Regional streamflow prediction in northwest Spain: A comparative analysis of regionalisation schemes

Study Region: The present study was conducted in 24 watersheds located in the region of Galicia, in the northwest of Spain, covering an extension of approximately 13,000 km2.Study focus: This study is focused on the application and evaluation of different schemes for streamflow Prediction in Ungauge...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Juan F. Farfán, Luis Cea
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-06-01
Series:Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581823001143
_version_ 1797801754527531008
author Juan F. Farfán
Luis Cea
author_facet Juan F. Farfán
Luis Cea
author_sort Juan F. Farfán
collection DOAJ
description Study Region: The present study was conducted in 24 watersheds located in the region of Galicia, in the northwest of Spain, covering an extension of approximately 13,000 km2.Study focus: This study is focused on the application and evaluation of different schemes for streamflow Prediction in Ungauged Basins (PUB). The MHIA model (Spanish acronym for Modelo HIdrológico Agregado), is first used to reproduce the observed time series of discharge in several gauged basins. Then, six different regionalisation schemes are applied to transfer the hydrological model parameters to ungauged catchments. For that purpose, we explore and compare two physical similarity, two spatial proximity and two regression-based regionalisation schemes. Output averaging (also known as ensemble modelling) as well as parameter averaging implementations of the physical similarity and spatial proximity methods are analysed.New hydrological insights: The most efficient methods are those based on output averaging, with acceptable success rates (SR) in 88% of the cases. On the other hand, the parameter averaging-based methods have the lowest SR. The methods based on spatial proximity output averaging provide the best performance when the receptor basin has a sufficient number of nearby donor basins. On the other hand, the methods based on physical similarity output averaging show a better performance in areas where there is a low density of donor catchments. The regression-based methods showed the lowest performance in all cases. The existence of correlations between the performance of the regionalisation schemes and the area of the receptor catchments was observed, with higher performances in large basins than in small basins.
first_indexed 2024-03-13T04:55:18Z
format Article
id doaj.art-1fcc4254e0f04d43bec28cb8ecc7538e
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2214-5818
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-13T04:55:18Z
publishDate 2023-06-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
spelling doaj.art-1fcc4254e0f04d43bec28cb8ecc7538e2023-06-18T05:02:04ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182023-06-0147101427Regional streamflow prediction in northwest Spain: A comparative analysis of regionalisation schemesJuan F. Farfán0Luis Cea1Corresponding author.; Universidade da Coruña, Water and Environmental Engineering Group, Center for Technological Innovation in Construction and Civil Engineering (CITEEC), Elviña, 15071 A Coruña, SpainUniversidade da Coruña, Water and Environmental Engineering Group, Center for Technological Innovation in Construction and Civil Engineering (CITEEC), Elviña, 15071 A Coruña, SpainStudy Region: The present study was conducted in 24 watersheds located in the region of Galicia, in the northwest of Spain, covering an extension of approximately 13,000 km2.Study focus: This study is focused on the application and evaluation of different schemes for streamflow Prediction in Ungauged Basins (PUB). The MHIA model (Spanish acronym for Modelo HIdrológico Agregado), is first used to reproduce the observed time series of discharge in several gauged basins. Then, six different regionalisation schemes are applied to transfer the hydrological model parameters to ungauged catchments. For that purpose, we explore and compare two physical similarity, two spatial proximity and two regression-based regionalisation schemes. Output averaging (also known as ensemble modelling) as well as parameter averaging implementations of the physical similarity and spatial proximity methods are analysed.New hydrological insights: The most efficient methods are those based on output averaging, with acceptable success rates (SR) in 88% of the cases. On the other hand, the parameter averaging-based methods have the lowest SR. The methods based on spatial proximity output averaging provide the best performance when the receptor basin has a sufficient number of nearby donor basins. On the other hand, the methods based on physical similarity output averaging show a better performance in areas where there is a low density of donor catchments. The regression-based methods showed the lowest performance in all cases. The existence of correlations between the performance of the regionalisation schemes and the area of the receptor catchments was observed, with higher performances in large basins than in small basins.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581823001143Ungauged basinRegionalisationSpatial proximityPhysical similarityArtificial Neural NetworksHydrological model
spellingShingle Juan F. Farfán
Luis Cea
Regional streamflow prediction in northwest Spain: A comparative analysis of regionalisation schemes
Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Ungauged basin
Regionalisation
Spatial proximity
Physical similarity
Artificial Neural Networks
Hydrological model
title Regional streamflow prediction in northwest Spain: A comparative analysis of regionalisation schemes
title_full Regional streamflow prediction in northwest Spain: A comparative analysis of regionalisation schemes
title_fullStr Regional streamflow prediction in northwest Spain: A comparative analysis of regionalisation schemes
title_full_unstemmed Regional streamflow prediction in northwest Spain: A comparative analysis of regionalisation schemes
title_short Regional streamflow prediction in northwest Spain: A comparative analysis of regionalisation schemes
title_sort regional streamflow prediction in northwest spain a comparative analysis of regionalisation schemes
topic Ungauged basin
Regionalisation
Spatial proximity
Physical similarity
Artificial Neural Networks
Hydrological model
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581823001143
work_keys_str_mv AT juanffarfan regionalstreamflowpredictioninnorthwestspainacomparativeanalysisofregionalisationschemes
AT luiscea regionalstreamflowpredictioninnorthwestspainacomparativeanalysisofregionalisationschemes