Deciphering the relationship between vegetation and Indian summer monsoon rainfall

Land surface utilization in the Indian subcontinent has undergone dramatic transformations over the years, altering the region’s surface energy flux partitioning. The resulting changes in moisture availability and atmospheric stability can be critical in determining the season’s monsoon rainfall. Th...

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Main Authors: Jerry B Samuel, Arindam Chakraborty, Anagha Paleri
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2023-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acc263
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author Jerry B Samuel
Arindam Chakraborty
Anagha Paleri
author_facet Jerry B Samuel
Arindam Chakraborty
Anagha Paleri
author_sort Jerry B Samuel
collection DOAJ
description Land surface utilization in the Indian subcontinent has undergone dramatic transformations over the years, altering the region’s surface energy flux partitioning. The resulting changes in moisture availability and atmospheric stability can be critical in determining the season’s monsoon rainfall. This study uses fully coupled global climate model simulations with idealized land cover to elucidate the consequences of land surface alterations. We find that an increase in forest cover, in general, increases precipitation in India. However, precipitation is not a linear function of forest-covered-area due to the spatially heterogeneous nature of the impact. A fully forest-covered India receives less precipitation than when the forest covers only the eastern side of India, occupying just about half the area. This signifies the importance of the east-west gradient in vegetation cover observed over India. Using an energy balance model, we diagnose that the diverse nature of this precipitation response results from three different pathways: evaporation from the surface, the net energy input into the atmosphere, and moist stability. Evaporation exhibits a linear relationship with forest-covered-area and reveals minimal spatial heterogeneity. On the contrary, the influence through the other two pathways is found to be region specific. Rainfall modulation via changes in net energy input is dominant in the head Bay of Bengal region, which is susceptible to convective systems. Whereas impact through stability changes is particularly significant south of 20 ^∘ N. In addition, we find that moisture advection modulates the significance of these pathways over northwest India. Thus, the impact of land cover changes act via three effective mechanisms and are region dependent. The findings in this study have broader ramifications since the dominant region-specific mechanisms identified are expected to be valid for other forcings and are not just limited to the scenarios considered here.
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spelling doaj.art-1fb61800160c4647a3d2e20e8a1594672023-08-09T15:15:00ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262023-01-0118404402310.1088/1748-9326/acc263Deciphering the relationship between vegetation and Indian summer monsoon rainfallJerry B Samuel0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4419-9782Arindam Chakraborty1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4288-0216Anagha Paleri2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6844-8114Centre for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Indian Institute of Science , Bengaluru, Karnataka 560012, India; Divecha Centre for Climate Change, Indian Institute of Science , Bengaluru, Karnataka 560012, IndiaCentre for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Indian Institute of Science , Bengaluru, Karnataka 560012, India; Divecha Centre for Climate Change, Indian Institute of Science , Bengaluru, Karnataka 560012, India; DST‐Centre of Excellence in Climate Change, Divecha Centre for Climate Change, Indian Institute of Science , Bengaluru, Karnataka 560012, IndiaClimate Connect Digital , Pune, IndiaLand surface utilization in the Indian subcontinent has undergone dramatic transformations over the years, altering the region’s surface energy flux partitioning. The resulting changes in moisture availability and atmospheric stability can be critical in determining the season’s monsoon rainfall. This study uses fully coupled global climate model simulations with idealized land cover to elucidate the consequences of land surface alterations. We find that an increase in forest cover, in general, increases precipitation in India. However, precipitation is not a linear function of forest-covered-area due to the spatially heterogeneous nature of the impact. A fully forest-covered India receives less precipitation than when the forest covers only the eastern side of India, occupying just about half the area. This signifies the importance of the east-west gradient in vegetation cover observed over India. Using an energy balance model, we diagnose that the diverse nature of this precipitation response results from three different pathways: evaporation from the surface, the net energy input into the atmosphere, and moist stability. Evaporation exhibits a linear relationship with forest-covered-area and reveals minimal spatial heterogeneity. On the contrary, the influence through the other two pathways is found to be region specific. Rainfall modulation via changes in net energy input is dominant in the head Bay of Bengal region, which is susceptible to convective systems. Whereas impact through stability changes is particularly significant south of 20 ^∘ N. In addition, we find that moisture advection modulates the significance of these pathways over northwest India. Thus, the impact of land cover changes act via three effective mechanisms and are region dependent. The findings in this study have broader ramifications since the dominant region-specific mechanisms identified are expected to be valid for other forcings and are not just limited to the scenarios considered here.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acc263vegetationmonsoonstability
spellingShingle Jerry B Samuel
Arindam Chakraborty
Anagha Paleri
Deciphering the relationship between vegetation and Indian summer monsoon rainfall
Environmental Research Letters
vegetation
monsoon
stability
title Deciphering the relationship between vegetation and Indian summer monsoon rainfall
title_full Deciphering the relationship between vegetation and Indian summer monsoon rainfall
title_fullStr Deciphering the relationship between vegetation and Indian summer monsoon rainfall
title_full_unstemmed Deciphering the relationship between vegetation and Indian summer monsoon rainfall
title_short Deciphering the relationship between vegetation and Indian summer monsoon rainfall
title_sort deciphering the relationship between vegetation and indian summer monsoon rainfall
topic vegetation
monsoon
stability
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acc263
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