Economic policy uncertainty of China and investment opportunities: a tale of ASEAN stock markets

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of China on investment opportunities in five ASEAN economies. Design/methodology/approach – This paper employs advanced empirical approaches, such as Multivariate DCC-GARCH and Continuous Wavelet Transf...

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Main Authors: Hassanudin Mohd Thas Thaker, Mohamed Asmy Mohd Thas Thaker, Muhammad Rizky Prima Sakti, Imtiaz Sifat, Anwar Allah Pitchay, Hafezali Iqbal Hussain
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Emerald Publishing 2022-12-01
Series:Journal of Economics Finance and Administrative Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JEFAS-04-2021-0032/full/pdf
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author Hassanudin Mohd Thas Thaker
Mohamed Asmy Mohd Thas Thaker
Muhammad Rizky Prima Sakti
Imtiaz Sifat
Anwar Allah Pitchay
Hafezali Iqbal Hussain
author_facet Hassanudin Mohd Thas Thaker
Mohamed Asmy Mohd Thas Thaker
Muhammad Rizky Prima Sakti
Imtiaz Sifat
Anwar Allah Pitchay
Hafezali Iqbal Hussain
author_sort Hassanudin Mohd Thas Thaker
collection DOAJ
description Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of China on investment opportunities in five ASEAN economies. Design/methodology/approach – This paper employs advanced empirical approaches, such as Multivariate DCC-GARCH and Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) to test the research objective. The period of analysis involved monthly data from 2003 until 2019. Findings – This paper provides evidence where the Malaysian stock market to be the least exposed to risks emanating from Chinese EPU, followed by Singapore, the Philippines, Thailand and Indonesia. Results for investment opportunities based on time horizon suggest, for a short-term holding period, investors are better off investing in Singapore and Indonesia, while, for medium-term holding periods, all ASEAN markets appear lucrative except for the Philippines. Practical implications – From a managerial perspective, the outcome or findings of this study are expected to aid the retail and institutional investors in designing better strategies on diversifying a stock portfolio with different holding periods. Originality/value – Theoretically, the findings of this study contribute fresh insights into an emerging strand of literature focusing on the transmission of regional policy. Methodologically as well, this study is a novel venture to the best of authors' knowledge.
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spelling doaj.art-1fa3990bafb94f2a99e91f56c34fbeed2023-07-03T14:28:30ZengEmerald PublishingJournal of Economics Finance and Administrative Science2077-18862218-06482022-12-01275427729310.1108/JEFAS-04-2021-0032Economic policy uncertainty of China and investment opportunities: a tale of ASEAN stock marketsHassanudin Mohd Thas Thaker0Mohamed Asmy Mohd Thas Thaker1Muhammad Rizky Prima Sakti2Imtiaz Sifat3Anwar Allah Pitchay4Hafezali Iqbal Hussain5Faculty of Business and Management, UCSI University, Kuala Lumpur, MalaysiaKulliyyah of Economics and Management Sciences, International Islamic University Malaysia (IIUM), Subang Jaya, MalaysiaUniversity College Bahrain (UCB), Manama, BahrainInstitute for Management Research, Radboud University, Nijmegen, The NetherlandsSchool of Management, Universiti Sains Malaysia, Gelugor, MalaysiaTaylor’s University, Subang Jayax, MalaysiaPurpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of China on investment opportunities in five ASEAN economies. Design/methodology/approach – This paper employs advanced empirical approaches, such as Multivariate DCC-GARCH and Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) to test the research objective. The period of analysis involved monthly data from 2003 until 2019. Findings – This paper provides evidence where the Malaysian stock market to be the least exposed to risks emanating from Chinese EPU, followed by Singapore, the Philippines, Thailand and Indonesia. Results for investment opportunities based on time horizon suggest, for a short-term holding period, investors are better off investing in Singapore and Indonesia, while, for medium-term holding periods, all ASEAN markets appear lucrative except for the Philippines. Practical implications – From a managerial perspective, the outcome or findings of this study are expected to aid the retail and institutional investors in designing better strategies on diversifying a stock portfolio with different holding periods. Originality/value – Theoretically, the findings of this study contribute fresh insights into an emerging strand of literature focusing on the transmission of regional policy. Methodologically as well, this study is a novel venture to the best of authors' knowledge.https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JEFAS-04-2021-0032/full/pdfEconomic policy uncertaintyInvestmentASEAN marketsStock marketsGARCHWavelet
spellingShingle Hassanudin Mohd Thas Thaker
Mohamed Asmy Mohd Thas Thaker
Muhammad Rizky Prima Sakti
Imtiaz Sifat
Anwar Allah Pitchay
Hafezali Iqbal Hussain
Economic policy uncertainty of China and investment opportunities: a tale of ASEAN stock markets
Journal of Economics Finance and Administrative Science
Economic policy uncertainty
Investment
ASEAN markets
Stock markets
GARCH
Wavelet
title Economic policy uncertainty of China and investment opportunities: a tale of ASEAN stock markets
title_full Economic policy uncertainty of China and investment opportunities: a tale of ASEAN stock markets
title_fullStr Economic policy uncertainty of China and investment opportunities: a tale of ASEAN stock markets
title_full_unstemmed Economic policy uncertainty of China and investment opportunities: a tale of ASEAN stock markets
title_short Economic policy uncertainty of China and investment opportunities: a tale of ASEAN stock markets
title_sort economic policy uncertainty of china and investment opportunities a tale of asean stock markets
topic Economic policy uncertainty
Investment
ASEAN markets
Stock markets
GARCH
Wavelet
url https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JEFAS-04-2021-0032/full/pdf
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