Assessing vaccination strategies for the COVID-19 epidemic in Minas Gerais (Brazil)

In this work we analyze the effectiveness of vaccination strategies for the COVID-19 epidemic in the Brazilian state of Minas Gerais. Firstly we study the effectiveness of general vaccination in the decreasing of the number of infected individuals using a traditional non structured SEIR model. Secon...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Marcelo Domingos Marchesin, Mehran Sabeti
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidade Estadual de Londrina 2021-07-01
Series:Semina: Ciências Exatas e Tecnológicas
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semexatas/article/view/43640
_version_ 1797951635315490816
author Marcelo Domingos Marchesin
Mehran Sabeti
author_facet Marcelo Domingos Marchesin
Mehran Sabeti
author_sort Marcelo Domingos Marchesin
collection DOAJ
description In this work we analyze the effectiveness of vaccination strategies for the COVID-19 epidemic in the Brazilian state of Minas Gerais. Firstly we study the effectiveness of general vaccination in the decreasing of the number of infected individuals using a traditional non structured SEIR model. Secondly we consider an age-structured SEIR model with three age classes (youngster, adult and elderly) and we analyze the current strategy in the Brazilian state of Minas Gerais, of focusing the vaccination on the elderly group. We conclude by showing this strategy to be mistaken and that a vaccination focusing on the age group of the adults would be much more efficient in decreasing the total number of infected individuals.
first_indexed 2024-04-10T22:33:39Z
format Article
id doaj.art-1ef1da6ec93747629ff223471346c365
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1676-5451
1679-0375
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-10T22:33:39Z
publishDate 2021-07-01
publisher Universidade Estadual de Londrina
record_format Article
series Semina: Ciências Exatas e Tecnológicas
spelling doaj.art-1ef1da6ec93747629ff223471346c3652023-01-16T15:54:05ZengUniversidade Estadual de LondrinaSemina: Ciências Exatas e Tecnológicas1676-54511679-03752021-07-01421Supl10.5433/1679-0375.2021v42n1Suplp35Assessing vaccination strategies for the COVID-19 epidemic in Minas Gerais (Brazil)Marcelo Domingos Marchesin0Mehran Sabeti1Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais - UFMGUniversidade Federal de Viçosa - UFVIn this work we analyze the effectiveness of vaccination strategies for the COVID-19 epidemic in the Brazilian state of Minas Gerais. Firstly we study the effectiveness of general vaccination in the decreasing of the number of infected individuals using a traditional non structured SEIR model. Secondly we consider an age-structured SEIR model with three age classes (youngster, adult and elderly) and we analyze the current strategy in the Brazilian state of Minas Gerais, of focusing the vaccination on the elderly group. We conclude by showing this strategy to be mistaken and that a vaccination focusing on the age group of the adults would be much more efficient in decreasing the total number of infected individuals.https://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semexatas/article/view/43640EpidemologyDynamical systemsSEIR model
spellingShingle Marcelo Domingos Marchesin
Mehran Sabeti
Assessing vaccination strategies for the COVID-19 epidemic in Minas Gerais (Brazil)
Semina: Ciências Exatas e Tecnológicas
Epidemology
Dynamical systems
SEIR model
title Assessing vaccination strategies for the COVID-19 epidemic in Minas Gerais (Brazil)
title_full Assessing vaccination strategies for the COVID-19 epidemic in Minas Gerais (Brazil)
title_fullStr Assessing vaccination strategies for the COVID-19 epidemic in Minas Gerais (Brazil)
title_full_unstemmed Assessing vaccination strategies for the COVID-19 epidemic in Minas Gerais (Brazil)
title_short Assessing vaccination strategies for the COVID-19 epidemic in Minas Gerais (Brazil)
title_sort assessing vaccination strategies for the covid 19 epidemic in minas gerais brazil
topic Epidemology
Dynamical systems
SEIR model
url https://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semexatas/article/view/43640
work_keys_str_mv AT marcelodomingosmarchesin assessingvaccinationstrategiesforthecovid19epidemicinminasgeraisbrazil
AT mehransabeti assessingvaccinationstrategiesforthecovid19epidemicinminasgeraisbrazil