Probabilistic Drought Forecasting in Southern Taiwan Using El Niño-Southern Oscillation Index

Probabilistic Drought Forecasting in Southern Taiwan Using El Niño-Southern Oscillation Index

This study proposes a probabilistic drought forecasting model to forecast meteorological drought in Southern Taiwan using the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) index. Meteorological drought is defined by the standardized precipitation index (SPI), and the ENSO index is El Niño sea surface temperat...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Shien-Tsung Chen, Tao-Chang Yang, Chen-Min Kuo, Chih-Hao Kuo, Pao-Shan Yu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2013-01-01
Series:Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences
Subjects:
Drought
Probabilistic forecasting
ENSO
Transition probability
El Niño sea surface temperature
Online Access: http://tao.cgu.org.tw/images/attachments/v245p911.pdf

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