen João Encarnação Nube González-Reviriego Junwen Guo Katie Johnson Marion P.G. Koopmans María Máñez Costa Antonios Michaelakis Tomás Montalvo Anna Omazic John R.B. Palmer Raman Preet Marina Romanello Mohammad Shafiul Alam Reina S. Sikkema Marta Terrado Marina Treskova Diana Urquiza Rachel Lowe Joacim Rocklöv Junwen Guo Jan C. Semenza Raman Preet Henrik Sjodin Zia Farooq Maquines Sewe Marina Romanello Frances MacGuire Antonios Michaelakis Evangelia Zavitsanou Panos Milonas Dimitrios Papachristos Marina Bisia Georgios Balatsos Spyros Antonatos Jaime Martinez-Urtaza Joaquin Triñanes João Encarnação Mark Williams John R.B. Palmer Berj Dekramanjian Karl Broome Otis Johnson Laurens Bouwer Maria Máñez Costa Adriana Martin Lola Kotova Thea Wübbelmann Aditi Bunker Till Bärnighausen Fiona Walsh Marina Treskova Pascale Stiles Jerome Baron Charles Hatfield Julian Heidecke Pratik Singh Shouro Dasgupta Katie Johnson Francesco Bosello Elizabeth J.Z. Robinson Sara Mehryar Tilly Alcayna Meghan Bailey Marion P.G. Koopmans Reina S. Sikkema Pauline de Best Tijmen Hartung Ayat Abourashed Frederic Bartumeus Jesus Bellver Catuxa Cerecedo Rachel Lowe Martín Lotto Bautista Bruno Moreira de Carvalho Chloe Fletcher Nube González-Reviriego Marta Terrado Diana Urquiza Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière Julieta Rosenbluth Marina Corradini Jaume Ramon Kim R. van Daalen Liam Patrick Brodie Alba Llabres Ahmed Abd El Wahed Arianna Ceruti Uwe Truyen Chloe Chavardes Sasha Rodrigues Anna Omazic Erik Ågren Giulio Grandi Stefan Widgren Masud Parvage Martin Bergström Mohammad Shafiul Alam Rashidul Haque Wasif Ali Khan Tomás Montalvo Andrea Valsecchi Laura Barahona Elisenda Realp Carme Borrell Stephan de Roode |
| author_facet | Joacim Rocklöv Jan C. Semenza Shouro Dasgupta Elizabeth J.Z. Robinson Ahmed Abd El Wahed Tilly Alcayna Cristina Arnés-Sanz Meghan Bailey Till Bärnighausen Frederic Bartumeus Carme Borrell Laurens M. Bouwer Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière Aditi Bunker Chloe Chavardes Kim R. van Daalen João Encarnação Nube González-Reviriego Junwen Guo Katie Johnson Marion P.G. Koopmans María Máñez Costa Antonios Michaelakis Tomás Montalvo Anna Omazic John R.B. Palmer Raman Preet Marina Romanello Mohammad Shafiul Alam Reina S. Sikkema Marta Terrado Marina Treskova Diana Urquiza Rachel Lowe Joacim Rocklöv Junwen Guo Jan C. Semenza Raman Preet Henrik Sjodin Zia Farooq Maquines Sewe Marina Romanello Frances MacGuire Antonios Michaelakis Evangelia Zavitsanou Panos Milonas Dimitrios Papachristos Marina Bisia Georgios Balatsos Spyros Antonatos Jaime Martinez-Urtaza Joaquin Triñanes João Encarnação Mark Williams John R.B. Palmer Berj Dekramanjian Karl Broome Otis Johnson Laurens Bouwer Maria Máñez Costa Adriana Martin Lola Kotova Thea Wübbelmann Aditi Bunker Till Bärnighausen Fiona Walsh Marina Treskova Pascale Stiles Jerome Baron Charles Hatfield Julian Heidecke Pratik Singh Shouro Dasgupta Katie Johnson Francesco Bosello Elizabeth J.Z. Robinson Sara Mehryar Tilly Alcayna Meghan Bailey Marion P.G. Koopmans Reina S. Sikkema Pauline de Best Tijmen Hartung Ayat Abourashed Frederic Bartumeus Jesus Bellver Catuxa Cerecedo Rachel Lowe Martín Lotto Bautista Bruno Moreira de Carvalho Chloe Fletcher Nube González-Reviriego Marta Terrado Diana Urquiza Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière Julieta Rosenbluth Marina Corradini Jaume Ramon Kim R. van Daalen Liam Patrick Brodie Alba Llabres Ahmed Abd El Wahed Arianna Ceruti Uwe Truyen Chloe Chavardes Sasha Rodrigues Anna Omazic Erik Ågren Giulio Grandi Stefan Widgren Masud Parvage Martin Bergström Mohammad Shafiul Alam Rashidul Haque Wasif Ali Khan Tomás Montalvo Andrea Valsecchi Laura Barahona Elisenda Realp Carme Borrell Stephan de Roode |
| author_sort | Joacim Rocklöv |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Summary: Climate change is one of several drivers of recurrent outbreaks and geographical range expansion of infectious diseases in Europe. We propose a framework for the co-production of policy-relevant indicators and decision-support tools that track past, present, and future climate-induced disease risks across hazard, exposure, and vulnerability domains at the animal, human, and environmental interface. This entails the co-development of early warning and response systems and tools to assess the costs and benefits of climate change adaptation and mitigation measures across sectors, to increase health system resilience at regional and local levels and reveal novel policy entry points and opportunities. Our approach involves multi-level engagement, innovative methodologies, and novel data streams. We take advantage of intelligence generated locally and empirically to quantify effects in areas experiencing rapid urban transformation and heterogeneous climate-induced disease threats. Our goal is to reduce the knowledge-to-action gap by developing an integrated One Health—Climate Risk framework. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-12T16:15:12Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-1ea6f8bbd2ad49fcb353371a756337e4 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2666-7762 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-12T16:15:12Z |
| publishDate | 2023-09-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | The Lancet Regional Health. Europe |
| spelling | doaj.art-1ea6f8bbd2ad49fcb353371a756337e42023-08-09T04:33:39ZengElsevierThe Lancet Regional Health. Europe2666-77622023-09-0132100701Decision-support tools to build climate resilience against emerging infectious diseases in Europe and beyondJoacim Rocklöv0Jan C. Semenza1Shouro Dasgupta2Elizabeth J.Z. Robinson3Ahmed Abd El Wahed4Tilly Alcayna5Cristina Arnés-Sanz6Meghan Bailey7Till Bärnighausen8Frederic Bartumeus9Carme Borrell10Laurens M. Bouwer11Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière12Aditi Bunker13Chloe Chavardes14Kim R. van Daalen15João Encarnação16Nube González-Reviriego17Junwen Guo18Katie Johnson19Marion P.G. Koopmans20María Máñez Costa21Antonios Michaelakis22Tomás Montalvo23Anna Omazic24John R.B. Palmer25Raman Preet26Marina Romanello27Mohammad Shafiul Alam28Reina S. Sikkema29Marta Terrado30Marina Treskova31Diana Urquiza32Rachel Lowe33Joacim RocklövJunwen GuoJan C. SemenzaRaman PreetHenrik SjodinZia FarooqMaquines SeweMarina RomanelloFrances MacGuireAntonios MichaelakisEvangelia ZavitsanouPanos MilonasDimitrios PapachristosMarina BisiaGeorgios BalatsosSpyros AntonatosJaime Martinez-UrtazaJoaquin TriñanesJoão EncarnaçãoMark WilliamsJohn R.B. PalmerBerj DekramanjianKarl BroomeOtis JohnsonLaurens BouwerMaria Máñez CostaAdriana MartinLola KotovaThea WübbelmannAditi BunkerTill BärnighausenFiona WalshMarina TreskovaPascale StilesJerome BaronCharles HatfieldJulian HeideckePratik SinghShouro DasguptaKatie JohnsonFrancesco BoselloElizabeth J.Z. RobinsonSara MehryarTilly AlcaynaMeghan BaileyMarion P.G. KoopmansReina S. SikkemaPauline de BestTijmen HartungAyat AbourashedFrederic BartumeusJesus BellverCatuxa CerecedoRachel LoweMartín Lotto BautistaBruno Moreira de CarvalhoChloe FletcherNube González-ReviriegoMarta TerradoDiana UrquizaPierre-Antoine BretonnièreJulieta RosenbluthMarina CorradiniJaume RamonKim R. van DaalenLiam Patrick BrodieAlba LlabresAhmed Abd El WahedArianna CerutiUwe TruyenChloe ChavardesSasha RodriguesAnna OmazicErik ÅgrenGiulio GrandiStefan WidgrenMasud ParvageMartin BergströmMohammad Shafiul AlamRashidul HaqueWasif Ali KhanTomás MontalvoAndrea ValsecchiLaura BarahonaElisenda RealpCarme BorrellStephan de RoodeHeidelberg Institute of Global Health (HIGH) & Interdisciplinary Centre for Scientific Computing (IWR), Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany; Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden; Corresponding author. Section of Sustainable Health, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umea University, Umea 901 87, Sweden.Heidelberg Institute of Global Health (HIGH) & Interdisciplinary Centre for Scientific Computing (IWR), Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany; Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, SwedenCentro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Venice, Italy; Graham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), London, United KingdomGraham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), London, United KingdomFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, Institute of Animal Hygiene and Veterinary Public Health, Leipzig University, Leipzig, GermanyRed Cross Red Crescent Centre on Climate Change and Disaster Preparedness, The Hague, the Netherlands; Centre on Climate Change & Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), London, United Kingdom; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), London, United Kingdom; Health in Humanitarian Crises Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), London, United KingdomHeidelberg Institute of Global Health (HIGH) & Interdisciplinary Centre for Scientific Computing (IWR), Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, GermanyRed Cross Red Crescent Centre on Climate Change and Disaster Preparedness, The Hague, the NetherlandsHeidelberg Institute of Global Health, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USATheoretical and Computational Ecology Group, Centre d’Estudis Avançats de Blanes (CEAB-CSIC), Blanes, Spain; Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats (ICREA), Barcelona, Spain; Centre de Recerca Ecològica i Aplicacions Forestals (CREAF), Barcelona, SpainPest Surveillance and Control, Agència de Salut Pública de Barcelona (ASPB), Barcelona, Spain; Biomedical Research Center Network for Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Barcelona, SpainClimate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon, Hamburg, GermanyBarcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, SpainHeidelberg Institute of Global Health, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany; Center for Climate, Health and the Global Environment, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USAThree O'clock, Paris, FranceBarcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain; British Heart Foundation Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom; Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United KingdomIrideon, Barcelona, SpainBarcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, SpainDepartment of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, SwedenCentro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Venice, ItalyDepartment of Viroscience, Erasmus Medical Center, University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the NetherlandsClimate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon, Hamburg, GermanyLaboratory of Insects & Parasites of Medical Importance, Benaki Phytopathological Institute (BPI), Attica, GreeceHeidelberg Institute of Global Health (HIGH) & Interdisciplinary Centre for Scientific Computing (IWR), Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany; Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden; Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Venice, Italy; Graham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), London, United Kingdom; Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Institute of Animal Hygiene and Veterinary Public Health, Leipzig University, Leipzig, Germany; Red Cross Red Crescent Centre on Climate Change and Disaster Preparedness, The Hague, the Netherlands; Centre on Climate Change & Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), London, United Kingdom; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), London, United Kingdom; Health in Humanitarian Crises Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), London, United Kingdom; Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA; Theoretical and Computational Ecology Group, Centre d’Estudis Avançats de Blanes (CEAB-CSIC), Blanes, Spain; Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats (ICREA), Barcelona, Spain; Centre de Recerca Ecològica i Aplicacions Forestals (CREAF), Barcelona, Spain; Pest Surveillance and Control, Agència de Salut Pública de Barcelona (ASPB), Barcelona, Spain; Biomedical Research Center Network for Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Barcelona, Spain; Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon, Hamburg, Germany; Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain; Center for Climate, Health and the Global Environment, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA; Three O'clock, Paris, France; British Heart Foundation Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom; Heart and Lung Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom; Irideon, Barcelona, Spain; Department of Viroscience, Erasmus Medical Center, University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands; Laboratory of Insects & Parasites of Medical Importance, Benaki Phytopathological Institute (BPI), Attica, Greece; Agència de Salut Pública de Barcelona (ASPB), Barcelona, Spain; CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain; Institut d'Investigació Biomèdica Sant Pau (IIB SANT PAU), Barcelona, Spain; Department of Chemistry, Environment, and Feed Hygiene, National Veterinary Institute (SVA), Uppsala, Sweden; Department of Political and Social Sciences, Universitat Pompeu Fabra (UPF), Barcelona, Spain; Institute for Global Health, University College London (UCL), London, United Kingdom; Infectious Disease Division, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, BangladeshDepartment of Chemistry, Environment, and Feed Hygiene, National Veterinary Institute (SVA), Uppsala, SwedenDepartment of Political and Social Sciences, Universitat Pompeu Fabra (UPF), Barcelona, SpainDepartment of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, SwedenInstitute for Global Health, University College London (UCL), London, United KingdomInfectious Disease Division, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, BangladeshDepartment of Viroscience, Erasmus Medical Center, University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the NetherlandsBarcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, SpainHeidelberg Institute of Global Health (HIGH) & Interdisciplinary Centre for Scientific Computing (IWR), Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, GermanyBarcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, SpainCentre on Climate Change & Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), London, United Kingdom; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), London, United Kingdom; Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats (ICREA), Barcelona, Spain; Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, SpainSummary: Climate change is one of several drivers of recurrent outbreaks and geographical range expansion of infectious diseases in Europe. We propose a framework for the co-production of policy-relevant indicators and decision-support tools that track past, present, and future climate-induced disease risks across hazard, exposure, and vulnerability domains at the animal, human, and environmental interface. This entails the co-development of early warning and response systems and tools to assess the costs and benefits of climate change adaptation and mitigation measures across sectors, to increase health system resilience at regional and local levels and reveal novel policy entry points and opportunities. Our approach involves multi-level engagement, innovative methodologies, and novel data streams. We take advantage of intelligence generated locally and empirically to quantify effects in areas experiencing rapid urban transformation and heterogeneous climate-induced disease threats. Our goal is to reduce the knowledge-to-action gap by developing an integrated One Health—Climate Risk framework.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666776223001205Climate changeInfectious diseaseOne HealthPlanetary healthHuman healthClimate policy |
| spellingShingle | Joacim Rocklöv Jan C. Semenza Shouro Dasgupta Elizabeth J.Z. Robinson Ahmed Abd El Wahed Tilly Alcayna Cristina Arnés-Sanz Meghan Bailey Till Bärnighausen Frederic Bartumeus Carme Borrell Laurens M. Bouwer Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière Aditi Bunker Chloe Chavardes Kim R. van Daalen João Encarnação Nube González-Reviriego Junwen Guo Katie Johnson Marion P.G. Koopmans María Máñez Costa Antonios Michaelakis Tomás Montalvo Anna Omazic John R.B. Palmer Raman Preet Marina Romanello Mohammad Shafiul Alam Reina S. Sikkema Marta Terrado Marina Treskova Diana Urquiza Rachel Lowe Joacim Rocklöv Junwen Guo Jan C. Semenza Raman Preet Henrik Sjodin Zia Farooq Maquines Sewe Marina Romanello Frances MacGuire Antonios Michaelakis Evangelia Zavitsanou Panos Milonas Dimitrios Papachristos Marina Bisia Georgios Balatsos Spyros Antonatos Jaime Martinez-Urtaza Joaquin Triñanes João Encarnação Mark Williams John R.B. Palmer Berj Dekramanjian Karl Broome Otis Johnson Laurens Bouwer Maria Máñez Costa Adriana Martin Lola Kotova Thea Wübbelmann Aditi Bunker Till Bärnighausen Fiona Walsh Marina Treskova Pascale Stiles Jerome Baron Charles Hatfield Julian Heidecke Pratik Singh Shouro Dasgupta Katie Johnson Francesco Bosello Elizabeth J.Z. Robinson Sara Mehryar Tilly Alcayna Meghan Bailey Marion P.G. Koopmans Reina S. Sikkema Pauline de Best Tijmen Hartung Ayat Abourashed Frederic Bartumeus Jesus Bellver Catuxa Cerecedo Rachel Lowe Martín Lotto Bautista Bruno Moreira de Carvalho Chloe Fletcher Nube González-Reviriego Marta Terrado Diana Urquiza Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière Julieta Rosenbluth Marina Corradini Jaume Ramon Kim R. van Daalen Liam Patrick Brodie Alba Llabres Ahmed Abd El Wahed Arianna Ceruti Uwe Truyen Chloe Chavardes Sasha Rodrigues Anna Omazic Erik Ågren Giulio Grandi Stefan Widgren Masud Parvage Martin Bergström Mohammad Shafiul Alam Rashidul Haque Wasif Ali Khan Tomás Montalvo Andrea Valsecchi Laura Barahona Elisenda Realp Carme Borrell Stephan de Roode Decision-support tools to build climate resilience against emerging infectious diseases in Europe and beyond The Lancet Regional Health. Europe Climate change Infectious disease One Health Planetary health Human health Climate policy |
| title | Decision-support tools to build climate resilience against emerging infectious diseases in Europe and beyond |
| title_full | Decision-support tools to build climate resilience against emerging infectious diseases in Europe and beyond |
| title_fullStr | Decision-support tools to build climate resilience against emerging infectious diseases in Europe and beyond |
| title_full_unstemmed | Decision-support tools to build climate resilience against emerging infectious diseases in Europe and beyond |
| title_short | Decision-support tools to build climate resilience against emerging infectious diseases in Europe and beyond |
| title_sort | decision support tools to build climate resilience against emerging infectious diseases in europe and beyond |
| topic | Climate change Infectious disease One Health Planetary health Human health Climate policy |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666776223001205 |
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