The impact of recent changes in Asian anthropogenic emissions of SO<sub>2</sub> on sulfate loading in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere and the associated radiative changes

<p>Convective transport plays a key role in aerosol enhancement in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS) over the Asian monsoon region where low-level convective instability persists throughout the year. We use the state-of-the-art ECHAM6–HAMMOZ global chemistry–climate model to...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: S. Fadnavis, R. Müller, G. Kalita, M. Rowlinson, A. Rap, J.-L. F. Li, B. Gasparini, A. Laakso
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2019-08-01
Series:Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Online Access:https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/19/9989/2019/acp-19-9989-2019.pdf
Description
Summary:<p>Convective transport plays a key role in aerosol enhancement in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS) over the Asian monsoon region where low-level convective instability persists throughout the year. We use the state-of-the-art ECHAM6–HAMMOZ global chemistry–climate model to investigate the seasonal transport of anthropogenic Asian sulfate aerosols and their impact on the UTLS. Sensitivity simulations for <span class="inline-formula">SO<sub>2</sub></span> emission perturbation over India (48&thinsp;% increase) and China (70&thinsp;% decrease) are performed based on the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) satellite-observed trend, rising over India by <span class="inline-formula">∼4.8</span>&thinsp;% per year and decreasing over China by <span class="inline-formula">∼7.0</span>&thinsp;% per year during 2006–2017. The enhanced Indian emissions result in an increase in aerosol optical depth (AOD) loading in the UTLS by 0.61 to 4.17&thinsp;% over India. These aerosols are transported to the Arctic during all seasons by the lower branch of the Brewer–Dobson circulation enhancing AOD by 0.017&thinsp;% to 4.8&thinsp;%. Interestingly, a reduction in <span class="inline-formula">SO<sub>2</sub></span> emission over China inhibits the transport of Indian sulfate aerosols to the Arctic in summer-monsoon and post-monsoon seasons due to subsidence over northern India. The region of sulfate aerosol enhancement shows significant warming in the UTLS over northern India, south China (<span class="inline-formula">0.2±0.15</span> to <span class="inline-formula">0.8±0.72</span>&thinsp;K) and the Arctic (<span class="inline-formula"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M8" display="inline" overflow="scroll" dspmath="mathml"><mrow><mo>∼</mo><mn mathvariant="normal">1</mn><mo>±</mo><mn mathvariant="normal">0.62</mn></mrow></math><span><svg:svg xmlns:svg="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="51pt" height="10pt" class="svg-formula" dspmath="mathimg" md5hash="6b8d82df5c23f66fffe20f5420b1c3f8"><svg:image xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="acp-19-9989-2019-ie00001.svg" width="51pt" height="10pt" src="acp-19-9989-2019-ie00001.png"/></svg:svg></span></span> to <span class="inline-formula">1.6±1.07</span>&thinsp;K). The estimated seasonal mean direct radiative forcing at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) induced by the increase in Indian <span class="inline-formula">SO<sub>2</sub></span> emission is <span class="inline-formula">−</span>0.2 to <span class="inline-formula">−</span>1.5&thinsp;W&thinsp;m<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−2</sup></span> over northern India. The Chinese <span class="inline-formula">SO<sub>2</sub></span> emission reduction leads to a positive radiative forcing of <span class="inline-formula">∼0.6</span> to 6&thinsp;W&thinsp;m<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−2</sup></span> over China. The decrease in vertical velocity and the associated enhanced stability of the upper troposphere in response to increased Indian <span class="inline-formula">SO<sub>2</sub></span> emissions will likely decrease rainfall over India.</p>
ISSN:1680-7316
1680-7324