Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems as a Strategy for Predicting and Controling the Energy Produced from Renewable Sources

The challenge for our paper consists in controlling the performance of the future state of a microgrid with energy produced from renewable energy sources. The added value of this proposal consists in identifying the most used criteria, related to each modeling step, able to lead us to an optimal neu...

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Main Authors: Otilia Elena Dragomir, Florin Dragomir, Veronica Stefan, Eugenia Minca
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2015-11-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/8/11/12355
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author Otilia Elena Dragomir
Florin Dragomir
Veronica Stefan
Eugenia Minca
author_facet Otilia Elena Dragomir
Florin Dragomir
Veronica Stefan
Eugenia Minca
author_sort Otilia Elena Dragomir
collection DOAJ
description The challenge for our paper consists in controlling the performance of the future state of a microgrid with energy produced from renewable energy sources. The added value of this proposal consists in identifying the most used criteria, related to each modeling step, able to lead us to an optimal neural network forecasting tool. In order to underline the effects of users’ decision making on the forecasting performance, in the second part of the article, two Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) models are tested and evaluated. Several scenarios are built by changing: the prediction time horizon (Scenario 1) and the shape of membership functions (Scenario 2).
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spelling doaj.art-205f84e956e748b69b5f7724c47e7ef32022-12-22T04:01:00ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732015-11-01811130471306110.3390/en81112355en81112355Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems as a Strategy for Predicting and Controling the Energy Produced from Renewable SourcesOtilia Elena Dragomir0Florin Dragomir1Veronica Stefan2Eugenia Minca3Automation, Computer Science and Electrical Engineering Department, Valahia University of Târgoviște, 2 Carol I Bd., Targoviste 130024, RomaniaAutomation, Computer Science and Electrical Engineering Department, Valahia University of Târgoviște, 2 Carol I Bd., Targoviste 130024, RomaniaAutomation, Computer Science and Electrical Engineering Department, Valahia University of Târgoviște, 2 Carol I Bd., Targoviste 130024, RomaniaAutomation, Computer Science and Electrical Engineering Department, Valahia University of Târgoviște, 2 Carol I Bd., Targoviste 130024, RomaniaThe challenge for our paper consists in controlling the performance of the future state of a microgrid with energy produced from renewable energy sources. The added value of this proposal consists in identifying the most used criteria, related to each modeling step, able to lead us to an optimal neural network forecasting tool. In order to underline the effects of users’ decision making on the forecasting performance, in the second part of the article, two Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) models are tested and evaluated. Several scenarios are built by changing: the prediction time horizon (Scenario 1) and the shape of membership functions (Scenario 2).http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/8/11/12355forecastingneural networkAdaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systemsrenewable energy sources
spellingShingle Otilia Elena Dragomir
Florin Dragomir
Veronica Stefan
Eugenia Minca
Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems as a Strategy for Predicting and Controling the Energy Produced from Renewable Sources
Energies
forecasting
neural network
Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems
renewable energy sources
title Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems as a Strategy for Predicting and Controling the Energy Produced from Renewable Sources
title_full Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems as a Strategy for Predicting and Controling the Energy Produced from Renewable Sources
title_fullStr Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems as a Strategy for Predicting and Controling the Energy Produced from Renewable Sources
title_full_unstemmed Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems as a Strategy for Predicting and Controling the Energy Produced from Renewable Sources
title_short Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems as a Strategy for Predicting and Controling the Energy Produced from Renewable Sources
title_sort adaptive neuro fuzzy inference systems as a strategy for predicting and controling the energy produced from renewable sources
topic forecasting
neural network
Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems
renewable energy sources
url http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/8/11/12355
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