Optimal Variational Mode Decomposition and Integrated Extreme Learning Machine for Network Traffic Prediction

Network traffic prediction plays a vital role in effective network management, load evaluation and security warning. Extreme learning machine has the advantages of fast convergence speed and strong generalization ability. Also, it does not easily fall into local optima. The evolutionary algorithm ca...

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Main Authors: Jinmei Shi, Yu-Beng Leau, Kun Li, Huandong Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2021-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9388647/
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author Jinmei Shi
Yu-Beng Leau
Kun Li
Huandong Chen
author_facet Jinmei Shi
Yu-Beng Leau
Kun Li
Huandong Chen
author_sort Jinmei Shi
collection DOAJ
description Network traffic prediction plays a vital role in effective network management, load evaluation and security warning. Extreme learning machine has the advantages of fast convergence speed and strong generalization ability. Also, it does not easily fall into local optima. The evolutionary algorithm can be used to optimize the number of its hidden layer nodes. However, most of the existing evolutionary algorithms have some adjustable parameters which depend on subjective experience or prior knowledge. Hence, this can affect the model prediction accuracy. Given this context, this paper proposes a network traffic prediction mechanism based on optimized Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and Integrated Extreme Learning Machine (ELM). A Scalable Artificial Bee Colony (SABC) algorithm which has fewer adjustable parameters and can thus guarantee the accuracy and stability of the prediction mechanism is also proposed. It can be used in the optimization selection of VMD, Phase Space Reconstruction (PSR) and ELM to achieve higher prediction performance. Finally, we utilize Mackey-Glass, Lorenz chaotic time series of recognized benchmark and a WIDE backbone actual network traffic data to prove the validity of the proposed network traffic prediction mechanism.
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spelling doaj.art-1fcdb1f049af486985c02bdfb6d67eec2022-12-22T03:12:50ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362021-01-019518185183110.1109/ACCESS.2021.30692809388647Optimal Variational Mode Decomposition and Integrated Extreme Learning Machine for Network Traffic PredictionJinmei Shi0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9021-5464Yu-Beng Leau1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5386-2734Kun Li2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4632-9050Huandong Chen3Faculty of Computing and Informatics, Universiti Malaysia Sabah, Kota Kinabalu, MalaysiaFaculty of Computing and Informatics, Universiti Malaysia Sabah, Kota Kinabalu, MalaysiaFaculty of Electrical and Control Engineering, Liaoning Technical University, Liaoning, ChinaCollege of Information Science and Technology, Hainan Normal University, Haikou, ChinaNetwork traffic prediction plays a vital role in effective network management, load evaluation and security warning. Extreme learning machine has the advantages of fast convergence speed and strong generalization ability. Also, it does not easily fall into local optima. The evolutionary algorithm can be used to optimize the number of its hidden layer nodes. However, most of the existing evolutionary algorithms have some adjustable parameters which depend on subjective experience or prior knowledge. Hence, this can affect the model prediction accuracy. Given this context, this paper proposes a network traffic prediction mechanism based on optimized Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and Integrated Extreme Learning Machine (ELM). A Scalable Artificial Bee Colony (SABC) algorithm which has fewer adjustable parameters and can thus guarantee the accuracy and stability of the prediction mechanism is also proposed. It can be used in the optimization selection of VMD, Phase Space Reconstruction (PSR) and ELM to achieve higher prediction performance. Finally, we utilize Mackey-Glass, Lorenz chaotic time series of recognized benchmark and a WIDE backbone actual network traffic data to prove the validity of the proposed network traffic prediction mechanism.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9388647/Network traffictime series analysisvariational mode decompositionextreme learning machineartificial bee colony algorithm
spellingShingle Jinmei Shi
Yu-Beng Leau
Kun Li
Huandong Chen
Optimal Variational Mode Decomposition and Integrated Extreme Learning Machine for Network Traffic Prediction
IEEE Access
Network traffic
time series analysis
variational mode decomposition
extreme learning machine
artificial bee colony algorithm
title Optimal Variational Mode Decomposition and Integrated Extreme Learning Machine for Network Traffic Prediction
title_full Optimal Variational Mode Decomposition and Integrated Extreme Learning Machine for Network Traffic Prediction
title_fullStr Optimal Variational Mode Decomposition and Integrated Extreme Learning Machine for Network Traffic Prediction
title_full_unstemmed Optimal Variational Mode Decomposition and Integrated Extreme Learning Machine for Network Traffic Prediction
title_short Optimal Variational Mode Decomposition and Integrated Extreme Learning Machine for Network Traffic Prediction
title_sort optimal variational mode decomposition and integrated extreme learning machine for network traffic prediction
topic Network traffic
time series analysis
variational mode decomposition
extreme learning machine
artificial bee colony algorithm
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9388647/
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AT yubengleau optimalvariationalmodedecompositionandintegratedextremelearningmachinefornetworktrafficprediction
AT kunli optimalvariationalmodedecompositionandintegratedextremelearningmachinefornetworktrafficprediction
AT huandongchen optimalvariationalmodedecompositionandintegratedextremelearningmachinefornetworktrafficprediction