Spatiotemporal evolution of deformation and LSTM prediction model over the slope of the deep excavation section at the head of the South-North Water Transfer Middle Route Canal

Slope deformation is one of the focal issues of concern during the normal operation and maintenance of the South-North Water Transfer Middle Route Project. To study the slope deformation evolution in the deep excavation section at the head of the canal, we applied 88 views of Sentinel-1A ascending i...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Laizhong Ding, Chunyi Li, Zhen Lei, Changjie Zhang, Lei Wei, Zengzhang Guo, Ying Li, Xin Fan, Daokun Qi, Junjian Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2024-02-01
Series:Heliyon
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844024023326
_version_ 1797267653824348160
author Laizhong Ding
Chunyi Li
Zhen Lei
Changjie Zhang
Lei Wei
Zengzhang Guo
Ying Li
Xin Fan
Daokun Qi
Junjian Wang
author_facet Laizhong Ding
Chunyi Li
Zhen Lei
Changjie Zhang
Lei Wei
Zengzhang Guo
Ying Li
Xin Fan
Daokun Qi
Junjian Wang
author_sort Laizhong Ding
collection DOAJ
description Slope deformation is one of the focal issues of concern during the normal operation and maintenance of the South-North Water Transfer Middle Route Project. To study the slope deformation evolution in the deep excavation section at the head of the canal, we applied 88 views of Sentinel-1A ascending image data from 2017 to 2019 and MT-InSAR(Multi-temporal InSAR) deformation monitoring technology to obtain long-time series deformation rates and cumulative deformation fields over the slope in the study area. Based on the analysis of the time-series monitoring data of the deformation field sample points, a LSTM (Long Short Term Memory Network) slope deformation predictive model was constructed to predict the slope deformation for the next 12 months at 12 sample points of the deep excavation slope. The impact of rainfall on slope deformation was investigated, and the reliability of the LSTM model was verified by using the measured data. The results show that the average annual deformation rate of the slope ranges from 10mm/a to 25mm/a, the maximum cumulative deformation is about 60 mm, and the slope of the excavated section is generally in an uplifted state. The rainfall-induced repeated uplift or subsidence of the canal slopes together with the peak deformation was closely related to the amount of rainfall during the wet season, and the longer the duration of the wet season, the more obvious the crest. Among the12 sample sites, the minimum and maximum deformation predicted using the LSTM model were 51.7 mm and 73.9 mm respectively, with the lowest correlation coefficient of 0.994 and the highest of 0.999. The maximum and minimum values of RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) were 4.4 mm and 3.6 mm respectively, indicating reliable prediction results. The results of the study can provide reference for the prevention and control of geological hazards in the South-North Water Transfer Canal.
first_indexed 2024-03-08T00:08:50Z
format Article
id doaj.art-1eba1d07188c4ceaa1d6a14463243507
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2405-8440
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-25T01:20:01Z
publishDate 2024-02-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series Heliyon
spelling doaj.art-1eba1d07188c4ceaa1d6a144632435072024-03-09T09:27:54ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402024-02-01104e26301Spatiotemporal evolution of deformation and LSTM prediction model over the slope of the deep excavation section at the head of the South-North Water Transfer Middle Route CanalLaizhong Ding0Chunyi Li1Zhen Lei2Changjie Zhang3Lei Wei4Zengzhang Guo5Ying Li6Xin Fan7Daokun Qi8Junjian Wang9School of Surveying and Land Information Engineering, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo, 454000, China; Institute of Surveying Mapping and Geoinformation, Zhengzhou, 450007, ChinaSchool of Surveying and Land Information Engineering, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo, 454000, China; Corresponding author.Institute of Surveying Mapping and Geoinformation, Zhengzhou, 450007, ChinaInstitute of Surveying Mapping and Geoinformation, Zhengzhou, 450007, ChinaInstitute of Surveying Mapping and Geoinformation, Zhengzhou, 450007, China; Corresponding author.School of Surveying and Land Information Engineering, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo, 454000, ChinaInstitute of Surveying Mapping and Geoinformation, Zhengzhou, 450007, ChinaInstitute of Surveying Mapping and Geoinformation, Zhengzhou, 450007, ChinaState Grid Henan Economic Research Institute, Zhengzhou, 450007, ChinaInstitute of Surveying Mapping and Geoinformation, Zhengzhou, 450007, ChinaSlope deformation is one of the focal issues of concern during the normal operation and maintenance of the South-North Water Transfer Middle Route Project. To study the slope deformation evolution in the deep excavation section at the head of the canal, we applied 88 views of Sentinel-1A ascending image data from 2017 to 2019 and MT-InSAR(Multi-temporal InSAR) deformation monitoring technology to obtain long-time series deformation rates and cumulative deformation fields over the slope in the study area. Based on the analysis of the time-series monitoring data of the deformation field sample points, a LSTM (Long Short Term Memory Network) slope deformation predictive model was constructed to predict the slope deformation for the next 12 months at 12 sample points of the deep excavation slope. The impact of rainfall on slope deformation was investigated, and the reliability of the LSTM model was verified by using the measured data. The results show that the average annual deformation rate of the slope ranges from 10mm/a to 25mm/a, the maximum cumulative deformation is about 60 mm, and the slope of the excavated section is generally in an uplifted state. The rainfall-induced repeated uplift or subsidence of the canal slopes together with the peak deformation was closely related to the amount of rainfall during the wet season, and the longer the duration of the wet season, the more obvious the crest. Among the12 sample sites, the minimum and maximum deformation predicted using the LSTM model were 51.7 mm and 73.9 mm respectively, with the lowest correlation coefficient of 0.994 and the highest of 0.999. The maximum and minimum values of RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) were 4.4 mm and 3.6 mm respectively, indicating reliable prediction results. The results of the study can provide reference for the prevention and control of geological hazards in the South-North Water Transfer Canal.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844024023326South-North Water TransferMT-InSARExpansive soilsLSTM
spellingShingle Laizhong Ding
Chunyi Li
Zhen Lei
Changjie Zhang
Lei Wei
Zengzhang Guo
Ying Li
Xin Fan
Daokun Qi
Junjian Wang
Spatiotemporal evolution of deformation and LSTM prediction model over the slope of the deep excavation section at the head of the South-North Water Transfer Middle Route Canal
Heliyon
South-North Water Transfer
MT-InSAR
Expansive soils
LSTM
title Spatiotemporal evolution of deformation and LSTM prediction model over the slope of the deep excavation section at the head of the South-North Water Transfer Middle Route Canal
title_full Spatiotemporal evolution of deformation and LSTM prediction model over the slope of the deep excavation section at the head of the South-North Water Transfer Middle Route Canal
title_fullStr Spatiotemporal evolution of deformation and LSTM prediction model over the slope of the deep excavation section at the head of the South-North Water Transfer Middle Route Canal
title_full_unstemmed Spatiotemporal evolution of deformation and LSTM prediction model over the slope of the deep excavation section at the head of the South-North Water Transfer Middle Route Canal
title_short Spatiotemporal evolution of deformation and LSTM prediction model over the slope of the deep excavation section at the head of the South-North Water Transfer Middle Route Canal
title_sort spatiotemporal evolution of deformation and lstm prediction model over the slope of the deep excavation section at the head of the south north water transfer middle route canal
topic South-North Water Transfer
MT-InSAR
Expansive soils
LSTM
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844024023326
work_keys_str_mv AT laizhongding spatiotemporalevolutionofdeformationandlstmpredictionmodelovertheslopeofthedeepexcavationsectionattheheadofthesouthnorthwatertransfermiddleroutecanal
AT chunyili spatiotemporalevolutionofdeformationandlstmpredictionmodelovertheslopeofthedeepexcavationsectionattheheadofthesouthnorthwatertransfermiddleroutecanal
AT zhenlei spatiotemporalevolutionofdeformationandlstmpredictionmodelovertheslopeofthedeepexcavationsectionattheheadofthesouthnorthwatertransfermiddleroutecanal
AT changjiezhang spatiotemporalevolutionofdeformationandlstmpredictionmodelovertheslopeofthedeepexcavationsectionattheheadofthesouthnorthwatertransfermiddleroutecanal
AT leiwei spatiotemporalevolutionofdeformationandlstmpredictionmodelovertheslopeofthedeepexcavationsectionattheheadofthesouthnorthwatertransfermiddleroutecanal
AT zengzhangguo spatiotemporalevolutionofdeformationandlstmpredictionmodelovertheslopeofthedeepexcavationsectionattheheadofthesouthnorthwatertransfermiddleroutecanal
AT yingli spatiotemporalevolutionofdeformationandlstmpredictionmodelovertheslopeofthedeepexcavationsectionattheheadofthesouthnorthwatertransfermiddleroutecanal
AT xinfan spatiotemporalevolutionofdeformationandlstmpredictionmodelovertheslopeofthedeepexcavationsectionattheheadofthesouthnorthwatertransfermiddleroutecanal
AT daokunqi spatiotemporalevolutionofdeformationandlstmpredictionmodelovertheslopeofthedeepexcavationsectionattheheadofthesouthnorthwatertransfermiddleroutecanal
AT junjianwang spatiotemporalevolutionofdeformationandlstmpredictionmodelovertheslopeofthedeepexcavationsectionattheheadofthesouthnorthwatertransfermiddleroutecanal