Recent regional warming across the Siberian lowlands: a comparison between permafrost and non-permafrost areas

The northern mid-high latitudes experience climate warming much faster than the global average. However, the difference in the temperature change rates between permafrost and non-permafrost zones remains unclear. In this study, we investigated the temporal changes in temperature means and extremes a...

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Main Authors: Ping Wang, Qiwei Huang, Shiqi Liu, Hongyan Cai, Jingjie Yu, Tianye Wang, Xiaolong Chen, Sergey P Pozdniakov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2022-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6c9d
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author Ping Wang
Qiwei Huang
Shiqi Liu
Hongyan Cai
Jingjie Yu
Tianye Wang
Xiaolong Chen
Sergey P Pozdniakov
author_facet Ping Wang
Qiwei Huang
Shiqi Liu
Hongyan Cai
Jingjie Yu
Tianye Wang
Xiaolong Chen
Sergey P Pozdniakov
author_sort Ping Wang
collection DOAJ
description The northern mid-high latitudes experience climate warming much faster than the global average. However, the difference in the temperature change rates between permafrost and non-permafrost zones remains unclear. In this study, we investigated the temporal changes in temperature means and extremes across the Siberian lowlands (<500 m) over the past six decades (1960–2019) using in situ observations and reanalysis data. The results show that permafrost zones (0.39 °C/decade) have warmed faster than non-permafrost zones (0.31 °C/decade). The minimum values of the daily maximum ( TXn ) and minimum ( TNn ) temperatures changed faster than their maximum values ( TXx, TNx ), suggesting that low minimum temperatures increase faster, as evidenced by the considerably higher warming rate in the cool season (October–April, 0.43 ± 0.10 °C/decade, n = 126) than that in the warm season (May–September, 0.25 ± 0.08 °C/decade, n = 119). The change rates of TXx and TNx in permafrost areas were 2–3 times greater than those in non-permafrost areas; however, over the last ten years, TXx and TNx in non-permafrost areas showed decreasing trends. Moreover, faster-warming permafrost regions do not exhibit a faster increase in surface net solar radiation than slower-warming non-permafrost regions. While our findings suggest that carbon emissions from thawing soils are likely a potential driver of rapid warming in permafrost-dominated regions, the potential feedback between ground thawing and climate warming in permafrost regions remains uncertain.
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spelling doaj.art-1ffa2a9836c8477e954b47bc2a3765e42023-08-09T15:31:26ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262022-01-0117505404710.1088/1748-9326/ac6c9dRecent regional warming across the Siberian lowlands: a comparison between permafrost and non-permafrost areasPing Wang0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2481-9953Qiwei Huang1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9021-6320Shiqi Liu2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4706-1316Hongyan Cai3Jingjie Yu4Tianye Wang5https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7534-931XXiaolong Chen6Sergey P Pozdniakov7Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information Systems, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences , 11A, Datun Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, People’s Republic of China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences , Beijing 100049, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information Systems, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences , 11A, Datun Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, People’s Republic of China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences , Beijing 100049, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information Systems, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences , 11A, Datun Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information Systems, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences , 11A, Datun Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, People’s Republic of China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences , Beijing 100049, People’s Republic of ChinaKey Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information Systems, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences , 11A, Datun Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, People’s Republic of China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences , Beijing 100049, People’s Republic of ChinaSchool of Water Conservancy Engineering, Zhengzhou University, 100 Science Avenue , Zhengzhou, Henan 450001, People’s Republic of ChinaState Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences , Beijing 100029, People’s Republic of China; CAS Center for Excellence in Tibetan Plateau Earth Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences , Beijing 100101, People’s Republic of ChinaDepartment of Hydrogeology, Lomonosov Moscow State University , GSP-1, Leninskie Gory, Moscow 119899, RussiaThe northern mid-high latitudes experience climate warming much faster than the global average. However, the difference in the temperature change rates between permafrost and non-permafrost zones remains unclear. In this study, we investigated the temporal changes in temperature means and extremes across the Siberian lowlands (<500 m) over the past six decades (1960–2019) using in situ observations and reanalysis data. The results show that permafrost zones (0.39 °C/decade) have warmed faster than non-permafrost zones (0.31 °C/decade). The minimum values of the daily maximum ( TXn ) and minimum ( TNn ) temperatures changed faster than their maximum values ( TXx, TNx ), suggesting that low minimum temperatures increase faster, as evidenced by the considerably higher warming rate in the cool season (October–April, 0.43 ± 0.10 °C/decade, n = 126) than that in the warm season (May–September, 0.25 ± 0.08 °C/decade, n = 119). The change rates of TXx and TNx in permafrost areas were 2–3 times greater than those in non-permafrost areas; however, over the last ten years, TXx and TNx in non-permafrost areas showed decreasing trends. Moreover, faster-warming permafrost regions do not exhibit a faster increase in surface net solar radiation than slower-warming non-permafrost regions. While our findings suggest that carbon emissions from thawing soils are likely a potential driver of rapid warming in permafrost-dominated regions, the potential feedback between ground thawing and climate warming in permafrost regions remains uncertain.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6c9dclimate warmingpermafrost degradationSiberian lowlands
spellingShingle Ping Wang
Qiwei Huang
Shiqi Liu
Hongyan Cai
Jingjie Yu
Tianye Wang
Xiaolong Chen
Sergey P Pozdniakov
Recent regional warming across the Siberian lowlands: a comparison between permafrost and non-permafrost areas
Environmental Research Letters
climate warming
permafrost degradation
Siberian lowlands
title Recent regional warming across the Siberian lowlands: a comparison between permafrost and non-permafrost areas
title_full Recent regional warming across the Siberian lowlands: a comparison between permafrost and non-permafrost areas
title_fullStr Recent regional warming across the Siberian lowlands: a comparison between permafrost and non-permafrost areas
title_full_unstemmed Recent regional warming across the Siberian lowlands: a comparison between permafrost and non-permafrost areas
title_short Recent regional warming across the Siberian lowlands: a comparison between permafrost and non-permafrost areas
title_sort recent regional warming across the siberian lowlands a comparison between permafrost and non permafrost areas
topic climate warming
permafrost degradation
Siberian lowlands
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6c9d
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