Development of a multivariate predictive model for dapsone adverse drug events in people with leprosy under standard WHO multidrug therapy.

<h4>Background</h4>The occurrence of adverse drug events (ADEs) during dapsone (DDS) treatment in patients with leprosy can constitute a significant barrier to the successful completion of the standardized therapeutic regimen for this disease. Well-known DDS-ADEs are hemolytic anemia, me...

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Main Authors: Ana Carolina Galvão Dos Santos de Araujo, Mariana de Andrea Vilas-Boas Hacker, Roberta Olmo Pinheiro, Ximena Illarramendi, Sandra Maria Barbosa Durães, Maurício Lisboa Nobre, Milton Ozório Moraes, Anna Maria Sales, Gilberto Marcelo Sperandio da Silva
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2024-01-01
Series:PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases
Online Access:https://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pntd.0011901&type=printable
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author Ana Carolina Galvão Dos Santos de Araujo
Mariana de Andrea Vilas-Boas Hacker
Roberta Olmo Pinheiro
Ximena Illarramendi
Sandra Maria Barbosa Durães
Maurício Lisboa Nobre
Milton Ozório Moraes
Anna Maria Sales
Gilberto Marcelo Sperandio da Silva
author_facet Ana Carolina Galvão Dos Santos de Araujo
Mariana de Andrea Vilas-Boas Hacker
Roberta Olmo Pinheiro
Ximena Illarramendi
Sandra Maria Barbosa Durães
Maurício Lisboa Nobre
Milton Ozório Moraes
Anna Maria Sales
Gilberto Marcelo Sperandio da Silva
author_sort Ana Carolina Galvão Dos Santos de Araujo
collection DOAJ
description <h4>Background</h4>The occurrence of adverse drug events (ADEs) during dapsone (DDS) treatment in patients with leprosy can constitute a significant barrier to the successful completion of the standardized therapeutic regimen for this disease. Well-known DDS-ADEs are hemolytic anemia, methemoglobinemia, hepatotoxicity, agranulocytosis, and hypersensitivity reactions. Identifying risk factors for ADEs before starting World Health Organization recommended standard multidrug therapy (WHO/MDT) can guide therapeutic planning for the patient. The objective of this study was to develop a predictive model for DDS-ADEs in patients with leprosy receiving standard WHO/MDT.<h4>Methodology</h4>This is a case-control study that involved the review of medical records of adult (≥18 years) patients registered at a Leprosy Reference Center in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. The cohort included individuals that received standard WHO/MDT between January 2000 to December 2021. A prediction nomogram was developed by means of multivariable logistic regression (LR) using variables. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to determine the model fit. Odds ratios (ORs) and their respective 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated. The predictive ability of the LRM was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).<h4>Results</h4>A total of 329 medical records were assessed, comprising 120 cases and 209 controls. Based on the final LRM analysis, female sex (OR = 3.61; 95% CI: 2.03-6.59), multibacillary classification (OR = 2.5; 95% CI: 1.39-4.66), and higher education level (completed primary education) (OR = 1.97; 95% CI: 1.14-3.47) were considered factors to predict ADEs that caused standard WHO/MDT discontinuation. The prediction model developed had an AUC of 0.7208, that is 72% capable of predicting DDS-ADEs.<h4>Conclusion</h4>We propose a clinical model that could become a helpful tool for physicians in predicting ADEs in DDS-treated leprosy patients.
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spelling doaj.art-1fc1af22695b498b8c71f7ab56bc88da2024-02-14T05:33:16ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases1935-27271935-27352024-01-01181e001190110.1371/journal.pntd.0011901Development of a multivariate predictive model for dapsone adverse drug events in people with leprosy under standard WHO multidrug therapy.Ana Carolina Galvão Dos Santos de AraujoMariana de Andrea Vilas-Boas HackerRoberta Olmo PinheiroXimena IllarramendiSandra Maria Barbosa DurãesMaurício Lisboa NobreMilton Ozório MoraesAnna Maria SalesGilberto Marcelo Sperandio da Silva<h4>Background</h4>The occurrence of adverse drug events (ADEs) during dapsone (DDS) treatment in patients with leprosy can constitute a significant barrier to the successful completion of the standardized therapeutic regimen for this disease. Well-known DDS-ADEs are hemolytic anemia, methemoglobinemia, hepatotoxicity, agranulocytosis, and hypersensitivity reactions. Identifying risk factors for ADEs before starting World Health Organization recommended standard multidrug therapy (WHO/MDT) can guide therapeutic planning for the patient. The objective of this study was to develop a predictive model for DDS-ADEs in patients with leprosy receiving standard WHO/MDT.<h4>Methodology</h4>This is a case-control study that involved the review of medical records of adult (≥18 years) patients registered at a Leprosy Reference Center in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. The cohort included individuals that received standard WHO/MDT between January 2000 to December 2021. A prediction nomogram was developed by means of multivariable logistic regression (LR) using variables. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to determine the model fit. Odds ratios (ORs) and their respective 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated. The predictive ability of the LRM was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).<h4>Results</h4>A total of 329 medical records were assessed, comprising 120 cases and 209 controls. Based on the final LRM analysis, female sex (OR = 3.61; 95% CI: 2.03-6.59), multibacillary classification (OR = 2.5; 95% CI: 1.39-4.66), and higher education level (completed primary education) (OR = 1.97; 95% CI: 1.14-3.47) were considered factors to predict ADEs that caused standard WHO/MDT discontinuation. The prediction model developed had an AUC of 0.7208, that is 72% capable of predicting DDS-ADEs.<h4>Conclusion</h4>We propose a clinical model that could become a helpful tool for physicians in predicting ADEs in DDS-treated leprosy patients.https://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pntd.0011901&type=printable
spellingShingle Ana Carolina Galvão Dos Santos de Araujo
Mariana de Andrea Vilas-Boas Hacker
Roberta Olmo Pinheiro
Ximena Illarramendi
Sandra Maria Barbosa Durães
Maurício Lisboa Nobre
Milton Ozório Moraes
Anna Maria Sales
Gilberto Marcelo Sperandio da Silva
Development of a multivariate predictive model for dapsone adverse drug events in people with leprosy under standard WHO multidrug therapy.
PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases
title Development of a multivariate predictive model for dapsone adverse drug events in people with leprosy under standard WHO multidrug therapy.
title_full Development of a multivariate predictive model for dapsone adverse drug events in people with leprosy under standard WHO multidrug therapy.
title_fullStr Development of a multivariate predictive model for dapsone adverse drug events in people with leprosy under standard WHO multidrug therapy.
title_full_unstemmed Development of a multivariate predictive model for dapsone adverse drug events in people with leprosy under standard WHO multidrug therapy.
title_short Development of a multivariate predictive model for dapsone adverse drug events in people with leprosy under standard WHO multidrug therapy.
title_sort development of a multivariate predictive model for dapsone adverse drug events in people with leprosy under standard who multidrug therapy
url https://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pntd.0011901&type=printable
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