DOES UNCOVERED INTEREST RATE PARITY HOLD IN TURKEY?

Most of the earlier empirical studies focusing on developed countries failed to give evidence in favor of the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP). After intensive financial liberalization processes and mostly preferred free exchange rate regimes, a new area of research starts to involve the investi...

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Main Authors: Ozcan Karahan, Olcay Çolak
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2012-01-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/276/pdf
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author Ozcan Karahan
Olcay Çolak
author_facet Ozcan Karahan
Olcay Çolak
author_sort Ozcan Karahan
collection DOAJ
description Most of the earlier empirical studies focusing on developed countries failed to give evidence in favor of the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP). After intensive financial liberalization processes and mostly preferred free exchange rate regimes, a new area of research starts to involve the investigation whether UIP holds for developing economies differently. Accordingly, we tested the UIP for Turkey’s monthly interest rate and exchange rate data between 2002 and 2011. We run conventional regressions in the form of Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and used a simple Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) analysis. The empirical results of both methods do not support the validity of UIP for Turkey. Thus, together with most of the earlier empirical studies focusing on developed countries and detecting the invalidity of UIP, we can argue that the experience of Turkey and developed economies are not different.
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spelling doaj.art-1ff08768b06d4b5586eed287b5ef8e282023-02-15T16:16:12ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382012-01-0124386394DOES UNCOVERED INTEREST RATE PARITY HOLD IN TURKEY?Ozcan KarahanOlcay ÇolakMost of the earlier empirical studies focusing on developed countries failed to give evidence in favor of the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP). After intensive financial liberalization processes and mostly preferred free exchange rate regimes, a new area of research starts to involve the investigation whether UIP holds for developing economies differently. Accordingly, we tested the UIP for Turkey’s monthly interest rate and exchange rate data between 2002 and 2011. We run conventional regressions in the form of Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and used a simple Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) analysis. The empirical results of both methods do not support the validity of UIP for Turkey. Thus, together with most of the earlier empirical studies focusing on developed countries and detecting the invalidity of UIP, we can argue that the experience of Turkey and developed economies are not different.http://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/276/pdfUncovered Interest Rate ParityOLSGARCH
spellingShingle Ozcan Karahan
Olcay Çolak
DOES UNCOVERED INTEREST RATE PARITY HOLD IN TURKEY?
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Uncovered Interest Rate Parity
OLS
GARCH
title DOES UNCOVERED INTEREST RATE PARITY HOLD IN TURKEY?
title_full DOES UNCOVERED INTEREST RATE PARITY HOLD IN TURKEY?
title_fullStr DOES UNCOVERED INTEREST RATE PARITY HOLD IN TURKEY?
title_full_unstemmed DOES UNCOVERED INTEREST RATE PARITY HOLD IN TURKEY?
title_short DOES UNCOVERED INTEREST RATE PARITY HOLD IN TURKEY?
title_sort does uncovered interest rate parity hold in turkey
topic Uncovered Interest Rate Parity
OLS
GARCH
url http://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/276/pdf
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